What is Pam Sly's strike rate?

Pam Sly has won 46 of 394 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pam Sly do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 13 wins from 49 runners (26.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Pam Sly?

Paul O'Brien, with 120 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (10.8%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Pam Sly's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 393 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Pam Sly

394 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

46–394

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=394

129 (33%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=393 · 0.82 incl. margin

−52.89

£1 level stake

n=394 at SP · −13.4%

£606k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 394 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 25% when favourite Paul O'Brien: 10.8% from 120 Claiming riders: 12.5% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (26.5%, n=49), clear of the yard's 11.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.9% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.74). Paul O'Brien rides 30% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.8%, A/E 0.81). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (22.9%, n=35) and in Chase races (19.6%, n=92). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.1% over 48 runners, 9.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.41 across 106 runners (3.8% strike, −81.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Stan James 1000 Guineas Stakes at Newmarket (May 2006, £187,374). The stable star of the record: Samarinda (USA) — 9 wins from 54 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.9%−3.8

n=89 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −49.63

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−11.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

8.3%−3.4

n=24 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +44.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

25%+13.3

n=12 · A/E 2.99 · £1 +7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−11.7

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

When favourite

25%

n=48 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −10.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+0.8

n=64 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +4.98

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%−4.0

n=13 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Leicester 26.5% vs 11.7% · n=49

Over 2m5f – 3m 22.9% vs 11.7% · n=35

Off a break of 180+ days 2.1% vs 11.7% · n=48

On last-time-out winners 21.3% vs 11.7% · n=47

In Hurdle races 3.8% vs 11.7% · n=106

In Chase races 19.6% vs 11.7% · n=92

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 168 23 13.7% +42.98

Hurdle 106 4 3.8% −81.62

Chase 92 18 19.6% −3.25

NH Flat 28 1 3.6% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 140 12 8.6% −70.05

Good to Soft 89 14 15.7% +43.88

Soft 75 11 14.7% +9.30

Good to Firm 44 3 6.8% −32.27

Heavy 24 4 16.7% +4.25

Standard (AW) 22 2 9.1% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Leicester 49 13 26.5% +97.25

Huntingdon 44 5 11.4% −29.70

Wetherby 39 4 10.3% −16.67

Market Rasen 33 3 9.1% −7.25

Doncaster 31 4 12.9% −10.00

Southwell 26 1 3.8% −17.00

Southwell (AW) 18 2 11.1% −4.00

Yarmouth 15 1 6.7% −8.00

Newmarket 14 1 7.1% −7.50

Fakenham 13 1 7.7% −10.12

Catterick 12 0 0% −12.00

Newmarket 11 2 18.2% +3.00

Nottingham 11 2 18.2% −2.77

Kempton 7 0 0% −7.00

Pontefract 7 1 14.3% −3.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 159 19 11.9% +1.91

Class 4 113 13 11.5% −34.30

Class 3 68 6 8.8% −38.00

Class 6 25 6 24% +28.50

Class 2 15 1 6.7% −7.00

Class 1 14 1 7.1% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 54 13 24.1% 0.87 −11.22

2nd–3rd fav 116 18 15.5% 0.90 −23.67

4th–6th fav 134 13 9.7% 1.23 +2.00

7th+ in betting 90 2 2.2% 0.66 −20.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

William Cody (GB) 31 4 18 7 May 26

Mixedwave (IRE) 27 6 13 27 Mar 26

Xcitations (GB) 24 5 8 21 Mar 26

Fenlander (GB)then Olly Williams 22 3 11 27 Aug 26

Rumoursareflying (GB) 21 3 7 4 Apr 26

Astral Beau (GB) 18 5 8 9 Jul 24

Wintercrack (GB) 17 3 6 11 Jun 25

Takeit Easy (GB) 16 1 4 17 Oct 26

Fransham (GB) 16 0 3 23 Nov 24

Torfrida (GB) 14 1 5 26 Sep 26

Cubanista (GB)then Olly Williams 14 1 4 6 Sep 23

Special Mayson (GB) 13 1 4 15 Jun 24

All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Micky Fenton (3); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Williams (3) and Hayley Burton (2); 33 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

15911151090820141412

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul O'Brien

30% of all rides
10.8% SR · A/E 0.81

RiderRWSR£1

Paul O'Brien 120 13 10.8% −69.42

Shane Kelly 78 10 12.8% +27.25

Jack Andrews 39 4 10.3% +4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

271

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.67m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Speciosa (IRE) — Stan James 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · May 2006 · Group 1

£187,374

Speciosa (IRE) — Rockfel Stakes (Fillies Group 2) Newmarket · Oct 2005 · Group 2

£40,600

Dazzling Dan (IRE) — Betway Handicap Newmarket · May 2019 · Class 2

£31,125

Notable horses

Samarinda (USA) Arkaim (GB) Xcitations (GB) San Antonio (GB) Dhehdaah (GB) Actinpieces (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Gentlewave (IRE) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,650 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 429.

Territories (IRE) 21.2% · 7–33

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,595 runs since 2008 (348 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 532.

Westerner (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,822 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Universal (IRE) 20.8% · 5–24

Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.

Blue Bresil (FR) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,487 runs since 2008 (454 horses).

Brazen Beau (AUS) 27.8% · 5–18

Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,471 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,426 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,426 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Takeit Easy (GB)J: Jack Andrews Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 6/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 17/2

31 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Special Breeze (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 14/1

27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 4/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 14/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 6/1

07 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Fenlander (GB)J: Rob Hornby Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 4/1

18 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Club 26 At Ascot Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

09 Jul 26 Doncaster Wrydcroft (GB)J: Christian Howarth Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 4/1

05 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1

25 Jun 26 Nottingham Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Neigh More Early Starts For Martin Stoneman HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 8/11F

18 Jun 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Finley Marsh Southwell Racecourse Conferences And Events Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 18/1

18 Jun 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Finley Marsh Ladies' Day Sunday 16th August Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 15/2

14 Jun 26 Doncaster Wrydcroft (GB)J: Rose Dawes Grace And Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/4F

13 Jun 26 Leicester Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth SignFab Celebrating 25 Years HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/4F

09 Jun 26 Southwell Paragon (IRE)J: Paul O'Brien Vaughandale Construction 'Built To Last' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1

28 May 26 Market Rasen Paragon (IRE)J: Paul O'Brien Half Year Annual Badges On Sale Now Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 10/1

25 May 26 Leicester Fenlander (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Smooth Radio Ladies' Day Saturday 4th July Book Now HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 4/1

20 May 26 Yarmouth Special Breeze (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Join Moulton Racing Club HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 7 ran 7th 12/1

19 May 26 Nottingham Cliff Danger (GB)J: Rob Hornby Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pam Sly's strike rate?: Pam Sly has won 46 of 394 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pam Sly do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 13 wins from 49 runners (26.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Pam Sly?: Paul O'Brien, with 120 runners since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (10.8%).
Is Pam Sly in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Pam Sly's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 393 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.