Skip to content
Trainer profile

Mme M Bailleul

7 runners in the last 5 seasons · 5 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–7
Wins / Runs
14.3%
Strike rate
n=7
1 (14%)
Placed
2.96
Fair A/E
n=7 · 2.35 incl. margin
−0.50
£1 level stake
n=7 at SP · −7.1%
£12,599
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
Debutants · first career start
20%+5.7
n=5 · A/E 3.91 · £1 +1.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
50%+35.7
n=2 · A/E 5.37 · £1 +4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 2 1 50% +4.50
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Toulouse (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 2 1 50% +4.50
La Teste De Buch (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 7.70 +5.50
4th–6th fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
7th+ in betting 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Saphir Du Raynal (FR) 2 0 0 9 Oct 26
Mimosa Star (FR) 2 1 1 16 Sep 26
Gazi De Monlau (FR) 1 0 0 21 Oct 26
Al Moustakim (FR) 1 0 0 19 Aug 26
Nekkar De Montegut (FR) 1 0 0 29 Jul 26
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 5 had their first archived run here.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Fabien Lefebvre 2 0 0% −2.00
Mme Margot Romary 2 0 0% −2.00
Nuno Lopes Duarte 2 1 50% +4.50
Warren Levesque 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
1
Archived wins
£12,599
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Mimosa Star (FR) — Prix Dahman Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Jul 2026
£9,999
Notable horses
Mimosa Star (FR)

The record

all 7 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Mme M Bailleul's 7 archived runners, from 29 July 2026 to 21 October 2026, newest first — one winner among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Gazi De Monlau (FR)J: Warren Levesque Prix Flipper10f · Standard · 15 ran 14th 33/1
09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Saphir Du Raynal (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Gosse Du Bearn - Jean-luc Jardel10.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 12th 12/1
16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Saphir Du Raynal (FR)J: Fabien Lefebvre Prix Frederic Bouas10.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 28/1
16 Sep 26 Toulouse (FR) Mimosa Star (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Frederic Bouas10.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 28/1
19 Aug 26 La Teste De Buch (FR) Al Moustakim (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix Aktem9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 33/1
29 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Nekkar De Montegut (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix Dahman10f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1
29 Jul 26 Mont-De-Marsan (FR) Mimosa Star (FR)J: Nuno Lopes Duarte Prix Dahman10f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme M Bailleul's strike rate?
Mme M Bailleul has won 1 of 7 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Is Mme M Bailleul in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).