What is Gavin Ryan's strike rate?

Gavin Ryan has won 125 of 1,704 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gavin Ryan do best at?

Killarney by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Gavin Ryan ride most for?

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, with 514 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (12.8%).

Is Gavin Ryan in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.3% since 2022.

What is Gavin Ryan's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 1,703 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Gavin Ryan

1,704 rides in the last 5 seasons · 823 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

125–1,704

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=1,704

379 (22%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=1,703 · 0.74 incl. margin

−609.80

£1 level stake

n=1,704 at SP · −35.8%

£3.90m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 340 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (113 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,704 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 9.2% 27% when favourite Donnacha Aidan O'Brien: 12.8% from 514 LTO winners: 11.5% Rides the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (16.7%, n=48), Bellewstown (15.2%, n=46) and Listowel (15%, n=40) — all clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.5% (n=113, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.5% (n=769, Fair A/E 0.69). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.69 and −116.85 to a £1 stake over 213 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 7.3pts below the 7.3% baseline). Donnacha Aidan O'Brien supplies 30% of the rides and beats the rider's average (12.8% vs 7.3%, A/E 0.92). 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Criterium International at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2022, £120,042). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.1%−2.2

n=770 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −334.52

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.5%+4.2

n=113 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −23.67

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.2%+1.9

n=261 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −36.52

When favourite

27%

n=111 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −36.31

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.5%−3.8

n=769 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −403.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.1%−1.2

n=213 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −116.85

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Killarney 16.7% vs 7.3% · n=48

With Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 12.8% vs 7.3% · n=514

At Bellewstown 15.2% vs 7.3% · n=46

With Mark Fahey 14% vs 7.3% · n=86

At Listowel 15% vs 7.3% · n=40

With Kieran P Cotter 0% vs 7.3% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 645 45 7% −122.33

Soft 446 32 7.2% −241.25

Standard (AW) 279 15 5.4% −116.80

Heavy 137 14 10.2% −30.88

Good to Soft 125 14 11.2% −62.41

Good to Firm 72 5 6.9% −36.13

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 270 15 5.6% −107.80

Curragh 268 12 4.5% −182.55

Leopardstown 148 8 5.4% −70.40

Gowran Park 134 10 7.5% −42.38

Naas 122 14 11.5% +30.92

Navan 120 8 6.7% −85.81

Cork 104 8 7.7% −57.65

Fairyhouse 64 5 7.8% −2.50

Galway 63 4 6.3% −36.17

Down Royal 60 7 11.7% +10.08

Tipperary 50 5 10% +0.13

Killarney 48 8 16.7% −6.59

Bellewstown 46 7 15.2% +9.75

Listowel 40 6 15% +0.40

Roscommon 39 2 5.1% −22.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 213 13 6.1% −116.85

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 128 31 24.2% 0.83 −48.31

2nd–3rd fav 296 48 16.2% 1.01 −60.99

4th–6th fav 435 27 6.2% 0.87 −159.50

7th+ in betting 845 19 2.2% 0.88 −341.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Imposing Supreme (IRE) 14 2 5 9 Aug 25

Booyea (IRE) 13 3 5 14 Sep 25

Maestro Stick (GB) 13 2 3 20 Oct 23

Wodao (FR) 13 2 5 24 Sep 23

Rhythm King (IRE) 12 4 5 19 Oct 25

Winemaker (FR) 12 3 4 7 Mar 25

Tenth Amendment (IRE) 12 0 3 29 Aug 24

Drop The Dip (IRE) 11 3 3 23 Sep 24

Havana Anna (GB) 10 3 7 23 Aug 26

Tara Power (IRE) 10 0 1 23 Apr 26

Lady Doris (IRE) 9 2 3 7 May 25

Asisaid (IRE) 9 1 1 2 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 823 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 15 0% · −7.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base7.3%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

73412891057540

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardDonnacha Aidan O'Brien

30% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 0.92

TrainerRWSR£1

Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 514 66 12.8% −184.60

P J F Murphy 89 5 5.6% +0.71

Mark Fahey 86 12 14% +49.50

Thomas Gibney 75 8 10.7% −5.40

Diego Dias 66 4 6.1% −41.30

Keith Henry Clarke 52 4 7.7% −2.00

A P O'Brien 52 2 3.8% −45.84

John Joseph Hanlon 37 2 5.4% −3.00

Kieran P Cotter 37 0 0% −37.00

Timothy Doyle 33 1 3% −12.00

M C Grassick 31 2 6.5% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

250

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.96m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 59 wins

Proud And Regal (IRE) — Criterium International (2yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2022 · Group 1

£120,042

Booyea (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Derby Festival Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Jun 2024

£59,000

Madbadanddangerous (IRE) — BOYLE Sports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap) Down Royal · Jun 2026

£58,900

Notable horses

Rhythm King (IRE) Booyea (IRE) Reverberation (GB) Winemaker (FR) Drop The Dip (IRE) Current Option (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Galileo (IRE) 8.1% · 6–74

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,195 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

No Nay Never (USA) 3.4% · 2–59

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,340 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Wootton Bassett (GB) 12.7% · 7–55

Progeny have won 13% of 5,664 runs since 2008 (789 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.

Churchill (IRE) 14% · 7–50

Progeny have won 11% of 4,817 runs since 2008 (461 horses).

Australia (GB) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,659 runs since 2008 (565 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–43

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,950 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,094 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,094 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 March 2017 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Legacy Of Stardom (IRE)T: Mrs Denise Foster Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hot To Foxtrot (IRE)T: John James Feane Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Courtier (IRE)T: S. R. B. Crawford Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 200/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Slightly (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irishinjuredjockeys.com Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Thumama Sands (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Dundalk Stadium Optional Claiming Race8f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Focaccia (IRE)T: J A Stack BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 66/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Hello Garda (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 8th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Isle Of Capri (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 4th 18/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Shake It Out (GB)T: Kieran P Cotter 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 13th 7/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Conclusive (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 11/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Nthea Spirit (IRE)T: Tracey Collins Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 14th 300/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Miss Hong Kong (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Pirate Of Penzance (IRE)T: Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 25/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ohailbhic (IRE)T: John James Feane BAR 1 Betting 'Supporting Irish Racing' Handicap7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hot To Foxtrot (IRE)T: John James Feane Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 12/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Azure Sioux (IRE)T: Patrick T Foley DNG People & Property Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran PU 150/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Go Athletico (FR)T: Adrian McGuinness DNG Nationwide Handicap6f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Cherry Hill Girl (IRE)T: A. Slattery SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Madbadanddangerous (IRE)T: Noel Meade Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap16f · Soft · 17 ran 2nd 11/1

11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Glyfada (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF Garnet Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gavin Ryan's strike rate?: Gavin Ryan has won 125 of 1,704 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gavin Ryan do best at?: Killarney by strike rate: 8 wins from 48 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gavin Ryan ride most for?: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, with 514 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 66 (12.8%).
Is Gavin Ryan in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 7.3% since 2022.
What is Gavin Ryan's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 1,703 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.