What is Mel Rowley's strike rate?

Mel Rowley has won 65 of 629 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mel Rowley do best at?

Uttoxeter by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Mel Rowley?

Alex Edwards, with 211 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (9.5%).

Is Mel Rowley in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Mel Rowley's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mel Rowley

629 runners in the last 5 seasons · 95 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 9 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

65–629

Wins / Runs

10.3%

Strike rate

n=629

183 (29%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=629 · 0.83 incl. margin

−89.74

£1 level stake

n=629 at SP · −14.3%

£1.02m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 629 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 28% when favourite Alex Edwards: 9.5% from 211 Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 1.9% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.21). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −106.39 to a £1 stake over 176 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Alex Edwards rides 34% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.5%, A/E 0.78). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (19.4%, n=31). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 2.7% over 75 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.39 across 92 runners (3.3% strike, −72.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase at Chepstow (Dec 2024, £85,425). The stable star of the record: Val Dancer (IRE) — 6 wins from 21 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.1%−5.2

n=176 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −106.39

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.1%−1.2

n=22 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −9.25

Debutants · first career start

1.9%−8.4

n=54 · A/E 0.21 · £1 −13.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.9%−7.4

n=35 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −32.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.7%−3.6

n=15 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −10.50

When favourite

28%

n=50 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −12.28

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%−1.0

n=214 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −32.06

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%−2.0

n=12 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −9.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.9% vs 10.3% · n=64

With debutants 1.9% vs 10.3% · n=54

In NH Flat races 2.7% vs 10.3% · n=75

Off a break of 180+ days 3.3% vs 10.3% · n=92

On Heavy going 19.4% vs 10.3% · n=31

With first-time headgear 2.9% vs 10.3% · n=35

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 395 40 10.1% −68.90

Chase 159 23 14.5% +4.66

NH Flat 75 2 2.7% −25.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 265 26 9.8% −20.23

Good to Soft 181 18 9.9% −53.17

Soft 147 15 10.2% −3.52

Heavy 31 6 19.4% −7.82

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ludlow 73 7 9.6% −22.27

Hereford 50 6 12% −14.00

Uttoxeter 45 7 15.6% +47.50

Bangor-on-Dee 44 5 11.4% +4.50

Southwell 42 2 4.8% −21.50

Warwick 34 1 2.9% −31.25

Worcester 34 4 11.8% +14.88

Huntingdon 32 2 6.3% −26.89

Aintree 25 5 20% +3.66

Stratford 25 3 12% −11.62

Cheltenham 25 2 8% −1.80

Market Rasen 23 0 0% −23.00

Doncaster 20 3 15% −4.00

Chepstow 17 2 11.8% −5.25

Leicester 16 2 12.5% −10.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 271 27 10% −96.95

Class 5 203 22 10.8% +3.13

Class 3 87 11 12.6% −16.12

Class 2 46 3 6.5% +31.00

Class 1 22 2 9.1% −10.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 62 17 27.4% 0.92 −11.28

2nd–3rd fav 146 24 16.4% 0.97 −8.46

4th–6th fav 241 18 7.5% 0.94 −76.00

7th+ in betting 180 6 3.3% 1.10 +6.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.3% completed · 554 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 159 81.8% 2 0 25 2 0

Hurdle 395 88.1% 8 5 33 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Martalmix'jac (FR) 32 3 12 21 Apr 26

Malaita (GB) 31 4 13 6 Apr 26

My Bobby Dazzler (GB) 30 2 9 11 Jun 26

Masked Dance (FR) 25 3 11 15 May 26

Val Dancer (IRE) 21 6 9 21 Mar 26

Kyntara (GB)from Kim Bailey 15 2 5 4 Apr 26

My Virtue (GB)from Miss Katie Ayres 15 2 7 13 Oct 25

Finalshot (GB)from Henry Daly 15 2 3 19 Jun 24

Commanding View (IRE) 14 2 3 21 May 25

Prime Time Lady (GB) 13 2 7 30 Jul 23

My Bobby's Lass (GB) 12 2 2 1 Oct 26

Marmalade Time (GB) 12 1 3 13 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 95 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nicky Henderson (3) and Henry Daly (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

