Acertain Circus (GB)
Acertain Circus (GB) is 2 from 17. Hasn't won since Mar 2019. Last raced off 112, 15lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–17Wins / Runs
- 11.8%Strike rate
- 5 (29.4%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.18Fair A/E n=17 · 1.01 incl. margin
- 127Highest OR
- 120dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 141
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 141B | 120 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 113A | 102.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 20 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 141B | 125.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 531 | 69 | 13% | +2.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 2,031 | 224 | 11% | +0.5 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| Soft | 1,377 | 122 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 1 from 3 |
| Heavy | 679 | 74 | 10.9% | +0.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 138 | 7 | 5.1% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +7.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 211 | 9 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,811 | 185 | 10.2% | −0.3 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,900 | 204 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,349 | 156 | 11.6% | +1.1 | 1 from 5 |
| Over 3m | 286 | 29 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Fransham (GB) (6 wins).
The wins came over 1m7f–2m3½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Fransham (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fransham (GB) | 40 | 6 | 1m7f–2m | Class 3 |
| Takeit Easy (GB) | 30 | 5 | 2m | Class 3 |
| Rumoursareflying (GB) | 21 | 3 | 1m7f–2m | Class 4 |
| Popelys Gull (IRE) | 22 | 1 | 2m3½f | Class 4 |
| Welland (GB) | 13 | 1 | 2m | Class 4 |
| Darting Rose (GB) | 9 | 0 | — | — |
| Eleanor Dumont (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Prickly Rose (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −2.50 |
| Good to Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −1.50 |
| Class 3 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Class 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Rasen | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Fakenham | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Towcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kielan Woods | 13 | 1 | 8% | −7.50 |
| Miss Gina Andrews | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Noel Fehily | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Harrison Beswick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 11 | 1 | 9% | −5.50 |
| Tongue tie | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 14 | 2 | 14% | −5.00 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Acertain Circus (GB) won?
- Acertain Circus (GB) won 2 of 17 archived starts between 2014 and 2019, a strike rate of 11.8%. Placed 5 times in total (29.4% of starts).
- Who trained Acertain Circus (GB)?
- Acertain Circus (GB) was trained by Pam Sly on the most recent run on record, at Warwick on 29 May 2019.
- Who is Acertain Circus (GB)'s sire?
- Acertain Circus (GB) is by Definite Article (GB) out of Circus Rose (GB), whose sire is Most Welcome.
- What going does Acertain Circus (GB) prefer?
- Acertain Circus (GB) has the best record on soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Acertain Circus (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 112, from the run on 29 May 2019. The highest on record is 127.
- What is Acertain Circus (GB)'s sire's record?
- Definite Article (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
- Who are Acertain Circus (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Circus Rose (GB), Acertain Circus (GB) has 8 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Fransham (GB) (6). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Fransham (GB)). The wins came over 1m7f–2m3½f. As at Oct 2026.