Horse profile
Believe It (IRE)
6yo horse (at last run, May 2018) · Last trainer Richard Hughes · Last owner Richard Hughes Racing Club
by Rip Van Winkle (IRE) out of Have Faith (IRE) (Machiavellian)
33 runs · 13 courses · from May 2015
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 15 May 2018 — 3,087 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run May 2018 · 8th of 13
8 wins · Kempton (AW), Lingfield (AW) & Wolverhampton (AW)
Last raced off OR 77
KTB Profile
Believe It (IRE) is 8 from 33. Hasn't won since Mar 2018. 6 of 9 starts at Kempton (AW) have ended in wins. All 8 wins have come on the all-weather — 0 from 8 on turf. Last raced off 77, 13lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 33 archived runs · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on AW
OR ↓ 13lb off peak
- 8–33Wins / Runs
- 24.2%Strike rate
- 13 (39.4%)Placed
- +28.85£1 level staken=33 at SP
- 1.72Fair A/E n=33 · 1.48 incl. margin
- 90Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating77↓ 13lb off peak
77
54–90
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 100
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 17 | 114A | 92 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 130C | 115 | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 15 | 130C | 98 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 106B | 100 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 91B | 86.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 20 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (324 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | +0.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 499 | 49 | 9.8% | −0.3 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 901 | 82 | 9.1% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 440 | 35 | 8% | −2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 541 | 54 | 10% | −0.1 | — |
| Heavy | 182 | 20 | 11% | +0.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,363 | 157 | 11.5% | +1.4 | 8 from 25 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 127 | 15 | 11.8% | +1.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 902 | 101 | 11.2% | +1.1 | 3 from 13 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 976 | 89 | 9.1% | −1 | 5 from 18 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 990 | 98 | 9.9% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 636 | 66 | 10.4% | +0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 258 | 23 | 8.9% | −1.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 57 | 7 | 12.3% | +2.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Have Faith (IRE) (Machiavellian)
10 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Fly True (GB) (5 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Faithful One (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fly True (GB) | 47 | 5 | 5f–7f | Class 6 |
| Faithful One (IRE) | 24 | 3 | 6½f–1m | Class 4 |
| Into Faith (FR) | 14 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Nur Jahan (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 7f | Class 5 |
| Allante (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 1m½f | Class 4 |
| Wedding Wish (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Malika I Jahan (FR) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Congregation (GB) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Ever The Optimist (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Fatefulday (FR) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 25 | 8 | 32% | +36.85 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 15 | 4 | 27% | +24.25 |
| Class 6 | 8 | 2 | 25% | −2.40 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton (AW) | 9 | 6 | 67% | +47.25 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.90 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.50 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 18 | 5 | 28% | +29.25 |
| 6f – 7f | 13 | 3 | 23% | +1.60 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Cummins | 13 | 4 | 31% | +26.25 |
| Nicola Currie | 8 | 2 | 25% | +9.00 |
| Shane Kelly | 7 | 2 | 29% | −1.40 |
| Chris Kelly | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sean Levey | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr Hugo Hunt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 13 | 5 | 38% | +32.25 |
| None | 11 | 2 | 18% | −5.40 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +7.00 |
| 2017 | 13 | 4 | 31% | +26.25 |
| 2016 | 12 | 2 | 17% | −3.90 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 15 May 18+20d | Chepstow | Best Odds Guaranteed At 188Bet Handicap | 8/13 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 77 | 130C | 66A | Stephen Cummins | 14/1 |
| 25 Apr 18+33d | Lingfield (AW) | Enhanced Place Odds At 188bet Handicap | 9/11 | nk | 8-9 | 90 | 98A | 69A | Stephen Cummins | 25/1 |
| 23 Mar 18+11d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Handicap | 1/10 | 9-4 | 87 | 98A | 94A | Nicola Currie | 10/1 | |
| 12 Mar 18+71d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet Quadpot At totesport.com Handicap | 7/10 | shd | 8-9 | 87 | 100A | 60A | Stephen Cummins | 33/1 |
| 2017 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Dec 17+24d | Lingfield (AW) | Play For Free At sunbets.co.uk/vegas Handicap | 11/12 | nse | 8-0 | 88 | 114A | 58A | Nicola Currie | 33/1 |