71187178502510817

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAlex Edwards

34% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 0.78

RiderRWSR£1

Alex Edwards 211 20 9.5% −11.71

Charlie Deutsch 196 25 12.8% +21.78

Toby Wynne 36 2 5.6% −26.67

Charlie Hammond 31 4 12.9% −11.02

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.13m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 24 wins

Val Dancer (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Run In Memory of Kim Gingell) (GBB Race) Chepstow · Dec 2024 · Class 1

£85,425

Wishing And Hoping (IRE) — Unibet Veterans' Handicap Chase (2022 Veterans' Chase Series Final) Sandown · Jan 2023 · Class 2

£51,440

Malaita (GB) — NAF Challenger Series Mares' Hurdle Final Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£26,015

Notable horses

Val Dancer (IRE) My Bobby Dazzler (GB) Malaita (GB) Raffle Ticket (GB) Latitude (IRE) Maxcel (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Malinas (GER) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,939 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Masked Marvel (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,606 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 19.8% from 283.

Lord Du Sud (FR) 9.4% · 3–32

Progeny have won 8.8% of 1,022 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.8% from 145.

Telescope (IRE) 0% · 0–28

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,891 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 104. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 279.

Kayf Tara (GB) 16% · 4–25

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Norse Dancer (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,799 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.4% from 277. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 731 · newest first

The latest 50 of 731 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 January 2021 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 26 Southwell Shorten Sassy (GB)J: Murray Dodd Golf And Gallop Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 11/2

13 Oct 26 Southwell Cheesy Icon (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Heb Group "the Power Behind Everyday" Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/2

01 Oct 26 Southwell My Bobby's Lass (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 16/1

04 Sep 26 Bangor-on-Dee My Bobby's Lass (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Genesis Wealth Management Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 40/1

13 Jun 26 Uttoxeter R Bernard (GB)J: Toby Wynne moogangetsknighted Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 10 ran PU 25/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester My Bobby Dazzler (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 4th 17/2

25 May 26 Cartmel My Bobby Dazzler (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 6/1

25 May 26 Cartmel R Bernard (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 11 ran 9th 12/1

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Anniespatient (IRE)J: Charlie Deutsch Wrexham Evening On Friday 26th June Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/2

15 May 26 Aintree Masked Dance (FR)J: Charlie Deutsch HA Civils Franny Blennerhassett Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2

10 May 26 Ludlow Shorten Sassy (GB)J: Shane Quinlan Lion Leintwardine Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 5th 7/2

05 May 26 Ffos Las Parliamo (IRE)J: Mr Darren Andrews James Bowen Ton Up Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 1st 4/1

22 Apr 26 Ludlow Oakstead Park (IRE)J: Toby Wynne Powell & Company Construction Agricultural Buildings Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 8th 25/1

22 Apr 26 Ludlow Mysti Meadow (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Powell & Company Construction Agricultural Buildings Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 10/3

21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Martalmix'jac (FR)J: Shane Quinlan South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 9 ran 7th 15/2

21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Kastellion (FR)J: Charlie Hammond SWRSL - Dan Boulton Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 7/2F

21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Fanny Moon (FR)J: Charlie Deutsch SWRSL - Dan Boulton Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good · 12 ran 1st 28/1

18 Apr 26 Bangor-on-Dee Upweitjack (IRE)J: Toby Wynne Family Funday On 16th May 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 33/1

18 Apr 26 Bangor-on-Dee Littlebobbydazzler (GB)J: Charlie Deutsch Family Funday On 16th May 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 15/2

18 Apr 26 Bangor-on-Dee Kintail (GB)J: Toby McCain-Mitchell Overton Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mel Rowley's strike rate?: Mel Rowley has won 65 of 629 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mel Rowley do best at?: Uttoxeter by strike rate: 7 wins from 45 runners (15.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mel Rowley?: Alex Edwards, with 211 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 20 (9.5%).
Is Mel Rowley in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mel Rowley's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 629 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.