Ethan Jones
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.76).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.37). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −188.94 to a £1 stake over 308 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Hughes supplies 24% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 0.80). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.1%, n=35) and at trips under 6f (13%, n=54). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 43 rides, 7.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.40 across 97 rides (4.1% strike, −74.05 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 331 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 331 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 January 2022 to 30 June 2025.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ethan Jones's strike rate?
- Ethan Jones has won 25 of 331 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ethan Jones do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ethan Jones ride most for?
- Richard Hughes, with 81 rides since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8.6%).
- What is Ethan Jones's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 327 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.