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Jockey profile

Arnold Cisel

59 rides in the lifetime window · 37 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2016 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
4–59
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=59
10 (17%)
Placed
0.00
Fair A/E
n=47 · 0.93 incl. margin
−27.90
£1 level stake
n=56 at SP · −49.8%
£148k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance First rides: 10.8%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.8%+4.0
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.90
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+18.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +2.70
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.8%−3.0
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−6.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−6.8
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 10.8% vs 6.8% · n=37
On Soft going 9.7% vs 6.8% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 39 2 5.1% −23.00
Hurdle 20 2 10% −4.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 31 3 9.7% −10.30
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00
Good 4 1 25% +6.40
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 22 0 0% −22.00
Enghien (FR) 22 0 0% −22.00
Angers 2 0 0% −2.00
Nantes 2 1 50% +4.70
Craon 2 0 0% −2.00
Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Maure-De-Bretagne 1 0 0% −1.00
Granville-St Pair Sur Mer (FR) 1 0 0% —
Saint-Malo 1 1 100% +7.40
Brehal (FR) 1 0 0% —
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Fontainebleau 1 0 0% −1.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 1 1 100% +12.00
Argentan 1 1 100% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 10 3 30% 0.00 +18.10
4th–6th fav 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
7th+ in betting 31 0 0% 0.00 −31.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
67.8% completed · 59 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 39 64.1% 4 0 10 0 0
Hurdle 20 75% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pasternakovitch (FR) 7 0 1 25 Apr 14
Big Boss Conti (FR) 6 0 0 23 Sep 15
Amazone Du Lemo (FR) 3 0 1 29 Oct 15
Airchica (FR) 3 0 1 25 Sep 13
Martalin (FR) 2 0 0 13 Jul 16
Situpassabrion (FR) 2 0 0 23 Mar 14
Tsarcao (FR) 2 0 0 19 Jan 14
Star Du Rivage (FR) 2 0 0 26 Apr 13
Akawy (FR) 2 0 1 2 Apr 13
Kap Of Gotha (FR) 2 0 0 9 Sep 11
Good Jack (FR) 2 0 1 30 Oct 10
Bienvenuadenuo (FR) 1 0 0 6 Dec 15
All 37 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0014000500100033
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
T Poche 12 0 0% −11.00
S Foucher 8 3 37.5% +12.70
Guy Denuault 7 0 0% −7.00
G Chaignon 6 0 0% −6.00
A Le Clerc 5 0 0% −5.00
C Plisson 4 0 0% −4.00
Christian Le Galliard 3 0 0% −3.00
Patrice Quinton 2 0 0% −1.00
E Lecoiffier 2 0 0% −2.00
X-L Le Stang 2 0 0% −2.00
C Dondi 1 0 0% −1.00
Jerome Zuliani 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
5
Archived wins
£155k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 3 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Vilessca (FR) — Prix Francois de Quatrebarbes (Hurdle) Saint-Malo · Jul 2013
£8,195
Mercelino (FR) — Prix du Col du Puymorens (Chase) (Claimer) Cagnes-Sur-Mer · Dec 2013
£7,024
Blue Hell (FR) — Prix du Carrefour des Familles (Prix du Portereau) (Hurdle) Nantes · Sep 2013
£7,024
Notable horses
Mercelino (FR) Blue Hell (FR) Vilessca (FR) Urbanito (FR) Kirsch Du Layon (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pasternak (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 8.5% of 895 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.
Vendangeur (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 771 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.7% from 123.
Air Eminem (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 5.1% of 118 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Malinas (GER) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,932 runs since 2008 (418 horses).
Passing Sale (FR) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 11.3% of 666 runs since 2008 (91 horses).
Roli Abi (FR) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13% of 238 runs since 2008 (44 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 60 · newest first

The latest 50 of 60 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 May 2007 to 13 July 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jul 16 Granville-St Pair Sur Mer (FR) Martalin (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Prix A.M.B. Bourguenolles (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th —
11 Dec 15 Cheltenham Martalin (FR)T: Patrice Quinton Glenfarclas Cross Country ChaseClass 2 · 30f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 33/1
06 Dec 15 Angers Bienvenuadenuo (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix Roger De Terves (Chase)19f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 30/1
22 Nov 15 Auteuil (FR) Spanish Du Breteau (FR)T: J-D Marion Prix de Beaugency (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 48/1
29 Oct 15 Enghien (FR) Amazone Du Lemo (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix Elisa (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbred Fillies & Mares) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 10 ran 6th 138/10
22 Oct 15 Auteuil (FR) Peak Raider (IRE)T: Christian Le Galliard Prix Moncourt (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 14 ran F 16/1
07 Oct 15 Auteuil (FR) Amazone Du Lemo (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix Jean Sens (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+ Mares) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 54/10
23 Sep 15 Enghien (FR) Amazone Du Lemo (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix Louis Champion (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbred Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 126/10
23 Sep 15 Enghien (FR) Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix de Thonon (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)17f · Soft · 11 ran PU 7/1
04 Sep 15 Auteuil (FR) Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix de la Savoie (Chase) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 131/10
23 Aug 15 Craon Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix Foire De Craon (Px DAuteuil) (Chase)18.5f · Very Soft · 4 ran 3rd 45/1
10 Jun 15 Auteuil (FR) Beryl De Kerza (FR)T: Jerome Zuliani Prix de Royan (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Soft · 17 ran 14th 115/1
16 May 15 Auteuil (FR) Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix Samour (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 7th 33/1
24 Apr 15 Enghien (FR) Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix Collins (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 4th 40/1
08 Feb 15 Maure-De-Bretagne Bonne Esperance (FR)T: T Boivin Prix Du Bois Basset (Chase)19f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 68/10
27 Nov 14 Auteuil (FR) Big Boss Conti (FR)T: Guy Denuault Prix Elseneur (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 7/2
05 Nov 14 Enghien (FR) Aure Antique (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix Elisa (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 100/1
05 Nov 14 Enghien (FR) Angkor D'Arcis (FR)T: A Le Clerc Prix de Gap (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 26/1
24 Sep 14 Enghien (FR) Arianska (FR)T: J Follain Prix Louis Champion (Chase) (Conditions) (4-5yo Non-Thoroughbred Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 72/1
25 Apr 14 Enghien (FR) Pasternakovitch (FR)T: T Poche Prix Fils de Reine (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 32/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Arnold Cisel's strike rate?
Arnold Cisel has won 4 of 59 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Arnold Cisel's Fair A/E?
0.00, from 47 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).