A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed60the best of the last 1 graded (A or B) run · Limerick, 7 Jul 2019
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 5 figures · best 60A · median 45
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
Good
4
60A
46
—
Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f
3
60A
47
—
6f – 7f
2
38C
15.5
—
Jumps 2 figures · best 36C · median 21.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
Good
2
36C
21.5
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
2
36C
21.5
—
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating (flat)60Cthe best of the last 3 rated runs · Gowran Park, 27 Jul 2019
Best recent KTB Rating (jumps)84Cthe best of the last 2 rated runs · Clonmel, 28 Feb 2019
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 5 figures · best 60C · median 52
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
Good
4
60C
51
—
Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f
3
60C
52
—
6f – 7f
2
53C
51.5
—
Jumps 2 figures · best 84C · median 80
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
Good
2
84C
80
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m
2
84C
80
—
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,584 runs since Jan 2008 (512 horses).
Strongest on soft going: 16% from 1,084. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.8% from 1,280. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 591. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
21
5
23.8%
+11.7
—
Good to Firm
571
71
12.4%
+0.3
—
Good
1,317
145
11%
−1.1
0 from 6
Good to Soft
859
112
13%
+0.9
—
Soft
1,084
173
16%
+3.9
0 from 1
Heavy
451
67
14.9%
+2.8
—
Standard (AW)
1,280
100
7.8%
−4.3
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
41
3
7.3%
−4.8
—
6f – 7f
574
50
8.7%
−3.4
0 from 2
1m – 1m1f
1,110
108
9.7%
−2.4
0 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f
1,852
243
13.1%
+1
—
1m5f – 2m
1,215
160
13.2%
+1.1
0 from 2
2m1f – 2m4f
591
90
15.2%
+3.1
—
2m5f – 3m
182
17
9.3%
−2.8
—
Over 3m
19
3
15.8%
+3.7
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Alarmist (IRE) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts between 2019 and 2020.
Who trained Alarmist?
Alarmist (IRE) was trained by David Peter Nagle on the most recent run on record, at Tipperary on 19 June 2020.
Who is Alarmist's sire?
Alarmist (IRE) is by Motivator (GB) out of Ekadzati (FR), whose sire is Fasliyev.
What is Alarmist's sire's record?
Motivator (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 5,584 runs since Jan 2008 (512 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on soft going: 16% from 1,084. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 7.8% from 1,280. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 591. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.
Who are Alarmist's siblings?
Out of Ekadzati (FR), Alarmist (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Kohilo (IRE) (1). The wins came over 1m1f. As at Oct 2026.
Alarmist (IRE)·0–7·SR 0%
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