| 07 Dec 17+16d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Bet toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap | 2/12 | 2¾ | 8-6 | 87 | 101A | 85A | Stephen Cummins | 66/1 |
| 21 Nov 17+73d | Lingfield (AW) | Betway Handicap | 13/13 | 2 | 8-9 | 89 | 82B | 63A | Stephen Cummins | 50/1 |
| 09 Sep 17+13d | Kempton (AW) | totequadpot London Mile Handicap (Series Final) | 16/16 | ¾ | 8-11 | 89 | 89B | 54A | Stephen Cummins | 25/1 |
| 27 Aug 17+17d | Goodwood | Goodwood Amateur Riders' Handicap | 10/11 | 15 | 11-10 | 77 | 18C | 60C | Mr Hugo Hunt | 100/30F |
| 10 Aug 17+57d | Brighton | Silk Series Lady Riders' Handicap | 2/6 | ½ | 10-2 | 75 | 100A | 80B | Nicola Currie | 5/2F |
| 14 Jun 17+7d | Kempton (AW) | Follow racing_uk On Twitter Apprentice Handicap | 1/12 | 10-1 | 77 | 88A | 104A | Stephen Cummins | 9/4F | |
| 07 Jun 17+39d | Kempton (AW) | 100% Profits Boost At 32redsport.com Handicap | 1/13 | 9-2 | 77 | 106B | 85A | Stephen Cummins | 8/1 | |
| 29 Apr 17+22d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Wainwright Golden Beer Handicap | 4/12 | nk | 9-2 | 77 | 92A | 83A | Stephen Cummins | 7/1 |
| 07 Apr 17+30d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Handicap | 1/10 | 8-3 | 74 | 89A | 74A | Stephen Cummins | 5/1 | |
| 08 Mar 17+34d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Apprentice Handicap | 1/12 | 8-10 | 69 | 100A | 84A | Stephen Cummins | 20/1 | |
| 02 Feb 17+29d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Toteplacepot Six Places In Six Races Apprentice Handicap | 12/13 | 4½ | 8-8 | 69 | 73C | 40C | Stephen Cummins | 10/1 |
| 04 Jan 17+15d | Lingfield (AW) | Betway Handicap | 4/8 | 1½ | 8-1 | 69 | 91B | 66A | Nicola Currie | 6/1 |
| 2016 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 16+20d | Kempton (AW) | Racing UK All Weather 'Hands And Heels' Apprentice Handicap | 1/8 | 8-9 | 65 | 101A | 89A | Nicola Currie | 5/1 | |
| 30 Nov 16+51d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red Casino Handicap | 8/13 | 1 | 9-3 | 66 | 86B | 59A | Shane Kelly | 15/2 |
| 10 Oct 16+46d | Chelmsford (AW) | Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Handicap | 3/12 | 2 | 8-10 | 66 | 90A | 73A | Stephen Cummins | 7/1 |
| 25 Aug 16+26d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Trp Shrewsbury Handicap | 2/12 | 1¾ | 9-10 | 63 | — | 87A | Shane Kelly | 11/4F |
| 30 Jul 16+15d | Lingfield | Mobile Betting At 188bet Apprentice Handicap | 3/6 | 3¼ | 8-13 | 60 | — | 65B | Nicola Currie | 9/4J |
| 15 Jul 16+16d | Newbury | Oakley Coachbuilders Apprentice Handicap | 6/9 | shd | 8-7 | 63 | — | 61A | Nicola Currie | 8/1 |
| 29 Jun 16+29d | Kempton (AW) | Racing Welfare Stable Staff Week Apprentice Handicap | 8/11 | nse | 8-7 | 63 | — | 69A | Nicola Currie | 11/2 |
| 31 May 16+4d | Lingfield (AW) | Ryan Vehicles Handicap | 2/12 | ½ | 9-3 | 61 | — | 77A | Shane Kelly | 7/2F |
| 27 May 16+93d | Bath | Simonstone Handicap | 10/12 | 1 | 9-3 | 61 | — | 47C | Shane Kelly | 9/2 |
| 24 Feb 16+40d | Lingfield (AW) | Ladbrokes Handicap | 1/7 | 9-4 | 57 | — | 80A | Shane Kelly | 11/10F | |
| 15 Jan 16+4d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Handicap | 7/12 | ½ | 8-11 | 57 | — | 55A | Chris Kelly | 11/8F |
| 11 Jan 16+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Ladbrokes Apprentice Handicap | 4/12 | 1¼ | 8-7 | 57 | — | 63A | Chris Kelly | 13/8F |
| 2015 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 22 Dec 15+32d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Coral Casino Handicap (Div 2) | 1/9 | 9-1 | 54 | — | 80A | Shane Kelly | 5/2F | |
| 20 Nov 15+182d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet And Watch Every Race At Unibet Maiden Stakes | 4/10 | 5 | 9-5 | — | — | 59A | Shane Kelly | 6/1 |
| 22 May 15+19d | Haydock | Phs Group Maiden Stakes | 9/9 | 1 | 9-2 | — | — | 59C | Sean Levey | 16/1 |
| 03 May 15 | Salisbury | Betfred "Home of Goals Galore" Maiden Stakes | 6/11 | nse | 9-4 | — | — | 65A | Sean Levey | 11/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Believe It won?
- Believe It (IRE) won 8 of 33 archived starts between 2015 and 2018, a strike rate of 24.2%. Placed 13 times in total (39.4% of starts).
- Who trained Believe It?
- Believe It (IRE) was trained by Richard Hughes on the most recent run on record, at Chepstow on 15 May 2018.
- Who is Believe It's sire?
- Believe It (IRE) is by Rip Van Winkle (IRE) out of Have Faith (IRE), whose sire is Machiavellian.
- What going does Believe It prefer?
- Believe It (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 8 wins from 25 starts (32%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Believe It's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 15 May 2018. The highest on record is 90.
- What is Believe It's sire's record?
- Rip Van Winkle (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since Jan 2008 (324 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Believe It's siblings?
- Out of Have Faith (IRE), Believe It (IRE) has 10 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Fly True (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Faithful One (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m½f. As at Oct 2026.