What is Danny McMenamin's strike rate?

Danny McMenamin has won 287 of 1,873 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Danny McMenamin do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 36 wins from 164 rides (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Danny McMenamin ride most for?

Nicky Richards, with 439 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (20.3%).

Is Danny McMenamin in form?

In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 20.7%. That is above the baseline of 15.3% since 2022.

What is Danny McMenamin's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 1,871 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Danny McMenamin

1,873 rides in the last 5 seasons · 674 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

In form — 6 winners last 14 days Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

287–1,873

Wins / Runs

15.3%

Strike rate

n=1,873

646 (35%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=1,871 · 0.96 incl. margin

−250.61

£1 level stake

n=1,873 at SP · −13.4%

£3.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 370 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 23% (245 rides). The rider is in form now — 6 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,873 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 39.5% when favourite Nicky Richards: 20.3% from 439 LTO winners: 22.9% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (22%, n=164), clear of the rider's 15.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 22.9% (n=245, Fair A/E 1.05), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8% (n=163, Fair A/E 1.08). Right now the rider is firing: 6 winners from 29 rides in the last 14 days (20.7%, 5.4pts above the 15.3% baseline). Nicky Richards supplies 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.3% vs 15.3%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the William Hill Half A Mill Grand National Trial Handicap Chase at Haydock (Feb 2026, £56,950). The standout partner of the record: Tommy's Oscar (IRE) — 10 wins from 33 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.8%−2.5

n=611 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −88.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

22.9%+7.6

n=245 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −25.44

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.4%−2.9

n=435 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −147.58

When favourite

39.5%

n=248 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +13.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

8%−7.3

n=163 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −50.62

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.5%−5.8

n=42 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −5.68

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 22.9% vs 15.3% · n=245

With Ann Hamilton 22.9% vs 15.3% · n=118

With headgear back on 24.1% vs 15.3% · n=54

At Carlisle 22% vs 15.3% · n=164

With Iain Jardine 7.4% vs 15.3% · n=68

With horses switching code 9.7% vs 15.3% · n=267

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,071 137 12.8% −250.57

Chase 669 130 19.4% +16.58

NH Flat 126 18 14.3% −23.62

Flat 7 2 28.6% +7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 714 117 16.4% −38.45

Good to Soft 563 80 14.2% −105.98

Soft 455 63 13.8% −122.19

Heavy 122 23 18.9% +18.29

Good to Firm 16 4 25% +0.72

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 200 28 14% −90.21

Ayr 176 25 14.2% −13.72

Hexham 171 33 19.3% +54.06

Carlisle 164 36 22% +65.70

Newcastle 156 28 17.9% −52.77

Sedgefield 153 21 13.7% +42.03

Perth 150 17 11.3% −51.06

Musselburgh 118 14 11.9% −42.72

Market Rasen 91 18 19.8% −22.18

Cartmel 85 13 15.3% −9.39

Wetherby 74 11 14.9% −14.30

Catterick 62 7 11.3% −35.66

Doncaster 52 10 19.2% +2.79

Haydock 51 9 17.6% −15.72

Uttoxeter 41 7 17.1% −12.47

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 749 109 14.6% −200.27

Class 5 604 98 16.2% +37.19

Class 3 293 54 18.4% −41.23

Class 2 155 19 12.3% −35.62

Class 1 72 7 9.7% −10.68

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 291 112 38.5% 1.20 +26.86

2nd–3rd fav 570 116 20.4% 1.11 −24.97

4th–6th fav 576 43 7.5% 0.93 −185.50

7th+ in betting 436 16 3.7% 1.09 −67.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.3% completed · 1,740 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 669 81.9% 22 8 90 0 1

Hurdle 1,071 85.8% 16 11 125 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Parisencore (FR) 27 5 12 9 Nov 26

Nells Son (GB) 24 5 6 7 Nov 26

Tommy's Oscar (IRE) 23 5 8 25 Oct 26

Wasdell Dundalk (FR) 23 5 12 24 Sep 26

Dare To Shout (GB) 22 4 9 22 Oct 26

Kajaki (IRE) 22 3 7 27 Aug 25

Vanilla Dancer (GB) 21 2 9 22 Oct 26

Hello Judge (GB) 19 8 9 22 Oct 26

President Scottie (IRE) 18 2 8 5 Nov 26

Pay The Piper (IRE) 18 3 7 17 Sep 25

Coniston George (IRE) 17 4 9 8 Nov 25

Euchan Falls (IRE) 16 2 5 31 Mar 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 674 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

6 from 29 20.7% · +5.4pts vs baseline

Last 14 days20.7%

5-season base15.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

101520141317112014181219

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNicky Richards

23% of all rides
20.3% SR · A/E 1.18

TrainerRWSR£1

Nicky Richards 439 89 20.3% +0.43

Chris Grant 193 21 10.9% −28.65

Ann Hamilton 118 27 22.9% −12.85

N W Alexander 96 12 12.5% −35.82

Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith 95 21 22.1% −20.07

Dianne Sayer 72 14 19.4% +3.28

Iain Jardine 68 5 7.4% −39.88

Sandy Thomson 55 8 14.5% −10.17

Lisa Harrison 40 6 15% −1.55

L J Morgan 39 8 20.5% +3.35

James Ewart 35 4 11.4% −22.84

Ewan Whillans 35 4 11.4% +7.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

398

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.81m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 77 wins

Grand Geste (IRE) — William Hill Half A Mill Grand National Trial Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Haydock · Feb 2026 · Class 1

£56,950

Dedicated Hero (IRE) — Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Grade 2

£56,319

Nietzsche (GB) — Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2018 · Grade 3

£56,270

Notable horses

Tommy's Oscar (IRE) Hello Judge (GB) Nells Son (GB) Pay The Piper (IRE) The Navigator (GB) Nuts Well (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 10.2% · 6–59

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,886 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Getaway (GER) 20.7% · 12–58

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,024 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Martaline (GB) 25% · 14–56

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Court Cave (IRE) 14.5% · 8–55

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,966 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 20.8% · 11–53

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,076 runs since 2011 (711 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,747 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,747 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 March 2018 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Belle Noire (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Book Your Christmas Party Here Mares' Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 11/2

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Disguisedlimit (IRE)T: Christopher Kellett Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 28/1

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Parisencore (FR)T: Nicky Richards Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Veterans' Handicap Steeple Chase (Qualifier)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 11/10F

09 Nov 26 Carlisle Poets Whisper (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Racing TV Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 13/8

07 Nov 26 Kelso Nells Son (GB)T: Nicky Richards luckytiger.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed The Night Before Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 1st 6/1

07 Nov 26 Kelso Jamesieconn (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Everything Kverneland Think Paxtons' David Edgar Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 5/6F

07 Nov 26 Kelso King Horse (FR)T: Nicky Richards Graeme Todd Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

06 Nov 26 Hexham Elusive Dreams (IRE)T: Ann Hamilton carpetgallop.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 1st 5/2

06 Nov 26 Hexham High Dancer (GB)T: Nicky Richards carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 7/2

06 Nov 26 Hexham Ruby Island (GB)T: Nicky Richards carpetgallop.co.uk Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 9/4F

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Party In The Park (IRE)T: Ann Hamilton Equine Products National Hunt Trainers League Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 11/2

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Thorneylands (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran F 11/8F

05 Nov 26 Newcastle President Scottie (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Racing At The Heart Of Our Community Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Brindisi Breeze Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 6th 11/1

05 Nov 26 Newcastle Spreadsheet Guru (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 8/11F

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Art Dancer (GB)T: Chris Grant Sedgefield Christmas Jumper Raceday 22nd December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 9th 4/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Gintime (IRE)T: Nicky Richards Canine PREMIER FLEX Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 3/1F

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Natural Ability (IRE)T: Chris Grant Sedgefield Racecourse For Outdoor Events Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

03 Nov 26 Sedgefield Midnight Bella (GB)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith MW Civils And Groundworks Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran UR 5/2

02 Nov 26 Southwell Scoro (FR)T: L J Morgan Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 25/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Treshnish Point (IRE)T: L J Morgan Winter Ladies Night Saturday 27th November 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 500/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 16 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 15 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 2) · to 9 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Danny McMenamin's strike rate?: Danny McMenamin has won 287 of 1,873 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Danny McMenamin do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 36 wins from 164 rides (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Danny McMenamin ride most for?: Nicky Richards, with 439 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 89 (20.3%).
Is Danny McMenamin in form?: In the last 14 days: 29 rides, 6 winners, a strike rate of 20.7%. That is above the baseline of 15.3% since 2022.
What is Danny McMenamin's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 1,871 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.