What is Warren Greatrex's strike rate?

Warren Greatrex has won 153 of 1,217 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Warren Greatrex do best at?

Taunton by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Warren Greatrex?

James Bowen, with 394 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (17%).

Is Warren Greatrex in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Warren Greatrex's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,214 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Warren Greatrex

1,217 runners in the last 5 seasons · 159 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.6% of 341 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 19 Oct 2026.

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2022

153–1,217

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,217

428 (35%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,214 · 0.81 incl. margin

−260.69

£1 level stake

n=1,217 at SP · −21.4%

£1.87m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 19% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,217 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 36.9% when favourite James Bowen: 17% from 394 Headgear returns: 18.8% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Taunton (23.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 12.6% baseline. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 18.8% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.61), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6.7% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.65). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −13.23 to a £1 stake over 238 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Bowen rides 32% of the entries and edges the yard's average (17% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (21.1%, n=360). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 4.9% over 103 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes World Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2015, £170,850). The stable star of the record: La Bague Au Roi (FR) — 14 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8%−4.6

n=238 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −13.23

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.7%−5.9

n=30 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −23.62

Debutants · first career start

8.6%−4.0

n=93 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −42.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−3.5

n=66 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −29.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

18.8%+6.2

n=32 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −3.17

When favourite

36.9%

n=157 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −7.48

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.7%−2.9

n=134 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −76.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.4%−9.2

n=29 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 28.6% vs 12.6% · n=56

On last-time-out winners 24% vs 12.6% · n=146

In Chase races 21.1% vs 12.6% · n=360

With Sean Bowen 22.2% vs 12.6% · n=72

At Taunton 23.3% vs 12.6% · n=30

Off a break of 180+ days 4.9% vs 12.6% · n=103

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 463 39 8.4% −161.40

Chase 360 76 21.1% −8.92

Flat 306 28 9.2% −59.63

NH Flat 88 10 11.4% −30.74

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 410 57 13.9% −136.12

Good to Soft 292 29 9.9% −172.18

Soft 246 33 13.4% +87.12

Standard (AW) 109 17 15.6% +16.71

Good to Firm 88 8 9.1% −17.45

Heavy 68 8 11.8% −36.44

Firm 4 1 25% −2.33

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 81 10 12.3% −4.43

Fontwell 64 10 15.6% −26.54

Newbury 59 5 8.5% −21.00

Hereford 53 9 17% −2.12

Plumpton 48 4 8.3% −27.25

Southwell 47 10 21.3% −8.38

Warwick 44 8 18.2% −4.75

Uttoxeter 38 2 5.3% −30.27

Stratford 37 5 13.5% −21.50

Windsor 36 2 5.6% −26.38

Kempton (AW) 36 4 11.1% −23.76

Chepstow 34 4 11.8% −21.72

Huntingdon 33 2 6.1% −26.67

Taunton 30 7 23.3% +30.18

Wincanton 27 4 14.8% −12.95

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 585 66 11.3% −280.25

Class 5 359 59 16.4% −14.46

Class 3 125 14 11.2% +47.33

Class 2 55 5 9.1% −29.68

Class 6 47 6 12.8% +24.04

Class 1 44 3 6.8% −5.67

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 178 63 35.4% 1.09 −11.97

2nd–3rd fav 368 59 16% 0.90 −105.72

4th–6th fav 398 22 5.5% 0.71 −182.00

7th+ in betting 273 9 3.3% 1.02 +39.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.7% completed · 823 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 360 78.3% 12 7 58 1 0

Hurdle 463 87.9% 8 3 42 1 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jaramillo (GB)from Roger Varian 33 4 11 13 Oct 26

Jet Of Dreams (IRE) 32 7 16 7 Oct 26

Bill Baxter (IRE) 26 5 9 2 May 26

Line Of Descent (IRE)from Simon & Ed Crisford 25 3 11 23 May 26

Herakles Westwood (FR) 23 6 9 18 Apr 26

Sageburg County (IRE) 22 3 9 23 May 25

Mighty Bandit (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 21 5 10 11 Apr 26

