Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 5.9%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.9%+0.3
n=34 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −13.20
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.1%+3.5
n=22 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +15.90
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 2.09 · £1 +1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.6%+0.0
n=36 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +1.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.6
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going2.1% vs 5.6% · n=48
At Deauville (FR)3.1% vs 5.6% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat6845.9%−21.50
NH Flat400%−4.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)4812.1%−42.40
Good to Soft12216.7%+13.70
Soft1119.1%+4.20
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)3213.1%−26.40
Chantilly (FR)1715.9%−14.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)1119.1%+4.20
Longchamp (FR)5120%+17.70
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR)200%−2.00
Craon (FR)200%−2.00
Strasbourg (FR)100%−1.00
Fontainebleau (FR)100%−1.00
Clairefontaine (FR)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1900%−9.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite2150%2.09+1.00
2nd–3rd fav9111.1%0.81−3.40
4th–6th fav1800%0.00−18.00
7th+ in betting4324.7%1.38−5.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f2613.8%−23.00
6f – 7f20315%+23.50
1m – 1m1f1900%−19.00
1m5f – 2m600%−6.00
Under 6f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20226234.8%−30.70
202310110%+5.20
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps4436.8%−3.10
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners3226.3%+5.90
11-13 runners2114.8%−18.00
8-10 runners1200%−12.00
17+ runners400%−4.00
5-7 runners3133.3%+2.60
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 42 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
702500250017000
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Etatique (FR) — Prix Teddy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2023
£23,451
Diwan Senora (FR) — Prix du Havre (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018
£23,009
Diwan Senora (FR) — Prix du Pont de Tancarville (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2018
Progeny have won 11.6% of 2,388 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.9% from 598. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 2.9% from 138.
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,801 runs since 2008 (338 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,749 runs since 2008 (123 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.7% from 779. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.9% from 152.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 1,265 · newest first
The latest 50 of 1,265 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 January 2005 to 9 April 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Jerome Cabre's strike rate?
Jerome Cabre has won 4 of 72 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 5.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jerome Cabre do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 rides (3.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Jerome Cabre's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 72 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Jerome Cabre·SR 5.6%·A/E 0.88
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy