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Trainer profile

Saffie A Joseph Jr

7 runners in the last 5 seasons · 6 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 126 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
2–7
Wins / Runs
28.6%
Strike rate
n=7
2 (29%)
Placed
1.73
n=7 · 1.43 incl. margin
−0.30
£1 level stake
n=7 at SP · −4.3%
£306k
Prize money (window)

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 28.6% baseline
Debutants · first career start
33.3%+4.7
n=6 · A/E 1.92 · £1 +0.70
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 3.19 · £1 +1.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
28.6%+0.0
n=7 · A/E 1.73 · £1 −0.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 28.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 5 1 20% −0.90
Firm 2 1 50% +0.60

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saratoga (USA) 3 0 0% −3.00
Delaware Park (USA) 2 1 50% +0.60
Santa Anita (USA) 1 1 100% +3.10
Churchill Downs (USA) 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.83 +0.60
2nd–3rd fav 2 1 50% 3.09 +2.10
4th–6th fav 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Forged Steel (USA) 2 1 1 4 Jul 26
White Abarrio (USA) 1 0 0 27 Jun 26
Dona Clota (CHI) 1 1 1 13 Jun 26
Tahlequah (USA) 1 0 0 13 Jun 26
Solitude Dude (USA) 1 0 0 6 Jun 26
In Our Time (USA) 1 0 0 4 Jun 26
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 6 had their first archived run here.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Flavien Prat 4 1 25% +0.10
Irad Ortiz Jr 2 1 50% +0.60
John R Velazquez 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
2
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£306k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 2 wins
Dona Clota (CHI) — Robert G Dick Memorial Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Delaware Park (USA) · Jun 2026 · Grade 3
£111,111
Forged Steel (USA) — Hollywood Gold Cup Stakes (Dirt) Santa Anita (USA) · May 2026 · Grade 2
£88,889

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Vekoma (USA) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 42.9% of 7 runs since 2026 (5 horses). A small sample.
Authentic (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 0% of 1 run since 2026 (1 horse). A small sample.
Ivan Denisovich (IRE) 100% · 1–1
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,019 runs since 2010 (71 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 13.5% from 192.
Not This Time (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 13.2% of 38 runs since 2021 (22 horses).
Race Day (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 0% of 1 run since 2026 (1 horse). A small sample.
Yaupon (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 12.5% of 8 runs since 2025 (4 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 7 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Saffie A Joseph Jr's 7 archived runners, from 25 May 2026 to 4 July 2026, newest first — 2 winners among them.

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Saffie A Joseph Jr's strike rate?
Saffie A Joseph Jr has won 2 of 7 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 28.6% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).