Edward Greatrex
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (119 rides).
The record is strongest at Chepstow (26.3%, n=38), clear of the rider's 14.1% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (8.7% over 103 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.6% (n=119, Fair A/E 0.97), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.9% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.94). Ralph Beckett supplies 17% of the rides and edges the rider's average (18.1% vs 14.1%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (33.3%, n=39). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 8.5% over 117 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Balmoral Handicap at Ascot (Oct 2015, £155,625).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
SteadyBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,916 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,916 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 February 2015 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Edward Greatrex's strike rate?
- Edward Greatrex has won 145 of 1,027 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Edward Greatrex do best at?
- Chepstow by strike rate: 10 wins from 38 rides (26.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Edward Greatrex ride most for?
- Ralph Beckett, with 171 rides since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (18.1%).
- Is Edward Greatrex in form?
- In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.1% since 2022.
- What is Edward Greatrex's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 1,021 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.