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Jockey profile

Donagh O'Connor

1,203 rides in the last 5 seasons · 542 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
78–1,203
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=1,203
199 (17%)
Placed
1.12
Fair A/E
n=1,203 · 0.90 incl. margin
−385.22
£1 level stake
n=1,203 at SP · −32.0%
£1.32m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 240 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (74 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,203 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 44.4% when favourite John C McConnell: 3.3% from 424 LTO winners: 17.6% Rides the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Cork (16.3%, n=49) and Down Royal (12.9%, n=31) — all clear of the rider's 6.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.6% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −11.17 to a £1 stake over 215 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 20 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 6.5pts below the 6.5% baseline). John C McConnell supplies 35% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (3.3% vs 6.5%, A/E 0.76). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.2%, n=76). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes at Curragh (Jun 2026, £41,230). The standout partner of the record: Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) — 7 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.2%−1.3
n=501 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −188.33
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
17.6%+11.1
n=74 · A/E 1.72 · £1 +15.13
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.7%−2.8
n=215 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −11.17
When favourite
44.4%
n=36 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +14.05
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.1%−2.4
n=617 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −305.26
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6%−0.5
n=50 · A/E 0.92 · £1 +95.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 6.5% · n=74
At Cork 16.3% vs 6.5% · n=49
With Robson De Aguiar 13.2% vs 6.5% · n=121
Off a 0-7-day break 13.2% vs 6.5% · n=76
With C&D winners 10.8% vs 6.5% · n=167
At Down Royal 12.9% vs 6.5% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 389 33 8.5% −147.95
Good 344 12 3.5% −188.67
Soft 282 21 7.4% +29.02
Heavy 80 6 7.5% −27.62
Good to Soft 72 4 5.6% −39.50
Good to Firm 36 2 5.6% −10.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 381 33 8.7% −139.95
Curragh 126 5 4% −92.29
Gowran Park 89 3 3.4% −48.00
Leopardstown 78 3 3.8% −49.17
Navan 68 3 4.4% −43.50
Naas 59 1 1.7% −57.64
Fairyhouse 52 2 3.8% −22.00
Cork 49 8 16.3% +73.00
Bellewstown 48 2 4.2% −39.17
Killarney 39 4 10.3% +16.00
Galway 34 1 2.9% −24.50
Down Royal 31 4 12.9% −2.00
Limerick 29 1 3.4% −23.00
Roscommon 22 2 9.1% +111.00
Tipperary 17 0 0% −17.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 50 3 6% +95.38
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 42 17 40.5% 1.45 +15.55
2nd–3rd fav 135 29 21.5% 1.46 +18.23
4th–6th fav 264 18 6.8% 0.92 −77.00
7th+ in betting 762 14 1.8% 0.75 −342.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mulgrave (IRE) 25 4 5 19 Dec 25
Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) 22 4 7 11 Oct 24
Alex Belardo (IRE) 16 2 5 3 Jul 26
Chimeric (IRE) 15 2 3 21 Oct 24
Higher Kingdom (GB) 14 1 1 31 Jan 25
Shawaamekh (GB) 14 1 5 28 Oct 24
Nordic Passage (IRE) 14 0 3 26 Jul 24
Altimara (IRE) 13 2 4 18 Oct 26
Noble Crusade (USA) 12 1 2 28 Jun 24
Phil's Dream (IRE) 11 1 4 2 Oct 26
Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) 11 3 6 23 Sep 24
Down The Glen (IRE) 8 1 2 5 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 542 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell
0 from 20 0% · −6.5pts vs baseline
Last 14 days0%
5-season base6.5%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
151892106564342
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn C McConnell
35% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.76
TrainerRWSR£1
John C McConnell 424 14 3.3% −277.67
J F Levins 153 15 9.8% +32.66
Robson De Aguiar 121 16 13.2% −32.66
Ross O'Sullivan 109 12 11% +100.04
K J Condon 31 2 6.5% −19.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
183
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£2.51m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 22 wins
Ballinea Star (IRE) — Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Jun 2026 · Group 3
£41,230
Chally Chute (IRE) — Comer Group International Loughbrown Stakes (Group 3) Curragh · Nov 2025 · Group 3
£35,400
Ipanema Queen (IRE) — Doneraile Handicap Cork (IRE) · Jul 2026
£30,000
Notable horses
Prisoner's Dilemma (GB) Tai Sing Yeh (IRE) Mulgrave (IRE) Tribal Path (IRE) Eleuthera (GB) Nordic Passage (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mehmas (IRE) 8.3% · 5–60
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,174 runs since 2008 (750 horses).
Kingman (GB) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,493 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 961. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Make Believe (GB) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,612 runs since 2008 (298 horses).
Belardo (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,718 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,873 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.6% from 197. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.4% from 143.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,180 runs since 2008 (662 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,573 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,573 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 July 2014 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Darlene (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 2nd 9/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) San Aer (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 10/1
29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) San Juan De Lope (IRE)T: P. Twomey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 6/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) All Hail (IRE)T: John McConnell Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 28/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mudyrk (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 5/4F
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Kokoshanelle (IRE)T: Ms Sheila Lavery Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) John La Bear (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1
25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Chally Chute (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Prix Royal-oak (group 1)Class 1 · 15.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 6/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Shamrock Flame (GB)T: Robson De Aguiar Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 4/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Celtic Comet (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 16/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ipanema Queen (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 14/1
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cyclone Code (IRE)T: Simon Cavanagh Fastfix Quay Celtic 60th Anniversary Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 7/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Karakula (GB)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 17th 100/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Sonny Hayes (IRE)T: Robson De Aguiar 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 11/2
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Altimara (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 13th 13/2
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Shamrock Flame (GB)T: Robson De Aguiar Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 4th 16/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Vale Dos Pinheiros (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 10th 200/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Nouveau Grey (FR)T: Ross O'Sullivan Mongey Communications Killavullan Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 5th 17/2
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Oath Of Honor (IRE)T: Miss Natalia Lupini Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 12th 66/1
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Midnight Ace (GB)T: Ciaran Murphy Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Donagh O'Connor's strike rate?
Donagh O'Connor has won 78 of 1,203 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donagh O'Connor do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 8 wins from 49 rides (16.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Donagh O'Connor ride most for?
John C McConnell, with 424 rides since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (3.3%).
Is Donagh O'Connor in form?
In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.5% since 2022.
What is Donagh O'Connor's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 1,203 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).