What is Noel Fehily's strike rate?

Noel Fehily has won 945 of 5,192 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Noel Fehily do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 45 wins from 168 rides (26.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Noel Fehily ride most for?

Neil Mulholland, with 739 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 129 (17.5%).

What is Noel Fehily's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 5,186 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Noel Fehily

5,192 rides in the lifetime window · 2,146 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2021 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

945–5,192

Wins / Runs

18.2%

Strike rate

n=5,192

1,979 (38%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=5,186 · 0.98 incl. margin

−422.98

£1 level stake

n=5,192 at SP · −8.1%

£13.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 370 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (930 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,192 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Aug 40% when favourite Neil Mulholland: 17.5% from 739 LTO winners: 27.2% Rode the favourite in 19% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wetherby (31.4%, n=70), clear of the rider's 18.2% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (9.4% over 394 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27.2% (n=930, Fair A/E 1.20), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.6% (n=1,094, Fair A/E 1.20). Neil Mulholland supplied 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (17.5%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 88 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy at Cheltenham (Mar 2017, £227,800). The standout partner of the record was Silviniaco Conti (FR) — 8 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

15.1%−3.1

n=2,045 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −266.24

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27.2%+9.0

n=930 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −5.45

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

17.3%−0.9

n=1,377 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −151.59

When favourite

40%

n=991 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −52.38

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.6%−7.6

n=1,094 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −129.64

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.6%−3.6

n=575 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −36.53

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27.2% vs 18.2% · n=930

With Nicky Henderson 31.2% vs 18.2% · n=77

At Wetherby 31.4% vs 18.2% · n=70

At Cheltenham 9.4% vs 18.2% · n=394

With Tony Carroll 4.9% vs 18.2% · n=41

With Harry Fry 25.2% vs 18.2% · n=714

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,840 485 17.1% −308.22

Chase 1,860 363 19.5% −123.14

NH Flat 487 97 19.9% +13.38

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,926 352 18.3% −260.72

Good to Soft 1,280 210 16.4% −97.59

Soft 1,216 231 19% −103.07

Heavy 424 72 17% −39.63

Good to Firm 293 65 22.2% +45.45

Standard (AW) 52 14 26.9% +29.58

Firm 1 1 100% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 394 37 9.4% −57.00

Newbury 268 34 12.7% −106.83

Kempton 256 37 14.5% −90.29

Fontwell 244 54 22.1% −0.19

Uttoxeter 238 54 22.7% +25.91

Worcester 216 37 17.1% −49.02

Exeter 216 35 16.2% −38.49

Wincanton 190 32 16.8% −41.17

Market Rasen 181 45 24.9% +8.12

Warwick 174 38 21.8% +18.51

Ascot 173 28 16.2% −12.31

Huntingdon 170 42 24.7% +4.39

Plumpton 168 45 26.8% +4.02

Southwell 159 40 25.2% −6.18

Sandown 152 24 15.8% +5.53

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 2,069 430 20.8% −187.15

Class 3 1,031 171 16.6% −134.79

Class 1 731 92 12.6% −70.53

Class 5 634 120 18.9% −68.92

Class 2 442 74 16.7% −25.75

Class 6 260 54 20.8% +50.16

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,113 432 38.8% 1.12 −25.41

2nd–3rd fav 1,645 326 19.8% 1.12 −104.90

4th–6th fav 1,476 156 10.6% 1.29 +90.33

7th+ in betting 958 31 3.2% 0.89 −383.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.6% completed · 4,700 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,860 77.3% 84 33 299 5 1

Hurdle 2,840 87.6% 57 19 270 3 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Silviniaco Conti (FR) 22 8 13 6 Apr 17

Henryville (GB) 20 5 11 16 Mar 17

Sir Ivan (GB) 19 4 11 9 Apr 18

Moon Over Miami (GER) 18 2 4 14 Jan 12

Rock On Ruby (IRE) 17 7 12 31 Oct 15

Air Horse One (GB) 16 4 9 12 Apr 18

Opening Batsman (IRE) 16 2 4 27 Dec 16

Loose Chips (GB) 16 4 9 9 Oct 16

Gauvain (GER) 16 6 8 14 Mar 12

Bags Groove (IRE) 15 8 11 23 Feb 19

Special Tiara (GB) 15 3 7 27 Dec 18

Overtown Express (IRE) 14 4 5 22 Dec 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,146 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

