Beware The Bear (IRE)
Beware The Bear (IRE) is 7 from 25, including a Grade 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2019). Hasn't won since Mar 2019. 6 of 17 starts with soft in the ground have ended in wins — 1 from 8 on quicker. Last raced off 137, 23lb below the career-high mark.
- 7–25Wins / Runs
- 28%Strike rate
- 10 (40%)Placed
- +6.86£1 level staken=25 at SP
- 1.97Fair A/E n=25 · 1.70 incl. margin
- 160Highest OR
- 94dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 93
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 131A | 85.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 103B | 98 | — |
| Good | 3 | 93B | 87 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 85B | 77 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 9 | 103B | 85 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 4 | 131A | 93.5 | — |
Of 20 runs looked at, 7 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (4) · did not complete (3).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 20 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,823 runs since Jan 2008 (539 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +36.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 158 | 32 | 20.3% | +6.7 | — |
| Good | 2,288 | 311 | 13.6% | 0 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 1,430 | 176 | 12.3% | −1.3 | 3 from 6 |
| Soft | 2,611 | 363 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 2 from 6 |
| Heavy | 1,283 | 178 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Standard (AW) | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | −3.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −3.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,030 | 276 | 13.6% | 0 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,710 | 378 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,339 | 334 | 14.3% | +0.7 | 5 from 10 |
| Over 3m | 668 | 72 | 10.8% | −2.8 | 2 from 13 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Mayfair Music (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–3m½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Mayfair Music (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayfair Music (IRE) | 7 | 3 | 2m–3m½f | Listed |
| Oscar Nominee (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 1m7½f–2m½f | Class 4 |
| Stephanie Kate (IRE) | 16 | 2 | 2m–2m4f | — |
| Vintage Class (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 2m5f | Class 6 |
| Moylusa (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −5.62 |
| Soft | 6 | 2 | 33% | +8.75 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 3 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Heavy | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.27 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 11 | 2 | 18% | +3.75 |
| Class 2 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.50 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +5.50 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.62 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.73 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 6 | 2 | 33% | +9.50 |
| Newbury | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.27 |
| Ascot | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Ayr | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Southwell | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.38 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3m | 13 | 2 | 15% | +2.50 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 5 | 50% | +6.36 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah McGrath | 16 | 6 | 38% | +12.11 |
| Freddie Mitchell | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Alex Edwards | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nico de Boinville | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Mr Sam Waley-Cohen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 13 | 5 | 38% | +3.36 |
| Blinkers | 9 | 2 | 22% | +6.50 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2019 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +11.50 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| 2016 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +7.61 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 19 | 5 | 26% | +8.75 |
| Hurdle | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.89 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Beware The Bear won?
- Beware The Bear (IRE) won 7 of 25 archived starts between 2015 and 2021, a strike rate of 28%. Placed 10 times in total (40% of starts).
- Who trained Beware The Bear?
- Beware The Bear (IRE) was trained by Mel Rowley on the most recent run on record, at Haydock on 30 December 2021.
- Who is Beware The Bear's sire?
- Beware The Bear (IRE) is by Shantou (USA) out of Native Bid (IRE), whose sire is Be My Native.
- What going does Beware The Bear prefer?
- Beware The Bear (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Beware The Bear's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 137, from the run on 30 December 2021. The highest on record is 160.
- What is Beware The Bear's sire's record?
- Shantou (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,823 runs since Jan 2008 (539 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
- Who are Beware The Bear's siblings?
- Out of Native Bid (IRE), Beware The Bear (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Mayfair Music (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Mayfair Music (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–3m½f. As at Oct 2026.