What is Robbie Colgan's strike rate?

Robbie Colgan has won 66 of 1,606 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robbie Colgan do best at?

Roscommon by strike rate: 4 wins from 54 rides (7.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robbie Colgan ride most for?

Ms Sheila Lavery, with 427 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (5.2%).

Is Robbie Colgan in form?

In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.1% since 2022.

What is Robbie Colgan's Fair A/E?

0.86, from 1,602 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robbie Colgan

1,606 rides in the last 5 seasons · 621 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

66–1,606

Wins / Runs

4.1%

Strike rate

n=1,606

224 (14%)

Placed

0.86

Fair A/E

n=1,602 · 0.69 incl. margin

−607.33

£1 level stake

n=1,606 at SP · −37.8%

£1.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 320 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.86). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 9% (67 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,606 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.5% Ms Sheila Lavery: 5.2% from 427 LTO winners: 9%

The read

It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 50 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.93). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −359.00 to a £1 stake over 557 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 0 from 23 rides in the last 14 days (0%, 4.1pts below the 4.1% baseline). Ms Sheila Lavery supplies 27% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.85). The record reads poorly at trips under 6f — 0% over 92 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap at Curragh (IRE) (Sep 2026, £90,000). The standout partner of the record: Laid Back Luke (IRE) — 5 wins from 27 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.3%−1.8

n=557 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −359.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9%+4.9

n=67 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −27.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%+2.4

n=322 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −10.00

When favourite

25%

n=28 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −5.04

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%+0.0

n=830 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −373.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−2.2

n=53 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Andrew Kinirons 10.2% vs 4.1% · n=49

On last-time-out winners 9% vs 4.1% · n=67

At trips under 6f 0% vs 4.1% · n=92

At Down Royal 0% vs 4.1% · n=50

With Luke Comer 0% vs 4.1% · n=47

With Patrick Magee 0% vs 4.1% · n=37

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,605 66 4.1% −606.33

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 491 20 4.1% −182.25

Standard (AW) 417 20 4.8% −246.29

Soft 412 16 3.9% −92.79

Heavy 132 3 2.3% −57.00

Good to Soft 122 7 5.7% +3.00

Good to Firm 32 0 0% −32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 412 20 4.9% −241.29

Curragh 194 6 3.1% −100.50

Leopardstown 130 4 3.1% −76.00

Navan 110 4 3.6% −22.00

Gowran Park 101 6 5.9% +154.83

Naas 77 3 3.9% −50.50

Cork 69 3 4.3% +6.50

Galway 62 3 4.8% −39.12

Bellewstown 57 1 1.8% −48.00

Roscommon 54 4 7.4% −11.50

Down Royal 50 0 0% −50.00

Killarney 44 1 2.3% −40.00

Fairyhouse 44 2 4.5% −36.25

Limerick 37 2 5.4% −16.00

Ballinrobe 26 0 0% −26.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 53 1 1.9% −30.00

Class 2 9 1 11.1% −3.50

Class 4 4 1 25% +0.50

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 30 7 23.3% 0.96 −7.04

2nd–3rd fav 153 22 14.4% 0.99 −26.29

4th–6th fav 301 16 5.3% 0.78 −142.00

7th+ in betting 1,122 21 1.9% 0.80 −432.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Grey Fable (IRE) 20 0 2 20 Jun 26

La La Lucrative (IRE) 18 3 5 1 Nov 26

Mapa (CAN) 17 0 1 4 Sep 26

Anvika (IRE) 16 2 4 15 Oct 26

Salah Belle (IRE) 13 2 2 3 Jun 26

Hale Bopp (IRE) 13 1 2 1 Nov 24

Toriangel (IRE) 13 1 2 6 Sep 23

Shanroe (GB) 12 2 2 28 Nov 25

Platino Bianco (IRE) 12 0 3 31 Oct 25

New Hill (IRE) 12 0 2 31 Oct 23

Suerte (IRE) 11 0 1 2 Sep 26

Milverton (GB) 11 0 0 9 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 621 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 23 0% · −4.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base4.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

551755616327

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMs Sheila Lavery

27% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.85

TrainerRWSR£1

Ms Sheila Lavery 427 22 5.2% −118.42

Matthew J Smith 103 7 6.8% −40.50

Chris Timmons 80 3 3.8% −59.50

A J Martin 69 5 7.2% +8.50

Kevin Thomas Coleman 61 1 1.6% −53.00

Karl Thornton 55 3 5.5% −44.62

Andrew Kinirons 49 5 10.2% +33.00

Luke Comer 47 0 0% −47.00

David Marnane 46 2 4.3% −29.50

M C Grassick 41 2 4.9% −20.50

John Joseph Murphy 41 2 4.9% −21.50

Patrick Magee 37 0 0% −37.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

289

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.16m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 28 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Orandi (FR) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Sep 2026

£90,000

Orandi (FR) — COLM QUINN BMW Mile Handicap Galway (IRE) · Jul 2026

£72,000

Royal County Star (IRE) — williamhill.ie Troytown Handiap Chase (0-150) Navan · Nov 2007 · Grade B

£65,100

Notable horses

Laid Back Luke (IRE) Shanroe (GB) Whatever Jacksays (IRE) Zabana (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE) Foildubh (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 3.4% · 3–89

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,988 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Elzaam (AUS) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,531 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.2% from 328.

Belardo (IRE) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,744 runs since 2020 (281 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 2.2% · 1–45

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,222 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.

Dark Angel (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,953 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

New Bay (GB) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,005 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,766 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,766 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lady In The Gods (GB)T: Andrew Lee BAR 1 Betting Bet Builder Boost Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 66/1

06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Wearing Stars (IRE)T: Henry de Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Cooley Fillies Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Connova (IRE)T: Ms Sheila Lavery Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 6/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Final Boss (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Fox In Flight (GB)T: David Marnane Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 28/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mirissa Beach (IRE)T: Chris Timmons Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 125/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Louisiana (IRE)T: Ms Sheila Lavery Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 12th 40/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) La La Lucrative (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Isuzu Ireland Handicap7f · Yielding To Soft · 25 ran 23rd 50/1

01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Tinshona (IRE)T: Ms Sheila Lavery Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 22nd 200/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Searcog (IRE)T: Patrick Magee Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Golddream (FR)T: David Marnane Happy Halloween Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Toristar (IRE)T: Chris Timmons Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 18/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Saith Seren (GB)T: Andrew Lee See You At The GR1 Double Header – 21 & 22 November Handicap (Div II)7f · Yielding · 11 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Knockraha Pa (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Premiere Weekend Race & Dine Packages From €75pp Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 20/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Evan D Invincible (IRE)T: Mark Michael McNiff Win A Trip To Lapland At Punchestown On Sun 22 November Maiden7f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 300/1

29 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Excuzio Joe (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Punchestown Premiere Weekend Sat 21 & Sun 22 November Handicap8f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Cozone (GB)T: Matthew J Smith Happy Halloween Handicap12f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 80/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Normanton (IRE)T: David Marnane Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/2

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Final Boss (IRE)T: Matthew J Smith Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 12/1

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ukiyo (IRE)T: Andrew Kinirons Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Robbie Colgan's strike rate?: Robbie Colgan has won 66 of 1,606 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robbie Colgan do best at?: Roscommon by strike rate: 4 wins from 54 rides (7.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robbie Colgan ride most for?: Ms Sheila Lavery, with 427 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (5.2%).
Is Robbie Colgan in form?: In the last 14 days: 23 rides, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.1% since 2022.
What is Robbie Colgan's Fair A/E?: 0.86, from 1,602 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.