191915172021222219182016

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNeil Mulholland

14% of all rides
17.5% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Neil Mulholland 739 129 17.5% −147.07

Harry Fry 714 180 25.2% +24.05

Charlie Mann 653 117 17.9% −70.26

Charlie Longsdon 628 121 19.3% −73.98

Jonjo O'Neill 292 37 12.7% −53.66

Warren Greatrex 187 31 16.6% −51.96

David Dennis 163 24 14.7% −22.43

Paul Nicholls 124 34 27.4% +7.69

Emma Lavelle 121 24 19.8% +11.60

Nicky Henderson 77 24 31.2% +14.25

Tom George 69 12 17.4% −5.55

Donald McCain 63 9 14.3% −33.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,118

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£14.8m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 135 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Buveur D'air (FR) — Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2017 · Grade 1

£227,800

Rock On Ruby (IRE) — Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2012 · Class 1

£210,715

Special Tiara (GB) — Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2017 · Grade 1

£208,300

Notable horses

Silviniaco Conti (FR) Bags Groove (IRE) My Turn Now (IRE) Gauvain (GER) Air Force One (GER) Rock On Ruby (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 25.1% · 48–191

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Presenting (GB) 12.4% · 19–153

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Milan (GB) 23.3% · 28–120

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 19.8% · 23–116

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Flemensfirth (USA) 15.8% · 18–114

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 23.2% · 26–112

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,507 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,507 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 September 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Sep 21 Doncaster Vasco Da Gama (FR)T: Gay Kelleway Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 10/1

11 Sep 19 Doncaster Hammer Gun (USA)T: Derek Shaw Mondialiste Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 2nd 4/1F

23 Mar 19 Newbury Get In The Queue (GB)T: Harry Fry Goffs UK Spring Sale Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 1/3F

23 Mar 19 Newbury Outofthisworld (IRE)T: Harry Fry EBF & TBA Mares' 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Series Final (Grade 2 Limited Handicap)Class 1 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 16/1

23 Mar 19 Newbury Prabeni (GB)T: Charlie Mann Be Wiser Insurance Juvenile Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 19f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 16/1

22 Mar 19 Newbury Green Dolphin (IRE)T: Harry Fry Racing TV Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 6/4F

22 Mar 19 Newbury Goodnitesweetheart (GB)T: Harry Fry Irwin Mitchell Private Wealth Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 3/1F

21 Mar 19 Ludlow Definitelyanoscar (IRE)T: Harry Fry Ludlow Farm Shop Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 5/1

20 Mar 19 Haydock Halo Moon (GB)T: Neil Mulholland Vulcan Village Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 15/2

19 Mar 19 Huntingdon Capone (GER)T: Charlie Mann Mansionbet Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 6/5F

18 Mar 19 Plumpton Queen's Magic (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland attheraces.com Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 2/1

16 Mar 19 Uttoxeter American (FR)T: Harry Fry Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National (Listed Handicap Chase)Class 1 · 34f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 9/1

16 Mar 19 Uttoxeter Jolly's Cracked It (FR)T: Harry Fry Marston's Pedigree Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 20f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 20/1

15 Mar 19 Cheltenham Dorrells Pierji (FR)T: W P Mullins Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Spa Novices' Hurdle)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 13th 25/1

15 Mar 19 Cheltenham Cut The Mustard (FR)T: W P Mullins Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 11th 20/1

14 Mar 19 Cheltenham Eglantine Du Seuil (FR)T: W P Mullins National Hunt Breeders Supported By Tattersalls Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 1st 50/1

14 Mar 19 Cheltenham Kalondra (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 22 ran PU 12/1

14 Mar 19 Cheltenham Black Op (IRE)T: Tom George Sun Racing Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 12th 14/1

14 Mar 19 Cheltenham Black Mischief (GB)T: Harry Fry Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 11th 50/1

13 Mar 19 Cheltenham Cascova (IRE)T: Martyn Meade Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1)Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel Fehily's strike rate?: Noel Fehily has won 945 of 5,192 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Noel Fehily do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 45 wins from 168 rides (26.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Noel Fehily ride most for?: Neil Mulholland, with 739 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 129 (17.5%).
What is Noel Fehily's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 5,186 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.