What is Richard Hughes's strike rate?

Richard Hughes has won 301 of 2,138 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Hughes do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 41 runners (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Hughes?

Finley Marsh, with 792 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 123 (15.5%).

Is Richard Hughes in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 17.6%. That is above the baseline of 14.1% since 2022.

What is Richard Hughes's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 2,130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Hughes

2,138 runners in the last 5 seasons · 287 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 7.7% of 572 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 29 Oct 2026.

In form — 3 winners last 14 days Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2022

301–2,138

Wins / Runs

14.1%

Strike rate

n=2,138

757 (35%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=2,130 · 0.87 incl. margin

−404.44

£1 level stake

n=2,138 at SP · −18.9%

£5.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 430 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 16% (49 runs). The yard is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,138 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Apr 34.6% when favourite Finley Marsh: 15.5% from 792 Headgear returns: 16.3% Sends off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (21.7%, n=157), clear of the yard's 14.1% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (3% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8% (n=137, Fair A/E 0.91). Debutants are the standout value angle: 14% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +52.17 to a £1 stake over 222 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 8.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −147.38 to a £1 stake over 302 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 3 winners from 17 runners in the last 14 days (17.6%, 3.5pts above the 14.1% baseline). Finley Marsh rides 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.5%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (24.6%, n=61). 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes at Newmarket (Jul 2025, £372,585). The stable star of the record: Knebworth (GB) — 9 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.8%−0.3

n=283 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −79.34

New recruits · first run for the yard

14.3%+0.2

n=21 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +8.88

Debutants · first career start

14%−0.1

n=222 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +52.17

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.3%−5.8

n=108 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −65.72

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.3%+2.2

n=49 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +29.50

When favourite

34.6%

n=318 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −46.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−5.8

n=302 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −147.38

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8%−6.1

n=137 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +12.55

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ascot 3.1% vs 14.1% · n=64

Off a 0-7-day break 24.6% vs 14.1% · n=61

At Lingfield 3% vs 14.1% · n=33

At Chelmsford City (AW) 21.7% vs 14.1% · n=157

With Oisin Murphy 23.3% vs 14.1% · n=60

With Deon Le Roux 3.2% vs 14.1% · n=31

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,119 301 14.2% −385.44

Hurdle 18 0 0% −18.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,033 184 17.8% −77.51

Good to Firm 415 52 12.5% −94.95

Good 362 36 9.9% −149.10

Soft 146 14 9.6% +2.30

Good to Soft 140 11 7.9% −69.30

Heavy 30 3 10% −6.50

Firm 12 1 8.3% −9.38

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 304 48 15.8% −32.27

Lingfield (AW) 246 39 15.9% −39.15

Wolverhampton (AW) 228 44 19.3% −33.28

Chelmsford City (AW) 157 34 21.7% +32.96

Newbury 129 11 8.5% −47.75

Windsor 124 16 12.9% −35.04

Goodwood 106 9 8.5% −51.00

Southwell (AW) 86 15 17.4% −18.52

Newmarket 65 8 12.3% −19.87

Ascot 64 2 3.1% −55.38

Bath 53 7 13.2% +31.62

Newmarket 49 9 18.4% +55.30

Sandown 47 4 8.5% −23.92

Salisbury 47 3 6.4% −25.75

Haydock 41 9 22% +10.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 660 107 16.2% −143.28

Class 4 602 70 11.6% −221.88

Class 6 255 50 19.6% +35.73

Class 2 247 19 7.7% −135.95

Class 3 229 43 18.8% +49.09

Class 1 138 11 8% +11.55

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 347 117 33.7% 1.03 −47.71

2nd–3rd fav 632 113 17.9% 1.01 −91.53

4th–6th fav 641 56 8.7% 1.02 −129.20

7th+ in betting 518 15 2.9% 0.87 −136.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Thames Boatman (GB) 54 8 25 29 Sep 26

