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Jockey profile

John R Velazquez

32 rides in the last 5 seasons · 30 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 130 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–32
Wins / Runs
12.5%
Strike rate
n=32
10 (31%)
Placed
1.06
Fair A/E
n=32 · 0.87 incl. margin
−0.63
£1 level stake
n=32 at SP · −2.0%
£875k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
13.8%+1.3
n=29 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.37
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
20%+7.5
n=5 · A/E 2.06 · £1 +3.30
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−12.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −2.33
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.1%−5.4
n=14 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
19%+6.5
n=21 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +10.37

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 11 1 9.1% −1.00
Firm 10 3 30% +11.37
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saratoga (USA) 13 3 23.1% +8.37
Curragh 9 0 0% −9.00
Ascot 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Naas 1 0 0% −1.00
Delaware Park (USA) 1 0 0% −1.00
Churchill Downs (USA) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 21 4 19% +10.37
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 0.69 −2.33
2nd–3rd fav 8 0 0% 0.00 −8.00
4th–6th fav 13 3 23.1% 3.00 +16.70
7th+ in betting 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pass The Hat (USA) 2 1 2 5 Jul 26
Antiquarian (USA) 2 0 0 4 Jul 26
Title Role (GB) 1 1 1 4 Jul 26
Ultimate Love (USA) 1 0 0 4 Jul 26
Willy D's (USA) 1 0 0 27 Jun 26
Through The Years (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Jun 26
More Champagne (USA) 1 0 0 17 Jun 26
Aeronautic (IRE) 1 0 1 16 Jun 26
Tahlequah (USA) 1 0 0 13 Jun 26
Slay The Day (USA) 1 1 1 7 Jun 26
Ag Bullet (USA) 1 0 1 6 Jun 26
Obliteration (USA) 1 0 1 6 Jun 26
All 30 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·····1125·····
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
William Mott 3 1 33.3% +8.40
Wesley A Ward 3 0 0% −3.00
Todd Pletcher 2 0 0% −2.00
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 2 0 0% −2.00
J P Murtagh 2 0 0% −2.00
Thomas Morley 2 0 0% −2.00
Robert N Falcone Jr 1 0 0% −1.00
Steven Asmussen 1 0 0% −1.00
D K Weld 1 0 0% −1.00
Richard Baltas 1 0 0% −1.00
Mark Casse 1 0 0% −1.00
A P O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→
7
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£1.27m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 3 wins
Title Role (GB) — Belmont Derby Stakes (Turf) Saratoga (USA) · Jul 2026 · Grade 1
£305,556
Lady Aurelia (USA) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2017 · Group 1
£226,840
Pass The Hat (USA) — Poker Stakes (Turf) Saratoga (USA) · Jun 2026 · Grade 3
£122,222
Notable horses
Pass The Hat (USA) Lady Aurelia (USA) Slay The Day (USA) Title Role (GB) Crimson Advocate (USA) Jealous Again (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Collected (USA) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 26.7% of 15 runs since 2023 (4 horses). A small sample.
Into Mischief (USA) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 124 runs since 2017 (30 horses).
Preservationist (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 13 runs since 2025 (2 horses). A small sample.
Aclaim (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,552 runs since 2021 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 390.
Almanzor (FR) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,128 runs since 2021 (283 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.2% from 154. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.2% from 153. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.9% from 309.
Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11% of 4,853 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 60 · newest first

The latest 50 of 60 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 June 2009 to 5 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Pass The Hat (USA)T: William Mott Kelso Stakes (Turf)8f · Firm · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
04 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Title Role (GB)T: Simon & Ed Crisford Belmont Derby Stakes (Turf)9f · Firm · 10 ran 1st 73/10
04 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Antiquarian (USA)T: Todd Pletcher Suburban Stakes Presented By Subourbon Life (Dirt)10f · Fast · 11 ran 4th 79/50F
04 Jul 26 Saratoga (USA) Ultimate Love (USA)T: Michael Trombetta Belmont Oaks Stakes (Fillies) (Turf)9f · Firm · 10 ran 9th 234/10
27 Jun 26 Churchill Downs (USA) Willy D's (USA)T: Michael J Maker Stephen Foster Stakes (Dirt)9f · Muddy · 5 ran 5th 38/1
20 Jun 26 Ascot Through The Years (IRE)T: Wesley A Ward Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 21 ran 16th 25/1
17 Jun 26 Ascot More Champagne (USA)T: Thomas Morley Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 19th 10/1
16 Jun 26 Ascot Aeronautic (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Copper Horse Stakes (Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 14f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 12/1
13 Jun 26 Delaware Park (USA) Tahlequah (USA)T: Saffie A Joseph Jr Delaware Oaks (Fillies) (Dirt)8.5f · Fast · 7 ran 6th 9/1
07 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Slay The Day (USA)T: Brian A Lynch Soaring Softly Stakes (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 7 ran 1st 4/6F
07 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Pass The Hat (USA)T: William Mott Poker Stakes (Turf)8f · Firm · 5 ran 1st 104/10
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Antiquarian (USA)T: Todd Pletcher Hill 'N' Dale Metropolitan Handicap (Dirt)8f · Fast · 7 ran 4th 127/20
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Obliteration (USA)T: Steven Asmussen Woody Stephens Stakes Presented By Mohegan Sun (Dirt)7f · Fast · 9 ran 3rd 74/10
06 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Ag Bullet (USA)T: Richard Baltas Jaipur Stakes (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 10 ran 2nd 41/10
05 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Gezora (FR)T: William Mott New York Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)9.5f · Firm · 8 ran 8th 9/5F
04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Corruption (USA)T: Mark Casse Belmont Gold Cup Stakes (Turf)16f · Firm · 8 ran 5th 33/20F
04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Gratefully (USA)T: Robert N Falcone Jr Intercontinental Stakes (Fillies & Mares) (Turf)5.5f · Firm · 9 ran 9th 4/1
04 Jun 26 Saratoga (USA) Glavine (USA)T: Thomas Morley Pennine Ridge Stakes (Turf)8.5f · Firm · 9 ran 4th 18/5
30 Jun 24 Curragh Carlo Bianconi (FR)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dubai Duty Free Irish European Breeders Fund Ragusa Handicap (Premier Handicap)12f · Good · 10 ran 6th 6/1
30 Jun 24 Curragh May Night (GB)T: Denis Gerard Hogan Dubai Duty Free Derby Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap)8f · Good · 15 ran 5th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John R Velazquez's strike rate?
John R Velazquez has won 4 of 32 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John R Velazquez's Fair A/E?
1.06, from 32 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).