Edward Greatrex
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (122 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Chepstow (26.3%, n=38), clear of the rider's 14% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (8% over 112 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.2% (n=122, Fair A/E 0.95), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=108, Fair A/E 0.87). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +25.45 to a £1 stake over 167 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (6.7%, 7.3pts below the 14% baseline). Ralph Beckett supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (18.1% vs 14%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (33.3%, n=39). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 8.4% over 119 rides, 5.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Balmoral Handicap at Ascot (Oct 2015, £155,625).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 14% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,948 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,948 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 February 2015 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 10 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Edward Greatrex's strike rate?
- Edward Greatrex has won 148 of 1,059 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Edward Greatrex do best at?
- Chepstow by strike rate: 10 wins from 38 rides (26.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Edward Greatrex ride most for?
- Ralph Beckett, with 171 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (18.1%).
- Is Edward Greatrex in form?
- In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 14% since 2022.
- What is Edward Greatrex's Fair A/E?
- 1.16, from 1,053 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.