Aoife's Thunder (IRE)
Aoife's Thunder is a maiden who has yet to win from 11 starts and has placed three times. Her best effort came when second of 12 at Chelmsford City (AW) in Aug 2025. She raced over 1m2f – 1m4f on seven of those starts and has never won on Standard (AW), Good to Firm, Good or Firm. Typically held up, she finished 7 of 10 at Southwell (AW) in Oct 2025 off an official rating of 47.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 3 (27.3%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 48Highest OR
- 30dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 127
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 91B | 64 | — |
| Good | 2 | 96A | 70 | — |
| Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 127B | 93.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 72A | 72 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 11 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 9 analysed runs
- Held up 5 (56%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 2 (22%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (11%) · 0 wins
- Midfield 1 (11%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,774 runs since Jan 2008 (458 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +0.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Firm | 644 | 79 | 12.3% | +1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 1,374 | 165 | 12% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 531 | 51 | 9.6% | −1.4 | — |
| Soft | 701 | 62 | 8.8% | −2.2 | — |
| Heavy | 224 | 19 | 8.5% | −2.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,291 | 150 | 11.6% | +0.6 | 0 from 6 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 146 | 17 | 11.6% | +0.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,291 | 145 | 11.2% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,114 | 118 | 10.6% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,295 | 138 | 10.7% | −0.3 | 0 from 7 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 643 | 80 | 12.4% | +1.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 242 | 28 | 11.6% | +0.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 43 | 1 | 2.3% | −8.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Hippodrome (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m1f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hippodrome (IRE) | 5 | 1 | 1m1f | — |
| Firebolt (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Knight Of Storms (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Greatrex | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Charles Bishop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ethan Jones | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warren Fentiman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 25+23d | Southwell (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Went straight to front early - driven for effort and lost command entering the home bend - drifted off a true line and dropped away with 2f left - eventually beaten well over 29 lengths in 7th | 7/10 | 17 | 8-10 | 47 | 56C | 36C | Edward Greatrex | 9/1 |
| 23 Sep 25+26d | Southwell (AW) | At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Sat handy behind the front group early - lost touch with the pace 4f out - down in fifth with a furlong left making no further headway - kept going to the line finishing fifth | 5/9 | 8 | 9-1 | 47 | 48C | 41C | Charles Bishop | 15/2 |
| 28 Aug 25+16d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Paddy Power Classified Stakes Set the tone in front - pressed for effort and lost command entering final furlong - kept up the graft to the line but never troubled the winner | 2/12 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 47 | 91B | 58A | Silvestre De Sousa | 4/1 |
| 12 Aug 25+8d | Lingfield | Sid Sims, Explosive Staging & Events Classified Stakes Held up in the pack - pushed along and made progress wide 2f out - unable to quicken in the closing stages - finished seventh | 7/10 | ½ | 8-13 | 47 | — | 45A | Edward Greatrex | 2/1F |
| 04 Aug 25+19d | Windsor | Windsor Summer Saturday Closing Party Classified Stakes Settled at back of field - moved through after shifting to left and asked for effort 2f out - 4th in closing stages unable to close gap | 4/6 | 1¼ | 9-1 | 48 | 96A | 57B | Edward Greatrex | 11/8F |
| 16 Jul 25+30d | Bath | Harrow Inn At Wanborough Handicap Settled behind the front group early - moved into a forward spot by halfway - urged into 3rd approaching 2f out - closed on the front-runner inside the final furlong - fought back in the last stages - narrowly denied at the line | 2/11 | nk | 8-7 | 47 | 127B | 63A | Silvestre De Sousa | 4/1 |
| 16 Jun 25+18d | Windsor | Call Fitzdares For Royal Ascot Classified Stakes Held up towards back - progress under pressure over 2f out to move into second - stayed on to finish 3.75L second | 2/13 | 3¾ | 8-10 | 45 | 96C | 64A | Edward Greatrex | 20/1 |
| 29 May 25+33d | Ripon | Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap Settled just behind the front group early - eased into pressure over 3f out and lost ground steadily thereafter - finished sixth well beaten | 6/9 | 3 | 8-9 | 46 | 44A | 32A | Ethan Jones | 16/1 |
| 26 Apr 25+16d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Download The At The Races App Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Held up rear early - never got competitive - finished 10th | 10/11 | hd | 8-11 | — | 72A | 37A | Warren Fentiman | 150/1 |
| 10 Apr 25+111d | Newcastle (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Slow to begin and bumped at the off - raced freely in mid-pack - pushed for effort with over 2f left then lost ground from the final furlong to finish well beaten | 10/12 | ¾ | 8-11 | — | 72A | 41A | Kieran Shoemark | 28/1 |
| 20 Dec 24 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Irish EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Handy early - pushed along with 2f left - lost ground inside final furlong - eventually beaten home | 6/9 | 4¾ | 9-2 | — | 42A | 47A | Kieran Shoemark | 40/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Aoife's Thunder (IRE) won?
- Aoife's Thunder (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2024 and 2025. Placed 3 times in total (27.3% of starts).
- Who trained Aoife's Thunder (IRE)?
- Aoife's Thunder (IRE) was trained by Warren Greatrex on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 16 October 2025.
- Who is Aoife's Thunder (IRE)'s sire?
- Aoife's Thunder (IRE) is by Churchill (IRE) out of Lightning Thunder (GB), whose sire is Dutch Art.
- What is Aoife's Thunder (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 47, from the run on 16 October 2025. The highest on record is 48.
- What is Aoife's Thunder (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Churchill (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11% of 4,774 runs since Jan 2008 (458 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Aoife's Thunder (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Lightning Thunder (GB), Aoife's Thunder (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Hippodrome (IRE) (1). The wins came over 1m1f. As at Oct 2026.