Skip to content
Jockey profile

Ambrose McCurtin

386 rides in the last 5 seasons · 188 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2025 100% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
8–386
Wins / Runs
2.1%
Strike rate
n=386
46 (12%)
Placed
0.56
n=386 · 0.44 incl. margin
−323.75
£1 level stake
n=386 at SP · −83.9%
£138k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.56).

Deterministic profile computed from 386 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance John J Walsh: 1.7% from 59 First rides: 2.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (10%, n=30) and Clonmel (5.3%, n=38) — all clear of the rider's 2.1% baseline. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 1.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.42 and −169.50 to a £1 stake over 186 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. John J Walsh supplies 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (1.7%, A/E 0.36). The rider also reads well off a 31-60-day break (5.1%, n=79). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 72 rides (0% strike, −72.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase at Limerick (Dec 2014, £32,500).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.1% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.5%+0.4
n=157 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −124.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.1
n=98 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −98.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +1.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
1.6%−0.5
n=186 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −169.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.1%+0.0
n=283 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −240.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Ballinrobe 10% vs 2.1% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 5.1% vs 2.1% · n=79
At Clonmel 5.3% vs 2.1% · n=38
In Chase races 4.8% vs 2.1% · n=42
On Heavy going 0% vs 2.1% · n=72
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2.1% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 344 6 1.7% −291.50
Chase 42 2 4.8% −32.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 152 4 2.6% −129.75
Good 92 3 3.3% −57.00
Heavy 72 0 0% −72.00
Good to Soft 70 1 1.4% −65.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 49 0 0% −49.00
Limerick 47 0 0% −47.00
Clonmel 38 2 5.3% −27.25
Punchestown 38 1 2.6% −33.00
Ballinrobe 30 3 10% +3.00
Tramore 27 0 0% −27.00
Thurles 26 0 0% −26.00
Kilbeggan 14 0 0% −14.00
Tipperary 14 1 7.1% −7.50
Killarney 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 12 0 0% −12.00
Listowel 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 12 0 0% −12.00
Galway 11 0 0% −11.00
Wexford 11 1 9.1% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.16 +0.75
2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 1.17 +0.00
4th–6th fav 75 1 1.3% 0.21 −68.50
7th+ in betting 284 2 0.7% 0.38 −256.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.4% completed · 386 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 42 71.4% 4 1 7 0 0
Hurdle 344 84.9% 6 1 45 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tomas O Maille (IRE) 13 1 7 27 May 25
Lucky Viv (IRE) 9 0 3 18 May 24
Ricky Bobby (IRE) 7 0 0 1 Apr 24
Golden Glen (IRE) 7 0 0 6 Dec 22
Kilmurry Jj (IRE) 6 0 1 2 Jun 23
Galmar (IRE) 6 0 0 11 May 23
Johanna Yeats (IRE) 6 1 3 24 May 22
Caremuchmore (IRE) 5 0 1 9 Nov 24
Soldat Flamboyant (IRE) 5 0 0 28 Nov 23
It'sallabouteve (IRE) 5 0 1 25 May 23
Castlehill Boy (IRE) 5 0 0 5 Mar 23
It's Time Again (IRE) 5 0 1 2 Mar 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 188 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
050905400000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn J Walsh
15% of all rides
1.7% SR · A/E 0.36
TrainerRWSR£1
John J Walsh 59 1 1.7% −54.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
62
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£857k
Prize money
2016
Best season · 9 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Page Turner (IRE) — Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-145) (Grade B) Limerick · Dec 2014 · Grade B
£32,500
Barnahash Rose (IRE) — Kerry Group E.B.F. Shannon Spray Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) Limerick · Mar 2016 · Grade 3
£21,833
Page Turner (IRE) — Liam Hogan Memorial Handicap Chase Limerick · Mar 2014
£14,625

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Imperial Monarch (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,588 runs since 2019 (172 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,880 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Arakan (USA) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2009 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,185 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,630 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,630 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2007 to 10 June 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ambrose McCurtin's strike rate?
Ambrose McCurtin has won 8 of 386 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ambrose McCurtin do best at?
Ballinrobe by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ambrose McCurtin ride most for?
John J Walsh, with 59 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.7%).
What is Ambrose McCurtin's Fair A/E?
0.56, from 386 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).