Pilot Show (IRE) 20 2 10 20 Sep 24

Bolsover Bill (IRE)then Harry Derham 20 5 10 28 Jun 23

Gilet (IRE) 18 1 8 30 Sep 26

Premier (FR) 18 2 8 5 Jul 26

Peter The Wolf (GB) 17 2 8 4 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 159 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole (2) and Gordon Elliott (2); 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

119813169141011131518

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Bowen

32% of all rides
17% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

James Bowen 394 67 17% −64.63

Edward Greatrex 150 19 12.7% +17.92

Harry Bannister 90 11 12.2% −36.71

Sean Bowen 72 16 22.2% +98.06

Henry Brooke 50 2 4% −43.50

Caoilin Quinn 47 2 4.3% −36.62

Dylan Kitts 44 7 15.9% −16.62

Charles Bishop 37 3 8.1% −30.21

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

577

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.96m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 59 wins

Cole Harden (IRE) — Ladbrokes World Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2015 · Grade 1

£170,850

One Track Mind (IRE) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2016 · Grade 1

£118,000

Bill Baxter (IRE) — Randox Supports Race Against Dementia Topham Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) (National Course) Aintree · Apr 2023 · Class 1

£84,195

Notable horses

La Bague Au Roi (FR) Paint The Clouds (GB) Bailarico (IRE) Village Master (IRE) The Nipper (IRE) Jet Of Dreams (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Jet Away (GB) 16.9% · 11–65

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (267 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,810 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Yeats (IRE) 13.7% · 7–51

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Getaway (GER) 15.9% · 7–44

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,912 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Milan (GB) 12.8% · 5–39

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,843 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Order Of St George (IRE) 20% · 7–35

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,133 runs since 2008 (197 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.5% from 474.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,026 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,026 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2009 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) In The City (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Southwell Golden Garden (USA)J: James Bowen Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 28/1

13 Oct 26 Hereford Jaramillo (GB)J: Richard Upton Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 7/1

10 Oct 26 York All In You (FR)J: Finley Marsh Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 5/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Inchi's Mooch (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Orchard (FR)J: Edward Greatrex Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Stakes (Div I) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 28/1

07 Oct 26 Sedgefield Jet Of Dreams (IRE)J: Richard Upton Jodie Standings Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 4 ran 1st 7/4

05 Oct 26 Pontefract Noble Grace (IRE)J: Edward Greatrex Always Trying Racing Syndicate Handicap StakesClass 5 · 18f · Good · 6 ran 1st 9/4

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Governors Rock (IRE)J: James Bowen F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 8/11F

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Miracleoftheandes (IRE)J: Luke Morris Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 4/1J

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Forever Penywern (GB)J: Sean Levey Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 12/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Gilet (IRE)J: Sean Levey Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 12/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Open To Offers (IRE)J: Charles Bishop Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 10th 28/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dark Alley (GB)J: Luke Morris Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 28/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Deadline (FR)J: Sean Levey Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Sep 26 Bath Army Bugler (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 16/1

29 Sep 26 Sedgefield Jet Of Dreams (IRE)J: James Bowen Premier Road Markings Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 7/2

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Dandy G Boy (IRE)J: Harry Vigors Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 7/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Liam Mera Kai (FR)J: Harry Vigors 3rd And 10th Oktoberfest Race Nights Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Starakova (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 100/30J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Warren Greatrex's strike rate?: Warren Greatrex has won 153 of 1,217 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Warren Greatrex do best at?: Taunton by strike rate: 7 wins from 30 runners (23.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Warren Greatrex?: James Bowen, with 394 runners since 2022 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 67 (17%).
Is Warren Greatrex in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Warren Greatrex's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,214 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.