A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating76↓ 12lb off peak
7673–88
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed90the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Cartmel, 28 Jun 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps 12 figures · best 100A · median 78.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good to Soft
5
100A
76
3 runs · 100 / 76
Good
4
90A
71
4 runs · 90 / 71
Soft
2
91A
90.5
—
Heavy
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m
5
100A
76
5 runs · 100 / 76
2m1f – 2m4f
3
100A
91
—
Over 3m
2
90A
72.5
2 runs · 90 / 72.5
1m5f – 2m
2
67B
57
—
Of 18 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: did not complete (5) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating96Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Cartmel, 20 Jul 2026Official rating 76at the last run, 14 Sep 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 13 figures · best 100B · median 90
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
Good
5
96A
90
4 runs · 96 / 91
Good to Soft
5
100B
95
3 runs · 100 / 88
Soft
2
95A
89
—
Heavy
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 25 Oct 2025
2m5f – 3m
5
100B
90
5 runs · 100 / 90
2m1f – 2m4f
4
99A
89
—
Over 3m
2
92B
90
2 runs · 92 / 90
1m5f – 2m
2
95A
92
—
Of 18 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (5).
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 18 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Aug 2024
Led5 (38%)· 2 wins
Prominent4 (31%)· 0 wins
Held up4 (31%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Shantou (USA)
Progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,822 runs since Jan 2008 (539 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
2
1
50%
+36.4
—
Good to Firm
158
32
20.3%
+6.7
—
Good
2,288
311
13.6%
0
1 from 5
Good to Soft
1,430
176
12.3%
−1.3
1 from 8
Soft
2,610
363
13.9%
+0.3
0 from 3
Heavy
1,283
178
13.9%
+0.3
0 from 2
Standard (AW)
51
5
9.8%
−3.8
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
6f – 7f
3
0
0%
−13.6
—
1m – 1m1f
11
0
0%
−13.6
—
1m2f – 1m4f
62
6
9.7%
−3.9
—
1m5f – 2m
2,030
276
13.6%
0
0 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f
2,709
378
14%
+0.4
0 from 7
2m5f – 3m
2,339
334
14.3%
+0.7
2 from 5
Over 3m
668
72
10.8%
−2.8
0 from 3
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
MW Civils & Groundworks Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ranShared front spot early - overtaken 13th - pushed along before 2 out - held on at one gear into last then gave up second late
Holker Hall & Gardens Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 8 ranSet the pace early - clipped one at the 7th and again 3 out - lost front spot approaching the home turn then dropped away close to the line
Murrayshall Cairns Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 8 ranWent straight to front - scrappy over 7th and 13th fences - urged along approaching 3 out and again soon after - lost command before last - dropped away up the straight
Cinch Self Storage cinchstorage.co.uk Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ranFront from the off - made the running at a bold gallop - jumped untidily 2nd - under pressure 4 out - surrendered advantage 3 out - fought back to join the front rank 2 out - took command on touching down at the last and stayed on to win
Tanqueray At Say When Ponteland Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ranSettled towards the back - stumbled early - made progress by 9th - pushed along after 14th - still within range but hampered by mistake 4 out - moved into third at the last but couldn't close on the front pair
Michael & Fred Watson Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ranHeld up at the back throughout - pressed for effort before the 12th - eased out of contention approaching 3 out
Aidan Moffitt Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17.5f · Soft · 13 ranSat close to the pace - third at halfway - squeezed for space and dropped back before 4 out - unable to make headway thereafter and held on late
Mulhern Leonard Chartered Accountants Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 10 ranSat close to the pace on the wide side - into 3rd approaching 2 out unable to close on the winner - held that spot at the last and had nothing more to offer through the finish
Aill Dubh (IRE) won 2 of 18 archived starts between 2022 and 2026, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 3 times in total (16.7% of starts).
Who trains Aill Dubh?
Aill Dubh (IRE) is trained by Micky Hammond, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 September 2026.
Who is Aill Dubh's sire?
Aill Dubh (IRE) is by Shantou (USA) out of Captain Carol (IRE), whose sire is Captain Rio.
What going does Aill Dubh prefer?
Aill Dubh (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Aill Dubh's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 76, from the run on 14 September 2026. The highest on record is 88.
What is Aill Dubh's sire's record?
Shantou (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,822 runs since Jan 2008 (539 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Who are Aill Dubh's siblings?
Out of Captain Carol (IRE), Aill Dubh (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.
Aill Dubh (IRE)·2–18·SR 11.1%
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