What is Tom Ellis's strike rate?

Tom Ellis has won 61 of 391 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tom Ellis do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Tom Ellis?

Jack Andrews, with 264 runners since 2022 — 68% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (15.5%).

Is Tom Ellis in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Tom Ellis's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 391 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Tom Ellis

391 runners in the last 5 seasons · 90 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.5% of 200 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

61–391

Wins / Runs

15.6%

Strike rate

n=391

138 (35%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=391 · 0.94 incl. margin

−132.21

£1 level stake

n=391 at SP · −33.8%

£532k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 391 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 16% 42.4% when favourite Jack Andrews: 15.5% from 264 Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 6.7% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.75). Jack Andrews rides 68% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.5%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (24%, n=96) and in Class 5 (21.5%, n=158). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 7% over 43 runners, 8.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.50 across 67 runners (7.5% strike, −44.88 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Orange Diamond (FR) — 5 wins from 11 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

16%+0.4

n=81 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −35.36

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.6%−1.0

n=41 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −15.00

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−8.9

n=45 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −20.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.8%−10.8

n=21 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −19.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.7%−8.9

n=15 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −10.00

When favourite

42.4%

n=59 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −3.08

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.7%−1.9

n=183 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −66.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−15.6

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 2m5f – 3m 24% vs 15.6% · n=96

On Soft going 7.5% vs 15.6% · n=67

With debutants 6.7% vs 15.6% · n=45

On last-time-out winners 23.7% vs 15.6% · n=59

In NH Flat races 7% vs 15.6% · n=43

In Class 5 21.5% vs 15.6% · n=158

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 213 30 14.1% −96.27

Chase 124 26 21% −18.44

NH Flat 43 3 7% −17.50

Flat 11 2 18.2% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 177 32 18.1% −44.42

Good to Soft 120 22 18.3% −26.91

Soft 67 5 7.5% −44.88

Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Standard (AW) 8 2 25% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Stratford 31 3 9.7% −22.09

Southwell 28 8 28.6% −0.75

Market Rasen 27 7 25.9% +3.35

Warwick 26 1 3.8% −20.50

Worcester 25 3 12% −13.75

Uttoxeter 22 4 18.2% −11.15

Huntingdon 21 1 4.8% −16.50

Fakenham 20 4 20% −5.05

Cheltenham 16 2 12.5% −7.75

Aintree 12 1 8.3% −7.50

Fontwell 12 0 0% −12.00

Plumpton 11 2 18.2% −1.56

Chepstow 10 0 0% −10.00

Sedgefield 10 3 30% −0.47

Bangor-on-Dee 10 2 20% +4.57

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 161 21 13% −59.98

Class 5 158 34 21.5% −19.93

Class 3 29 4 13.8% −16.18

Class 2 21 1 4.8% −16.50

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 6 8 1 12.5% −5.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 69 26 37.7% 1.11 −9.33

2nd–3rd fav 112 23 20.5% 1.05 −13.38

4th–6th fav 116 12 10.3% 1.37 −15.50

7th+ in betting 94 0 0% 0.00 −94.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.6% completed · 337 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 124 85.5% 2 2 14 0 0

Hurdle 213 92% 2 0 15 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Latenightrumble (GB) 14 2 6 21 Apr 26

Soldier's Leap (IRE) 12 2 7 23 Apr 26

Latenightpass (GB) 12 1 3 11 Mar 26

Crackerjack Queen (IRE) 11 0 2 25 Aug 26

Orange Diamond (FR)from Clive Boultbee-Brooks 11 5 8 24 Jul 26

Secret Vino (GB) 11 3 3 4 May 26

Character Testing (GB)from Tom Clover · then Mark Walford 11 0 3 28 Nov 25

Four Decades (GB) 10 0 0 29 Sep 26

Huckleberry Sting (GB)from Dan Skelton 10 3 6 26 Sep 26

Ladies Day (IRE) 10 2 7 9 Sep 26

Smurfette (GB)from Dan Skelton 10 3 7 24 Mar 26

Anariza (FR) 9 1 4 19 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 90 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (3) and Nicky Henderson (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

41814211212161321201813

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Andrews

68% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.03

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Andrews 264 41 15.5% −88.87

Miss Gina Andrews 78 12 15.4% −32.71

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

£581k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 27 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Latenightpass (GB) — Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' Chase Aintree · Apr 2022 · Class 2

£24,155

Daytime Dreaming (IRE) — Highclere Horse Feeds Oataalin Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newbury · Feb 2026 · Class 3

£10,562

The Dog Thief (IRE) — Follow racingtv On Instagram Handicap Hurdle Perth · Apr 2026 · Class 3

£7,922

Notable horses

Orange Diamond (FR) Tankardstown Diva (IRE) Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) Latenightpass (GB) Secret Vino (GB) Huckleberry Sting (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Passing Glance (GB) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Yeats (IRE) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 31.8% · 7–22

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,811 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Linda's Lad (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,312 runs since 2008 (183 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.8% from 212.

Westerner (GB) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Jack Hobbs (GB) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,063 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 119.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 426 · newest first

The latest 50 of 426 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 March 2006 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Golly Gosh (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Back British Farming Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 1st 4/9F

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Golly Gosh (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Desertmore News (IRE)J: Jack Andrews JCP Solicitors Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Shirleynightingale (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 125/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Lady Bam (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Receipt (GB)J: Alfie Redman Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 20/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Rob Hornby bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 3/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Golly Gosh (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Racing TV Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 2/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Mr Mcwhinny (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 5/2J

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Four Decades (GB)J: Jack Andrews Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 8/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Huckleberry Sting (GB)J: Jack Andrews Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

22 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/2

18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Mr Mcwhinny (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Tony Mccarthy Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 1st 8/15F

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Phantom Gold (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 5th 3/1J

14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Mr Mcwhinny (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Bill & Teresa Florentines 50th Anniversary Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

09 Sep 26 Sedgefield Ladies Day (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 7/4F

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Mr Mcwhinny (IRE)J: Finn Lambert Grandad Swales Happy 80th Birthday Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 1st 5/4F

05 Sep 26 Stratford Huckleberry Sting (GB)J: Jack Andrews Envesca Safety Champions Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 10 ran 4th 3/1

04 Sep 26 Worcester Four Decades (GB)J: Jack Andrews Kevin 'nasty' Turner Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 20/1

25 Aug 26 Stratford Crackerjack Queen (IRE)J: Jack Andrews Thank You To Our Hardworking Groundstaff Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Ellis's strike rate?: Tom Ellis has won 61 of 391 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Ellis do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Ellis?: Jack Andrews, with 264 runners since 2022 — 68% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (15.5%).
Is Tom Ellis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Ellis's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 391 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.