5:00 Fontwell
A small but competitive Class 5 handicap hurdle over 2m5f164y at Fontwell features four runners, all of whom arrive with useful ability on their best figures yet carry plenty of unknowns regarding trip, ground and course. The KTB Fit scores separate them clearly, with Glance of Glory heading the numbers on 66, followed by Aggagio on 50 and Jefe Triunfo on 47, while Mr McWhinny brings up the rear on 41. Recent form is mixed across the quartet, and with every horse unproven on the prevailing ground the race promises to be decided as much by who handles the conditions as by raw ability.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a natural leader, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay dividends. Glance of Glory is the one most likely to race prominently and dictate matters from the front or close to it, while the other three are all held-up types who will look to produce their efforts late. The key question is whether the prominent runner can maintain his advantage in a slowly-run race or whether the closers will be able to close the gap effectively on this stiff track.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Glance of Glory KTB Selection66/100
Glance of Glory is a useful performer with a solid recent third at this track after a break. The step up in trip is an unknown that could suit or expose him, while the small overall sample means his effectiveness on today's ground remains untested. Trainer Martin Keighley has a 14% strike rate from 65 runs here, while claiming jockey Freddie Keighley boasts a strong 38% from just eight rides at Fontwell. Dropping in class looks a positive, and with recent form figures of 14F8-3 he arrives in reasonable order. His prominent run-style fits the shape of a race that lacks an obvious leader, allowing him to race handily. Overall he is taken to put his experience to good use.
-
2Aggagio50/100
Aggagio is a useful performer who has won once from six starts at Fontwell and arrives in reasonable form after a fourth last time. The step up to 2m5f is an unknown and he has no experience of this ground. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at the track, with Gary & Josh Moore posting an 18% strike rate from 159 runs and Caoilin Quinn a 14% strike rate from 164 rides here. His held-up run-style means he will be produced late, relying on the race not being run at a strong gallop. With an official rating of 95 and form figures of 2773-4 he remains competitive on his best days, though the trip and surface provide questions to answer.
-
3Jefe Triunfo47/100
Jefe Triunfo is a useful performer who has shown enough at this track to suggest he can be competitive again. He has a mixed record here with a fourth and a seventh from two runs and now drops back from 3m1f to a trip he has tried once without success. The yard and jockey both have solid records at Fontwell, Chris Gordon recording a 14% strike rate from 887 runs and Freddie Gordon an 18% strike rate from 68 rides. His held-up run-style, in which he usually produces his effort late, aligns with the majority of the field. Carrying an official rating of 95 and with recent form of 07-541, he remains capable but must prove himself over today's distance on unproven ground.
-
4Mr McWhinny41/100
Mr McWhinny is a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and recent form that includes four wins from his last six starts. He steps up in trip today having shown no success in one previous try at this distance while the yard has a 0% strike rate from 12 runs at Fontwell and the jockey is operating at 4% from 23 rides here. The horse remains unproven on the prevailing ground.
KTB verdict
Glance of Glory is the KTB Selection. He brings the strongest recent effort at the track, a solid third after a break, and his prominent style looks ideally suited to a steadily-run race that lacks an obvious leader. Dropping in class is another plus, and the booking of Freddie Keighley, who boasts a 38% strike rate at Fontwell from just eight rides, adds further appeal. Aggagio, with a course win on his record, and Jefe Triunfo, who has shown enough here to be competitive, are the main dangers, while Mr McWhinny cannot be entirely dismissed on the back of his recent winning run despite the trainer's poor record at the venue.
KTB Selection Glance of Glory
This is the narrative read of the 5:00 Fontwell. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Fontwell racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Fontwell results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is dropping in class?
Glance of Glory is dropping in class.
How many course wins does Aggagio have at Fontwell?
Aggagio has won once from six starts at Fontwell.
What are Jefe Triunfo's two previous results at this track?
Jefe Triunfo has a fourth and a seventh from two runs at Fontwell.
Which runner has recorded four wins from its last six starts?
Mr McWhinny has recorded four wins from its last six starts.
Who has the strongest jockey strike rate at Fontwell among the declared riders?
Freddie Keighley has a 38% strike rate at Fontwell from eight rides.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies