What is Nuno Lopes Duarte's strike rate?

Nuno Lopes Duarte has won 8 of 114 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nuno Lopes Duarte do best at?

Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 0 wins from 33 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Nuno Lopes Duarte in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nuno Lopes Duarte's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 114 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Nuno Lopes Duarte

114 rides in the last 5 seasons · 75 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

8–114

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=114

30 (26%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=114 · 0.85 incl. margin

−34.00

£1 level stake

n=114 at SP · −29.8%

£154k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 114 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance First rides: 8%

The read

It is weakest at Toulouse (FR) (0% over 33 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (13.5%, n=37) and over 6f – 7f (11.8%, n=34). The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 2.3% over 44 rides, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%+1.0

n=75 · A/E 1.47 · £1 −10.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+9.7

n=6 · A/E 2.10 · £1 +1.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.5%+3.5

n=19 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +13.00

When favourite

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−7.0

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.3%+3.3

n=29 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +9.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.0

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Toulouse (FR) 0% vs 7% · n=33

On Good to Soft going 13.5% vs 7% · n=37

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 2.3% vs 7% · n=44

Over 6f – 7f 11.8% vs 7% · n=34

On Soft going 2.9% vs 7% · n=35

With debutants 9.7% vs 7% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 37 5 13.5% +6.00

Soft 35 1 2.9% −27.50

Good 30 2 6.7% −0.50

Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Toulouse (FR) 33 0 0% −33.00

Dax (FR) 17 1 5.9% −9.50

La Teste De Buch (FR) 16 3 18.8% +23.50

Mont-De-Marsan (FR) 16 3 18.8% +9.50

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00

Deauville (FR) 10 0 0% −10.00

Tarbes (FR) 6 1 16.7% +1.50

Marseille Borely (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 23 4 17.4% +24.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00

2nd–3rd fav 19 3 15.8% 1.10 +1.00

4th–6th fav 29 4 13.8% 1.93 +8.00

7th+ in betting 63 1 1.6% 0.58 −40.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Peyrassol (FR) 5 0 3 11 Nov 26

Rastagora (FR) 5 1 3 29 Oct 26

Ocean (FR) 4 1 3 9 Oct 26

Dadas Boy (IRE) 4 0 2 30 Sep 26

Tyka (FR) 3 0 0 11 Nov 26

Anagramme (FR) 3 0 2 1 Nov 26

Va S'y Mix (FR) 3 0 0 20 Oct 26

Kohakou (FR) 3 2 2 16 Oct 26

Solaire (FR) 3 1 1 14 Oct 26

Merci Agathe (FR) 3 0 2 12 Sep 26

Goluptious (FR) 3 0 0 29 Aug 26

Wish You Joy (FR) 2 0 0 11 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0·0···17133000

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa 21 3 14.3% +8.50

Helder Pereira 16 0 0% −16.00

O Trigodet 14 1 7.1% −6.50

Mme D Schoenherr 10 0 0% −10.00

Tiago Martins 8 0 0% −8.00

Mme J-F Bernard 6 0 0% −6.00

Mme S Gavilan 5 2 40% +8.50

Allan Estrabol 4 0 0% −4.00

Alberto Macedo Da Silva 3 0 0% −3.00

Alberto Carrasco 3 0 0% −3.00

T Callejo-Solana 3 0 0% −3.00

A Fouchet 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£155k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 8 wins

Rastagora (FR) — Prix Century 21 Duprat & Associes Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Jul 2026

£10,500

Mimosa Star (FR) — Prix Dahman Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Jul 2026

£9,999

Kohakou (FR) — Prix Gueuleton Arcachon Mont-De-Marsan (FR) · Jul 2026

£9,600

Notable horses

Kohakou (FR) Rastagora (FR) Ocean (FR) Solaire (FR) Mimosa Star (FR) Madigan (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Seahenge (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 7.5% of 574 runs since 2022 (95 horses).

Zelzal (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,736 runs since 2021 (228 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 110.

Exosphere (AUS) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 11.3% of 168 runs since 2020 (18 horses).

Galileo Gold (GB) 50% · 2–4

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,049 runs since 2021 (176 horses).

Invincible Army (IRE) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,676 runs since 2023 (163 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 152. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 409. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.9% from 260.

Victor Ludorum (GB) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 7.4% of 556 runs since 2025 (109 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 117 · newest first

The latest 50 of 117 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 January 2025 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Pintxopote (FR)T: Helder Pereira Prix De La Cote Pavee12f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 25/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Peyrassol (FR)T: Helder Pereira Prix Comfort Aparthotel Toulouse Metropole12f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 6/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Tyka (FR)T: Mme Doris Schoenherr Prix De La Republique Du Senegal (Prix D'esquirol)8f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 50/1

11 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Wish You Joy (FR)T: Helder Pereira Prix Paulin Grefeuille8f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 40/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Kirie (FR)T: Mme M Prunet-Foch Prix De La Gironde12f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 8/1

01 Nov 26 Toulouse (FR) Anagramme (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix Hours AfterClass 3 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 10/1

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Rastagora (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix De PauillacClass 2 · 9.5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 6/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sweet Nebula (IRE)T: Alberto Carrasco Prix Ketch10f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Grecian Ruler (FR)T: Alberto Macedo Da Silva Prix De Dax10f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 11/2

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Mehmist (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix De La Cite De L'espace6f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Tyka (FR)T: Mme Doris Schoenherr Prix D'assezat8f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Va S'y Mix (FR)T: O Trigodet Prix De Suffren9.5f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 25/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Peyrassol (FR)T: Helder Pereira Prix Philippe Du Vivier12f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 5/2F

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sagazan Ace (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix De La Ville De RamonvilleClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 40/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Olinda Do Vale (FR)T: Helder Pereira Prix De Laharie6f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 18/1

16 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Kohakou (FR)T: Mme S Gavilan Prix De La Ville De Balma8f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 10/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Solaire (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix De Bretagne8f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 11/2

12 Oct 26 Marseille Borely (FR) Anagramme (FR)T: Diogo Da Costa Pedrosa Prix D'orange8.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 11/2

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Sky Amber Krf (FR)T: O Trigodet Prix Fleur D'avril - Veronique Briat8f · Very Soft · 8 ran 6th 4/1

09 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) Rosadora (FR)T: Eduardo Jose Ferreira Antunes Prix Fontaine LestangClass 4 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 7th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nuno Lopes Duarte's strike rate?: Nuno Lopes Duarte has won 8 of 114 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nuno Lopes Duarte do best at?: Toulouse (FR) by strike rate: 0 wins from 33 rides (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Nuno Lopes Duarte in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nuno Lopes Duarte's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 114 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.