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Trainer profile

J Follain

72 runners in the lifetime window · 41 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–72
Wins / Runs
12.5%
Strike rate
n=72
16 (22%)
Placed
0.77
Fair A/E
n=38 · 0.81 incl. margin
+12.70
£1 level stake
n=54 at SP · +23.5%
£213k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
11.1%−1.4
n=27 · A/E 0.57 · £1 +28.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+12.5
n=8 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +43.70
Debutants · first career start
15.2%+2.7
n=33 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −10.90
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+12.5
n=4 · A/E 1.96 · £1 −1.30
When favourite
28.6%
n=14 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−12.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 8.1% vs 12.5% · n=37
With a new jockey booking 16.4% vs 12.5% · n=55
With debutants 15.2% vs 12.5% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 55 7 12.7% +22.80
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00
Flat 8 2 25% −1.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 37 3 8.1% +15.50
Heavy 20 4 20% −2.40
Good 9 0 0% −3.00
Good to Soft 5 2 40% +2.60
Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 15 1 6.7% −13.00
Enghien (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Pau 8 1 12.5% +35.00
Compiegne 8 2 25% +3.70
Craon 6 1 16.7% −3.30
Le Lion-D'Angers 4 1 25% −0.10
Brehal 4 0 0% —
Rostrenen 3 1 33.3% −1.00
Dieppe 3 1 33.3% −1.10
Morlaix (FR) 2 0 0% —
Lyon Parilly 2 0 0% —
Le Pin au Haras (FR) 1 0 0% —
Meslay-Du-Maine 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Angers 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 4 28.6% 1.16 +2.00
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.00 +28.00
4th–6th fav 12 1 8.3% 1.06 −2.30
7th+ in betting 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
65.6% completed · 64 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 67.3% 10 0 7 0 1
Hurdle 9 55.6% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Quick Baby (FR) 5 0 1 25 Dec 14
Alpha Speed (FR) 5 0 2 22 Sep 13
La Musica (FR) 5 1 1 19 Nov 10
Nobel De Re (FR)from G Macaire 4 1 1 24 Jun 10
Missfoloise (FR) 3 0 0 29 Nov 13
Pauillac Mad (FR) 3 0 0 4 Sep 11
Victory Son (FR)from A Chaille-Chaille 3 0 1 1 Aug 11
Tapioca (FR)from Mlle T Puitg 2 1 1 25 Dec 17
Blue Discover (FR) 2 0 0 15 Sep 17
Blue Pretender (FR) 2 0 0 8 May 17
Brume De La Roque (FR) 2 0 0 24 Apr 15
L'Escale (FR) 2 0 0 7 Apr 15
All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 41 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0020100142002020020
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAnthony Thierry
49% of all rides
11.4% SR · A/E 0.88
RiderRWSR£1
Anthony Thierry 35 4 11.4% +16.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
9
Archived wins
£213k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 4 wins
Nobel De Re (FR) — Prix Jean Claude Evain (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2010
£22,088
Folidor (FR) — Grand Cross Country De Dieppe (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf) Dieppe (FR) · Sep 2011
£18,207
Toner D'Oudairies (FR) — Prix de lIsle Briand (AQPS) Le Lion-D'Angers · Jul 2010
£11,504
Notable horses
La Musica (FR) Nobel De Re (FR) Tapioca (FR) Urmat D'Oudairies (FR) Toner D'Oudairies (FR) Sir Rowan (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Le Balafre (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 13.4% of 411 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
Vertical Speed (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 784 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.1% from 139.
Panoramic I (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 12.6% of 516 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.2% from 122.
Discover D'Auteuil (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 954 runs since 2008 (87 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 18.4% from 103. Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 408. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.3% from 195.
Network (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,766 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.3% from 273.
Perrault (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12% of 25 runs since 2008 (7 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 72 · newest first

The latest 50 of 72 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 October 2009 to 25 December 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Dec 17 Pau (FR) Tapioca (FR)J: Alexandre Lethuillier Prix Joseph d'Ariste (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (6yo+) (Turf)20.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 58/10
17 Oct 17 Fontainebleau (FR) Kavaldor (FR)J: Alban Desvaux Prix de l'Ecole Militaire d'Equitation (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)23f · Very Soft · 6 ran 4th 5/1
15 Sep 17 Compiegne (FR) Blue Discover (FR)J: Alban Desvaux Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 66/10
15 Sep 17 Compiegne (FR) Ungaro Roque (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 4/5F
15 Sep 17 Compiegne (FR) Tapioca (FR)J: Olivier Jouin Prix Xavier de Chevigny (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)23.5f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 87/10
08 May 17 Le Pin au Haras (FR) Blue Pretender (FR)J: Christopher Couillaud Prix du Haras du Cadran (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Good · 10 ran RO —
03 Apr 16 Morlaix (FR) Bine Des Salines (FR)J: Anthony Gouard Prix de Plouescat (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU —
03 Apr 16 Morlaix (FR) Blague D'Oudairies (FR)J: Alban Desvaux Prix de Plouescat (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran F —
19 Dec 15 Pau Sir Rowan (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Joseph dAriste (Cross-Country Chase)20.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 40/1
26 Sep 15 Auteuil (FR) Centon D'Oudairies (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Isopani (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Non-Thoroughbreds) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 14 ran PU 61/1
28 Apr 15 Enghien (FR) Meme Pas Mal (FR)J: Mr Nathan Vergne Prix Colonel Bernard Marlin (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran F 52/1
24 Apr 15 Enghien (FR) Brume De La Roque (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Radio Paris (AQPS) (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbred Fillies & Mares) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran 6th 184/10
07 Apr 15 Enghien (FR) L'Escale (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix du Finistere (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)16.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 38/1
11 Mar 15 Enghien (FR) L'Escale (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix d'Essai des Pouliches (Div 1) (Hurdle) (Maiden) (3yo Fillies unraced over hurdles & fences) (T15.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 8th 34/1
08 Feb 15 Maure-De-Bretagne Brume De La Roque (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Du Bois Basset (Chase)19f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 6/4F
25 Dec 14 Pau (FR) Quick Baby (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Mortimer de Lassence (Cross-Country Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)28f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 10/1
23 Oct 14 Auteuil (FR) Union Black (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Laniste (Chase) (Conditions) (5-6yo Non-Thoroughbreds) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 37/1
24 Sep 14 Enghien (FR) Arianska (FR)J: Arnold Cisel Prix Louis Champion (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbred Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 72/1
17 Sep 14 Auteuil (FR) Blue Discover (FR)J: Anthony Thierry Prix Meli Melo (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 8th 40/1
16 Jun 14 Auteuil (FR) Alrodino (FR)J: Alban Desvaux Prix de Royan (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Soft · 12 ran 11th 73/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Follain's strike rate?
J Follain has won 9 of 72 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J Follain's Fair A/E?
0.77, from 38 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).