Nogo's Dream (GB) 48 4 26 28 Sep 26

Knebworth (GB) 43 9 17 19 Oct 26

Bint Havana Gold (GB) 37 6 17 6 May 26

Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 28 6 6 19 Oct 26

Cinnodin (GB)then Jamie Snowden 28 6 11 22 Jun 25

Zero Carbon (FR)then Adrian Wintle 26 7 12 17 Oct 24

Rare Change (IRE) 25 4 7 24 Sep 26

Sandy Paradise (IRE)from Richard Hannon 25 3 14 14 Oct 24

Road To Wembley (GB)then Olly Murphy 23 4 9 23 Sep 25

Lazzar (IRE)then Charlie Wallis 22 4 8 27 Jun 26

Thurso (GB)then Gerard Edmund O'Leary 22 4 7 12 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 287 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal O'Brien (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

3 from 17 17.6% · +3.5pts vs baseline

Last 14 days17.6%

5-season base14.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

14191916131117131415915

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFinley Marsh

37% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Finley Marsh 792 123 15.5% −113.27

George Rooke 245 31 12.7% −45.95

Pat Cosgrave 89 15 16.9% −0.82

Billy Loughnane 87 15 17.2% −15.48

Ethan Jones 81 7 8.6% −25.25

William Buick 72 12 16.7% −11.35

Ryan Moore 64 12 18.8% +5.25

David Egan 62 8 12.9% −11.00

Oisin Murphy 60 14 23.3% −25.91

Donagh Murphy 57 4 7% −30.34

Pat Dobbs 38 3 7.9% −18.75

Deon Le Roux 31 1 3.2% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

621

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.05m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 66 wins

No Half Measures (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai July Cup Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2025 · Group 1

£372,585

Calling The Wind (IRE) — JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newcastle (AW) · Jul 2023 · Class 2

£81,000

Rose Ghaiyyath (IRE) — Arqana Series des Pouliches (Conditions) (Unraced 2yo Fillies) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£66,116

Notable horses

Knebworth (GB) The Thames Boatman (GB) Believe It (IRE) Zero Carbon (FR) No Half Measures (GB) Fair Angellica (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mehmas (IRE) 14.5% · 19–131

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,169 runs since 2008 (750 horses).

Havana Grey (GB) 15.5% · 17–110

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,568 runs since 2008 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.1% from 414.

Oasis Dream (GB) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,014 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Havana Gold (IRE) 21.5% · 14–65

Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,058 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.

Sioux Nation (USA) 16.7% · 9–54

Progeny have won 12.4% of 2,890 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 578. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

Cracksman (GB) 7.5% · 4–53

Progeny have won 11.5% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 105. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.1% from 267.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,729 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,729 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 September 2015 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Thames Waterman (GB)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 5th 9/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Renascent (IRE)J: Finley Marsh AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 25/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Boy Basilica (FR)J: Billy Loughnane AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 13/8F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lahan Kingman (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 7th 14/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Duraji (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 12th 22/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sakowin (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Try Unibet's Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 3rd 4/1F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Daddy Star (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Try Unibet's Superboosts/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 1st 8/15F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Star Camelot (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Unibet Interactive "confined" Maiden Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Once) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 5 ran 4th 66/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Circus Of Rome (GB)J: Finley Marsh Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 3/1F

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Knebworth (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 6/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Our Cody (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Spirit Lead Me (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 3/1F

19 Oct 26 Bath Sea Founder (GB)J: Finley Marsh Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Kodiac City (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Captain Fox (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 11/4

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sinex (GB)J: Finley Marsh Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Whip Cracker (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 11th 20/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yes Waliim (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 7/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Knebworth (GB)J: Finley Marsh Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marengo Storm (GB)J: Finley Marsh Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Hughes's strike rate?: Richard Hughes has won 301 of 2,138 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Hughes do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 41 runners (22%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Hughes?: Finley Marsh, with 792 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 123 (15.5%).
Is Richard Hughes in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 3 winners, a strike rate of 17.6%. That is above the baseline of 14.1% since 2022.
What is Richard Hughes's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 2,130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.