What is Freddie Mitchell's strike rate?

Freddie Mitchell has won 31 of 322 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Freddie Mitchell do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 rides (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Freddie Mitchell ride most for?

Gary & Josh Moore, with 153 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.8%).

Is Freddie Mitchell in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Freddie Mitchell's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 322 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Freddie Mitchell

322 rides in the last 5 seasons · 173 individual horses

As at 26 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 97% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2022

31–322

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=322

90 (28%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=322 · 0.69 incl. margin

−57.29

£1 level stake

n=322 at SP · −17.8%

£535k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (34 rides). Rides mostly for Gary & Josh Moore — 48% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 322 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 26 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 30.3% when favourite Gary & Josh Moore: 11.8% from 153 LTO winners: 11.8% Claiming: 9.7% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (14.5%, n=55), clear of the rider's 9.6% baseline. It is weakest at Plumpton (2.4% over 42 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.5% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.71). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 9.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −31.16 to a £1 stake over 258 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gary & Josh Moore supplies 48% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.8% vs 9.6%, A/E 0.80). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 5.1% over 39 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 3: Fair A/E 0.52 across 55 rides (5.5% strike, −38.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.2%−0.4

n=173 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −81.17

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.8%+2.2

n=34 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −14.94

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.5%−4.1

n=55 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −25.50

When favourite

30.3%

n=33 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −7.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.7%+0.1

n=258 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −31.16

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.7%−5.9

n=27 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −10.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−9.6

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 18.8% vs 9.6% · n=32

At Plumpton 2.4% vs 9.6% · n=42

With horses switching code 3.6% vs 9.6% · n=55

At Fontwell 14.5% vs 9.6% · n=55

Beyond 3m 5.1% vs 9.6% · n=39

In Class 3 5.5% vs 9.6% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 175 13 7.4% −33.65

Chase 119 14 11.8% −20.37

NH Flat 17 3 17.6% −5.27

Flat 11 1 9.1% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 159 16 10.1% −6.59

Good to Soft 91 10 11% −23.58

Soft 52 4 7.7% −9.50

Heavy 13 1 7.7% −10.62

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 55 8 14.5% −17.27

Plumpton 42 1 2.4% −31.00

Newbury 20 3 15% +5.75

Sandown 19 1 5.3% −8.00

Kempton 15 2 13.3% +68.75

Lingfield 15 0 0% −15.00

Cheltenham 14 0 0% −14.00

Huntingdon 12 0 0% −12.00

Ascot 10 0 0% −10.00

Hereford 9 3 33.3% +13.33

Market Rasen 9 2 22.2% −2.38

Chepstow 9 3 33.3% −1.72

Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00

Fakenham 7 2 28.6% −0.75

Worcester 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 124 14 11.3% −58.34

Class 4 98 11 11.2% +49.97

Class 3 55 3 5.5% −38.25

Class 2 25 3 12% +9.33

Class 1 16 0 0% −16.00

Class 6 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 37 10 27% 0.83 −11.83

2nd–3rd fav 82 9 11% 0.59 −42.96

4th–6th fav 107 8 7.5% 0.91 −30.50

7th+ in betting 96 4 4.2% 1.22 +28.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.3% completed · 294 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 119 77.3% 4 3 20 0 0

Hurdle 175 84% 4 2 21 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sanitiser (GB) 9 2 3 5 Apr 26

Land Girl's Luck (IRE) 8 1 4 6 May 26

Taita Hills (IRE) 8 1 2 28 Mar 26

Knockanore (IRE) 8 1 1 18 Mar 26

Le Galli Bier (FR) 7 0 3 23 Feb 26

One Last Glance (GB) 6 1 3 6 Mar 26

Issar D'airy (FR) 6 0 3 1 Nov 25

Hermino Aa (FR) 6 1 2 1 Apr 25

The Bellhop (IRE) 5 1 1 10 Oct 26

Shutfrontdoor (GB) 5 1 4 24 May 26

Blow Your Wad (IRE) 5 1 4 25 Apr 26

Bebside Banter (IRE) 5 1 2 4 Dec 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 173 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11109972207137147

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGary & Josh Moore

48% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 0.80

TrainerRWSR£1

Gary & Josh Moore 153 18 11.8% −40.11

Max Comley 31 3 9.7% −12.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£696k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 19 wins

Knockanore (IRE) — Virgin Bet Eider Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newcastle · Feb 2025 · Class 2

£41,624

Le Patron (FR) — Coral 'Daily Rewards Shaker' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Newbury · Nov 2024 · Class 2

£28,617

Hermino Aa (FR) — Coral 'Pipped-At-The-Post' And Win Handicap Hurdle Newbury · Nov 2024 · Class 3

£20,812

Notable horses

Only For Love (GB) Hold The Bucks (USA) Sanitiser (GB) Butlergrove King (IRE) According To Them (IRE) Pittsburg (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Workforce (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 9% of 754 runs since 2008 (101 horses).

The Gurkha (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,024 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.

Sinndar (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,409 runs since 2008 (394 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.

Westerner (GB) 18.2% · 2–11

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,831 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Authorized (IRE) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,024 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,043. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Clovis Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 9.4% of 759 runs since 2008 (111 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.5% from 152. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.7% from 141.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 26 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 604 · newest first

The latest 50 of 604 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 November 2010 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Fontwell I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Max Comley tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 8th 13/8F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Hardy Buck (IRE)T: Max Comley tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Poncho (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Alderbrook Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 25/1

10 Oct 26 Chepstow Only One Blue (IRE)T: Max Comley McCarthy Construction Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 13/2

10 Oct 26 Chepstow The Bellhop (IRE)T: Gary & Josh Moore Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow 'four Years Old' Hurdle Race (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 12/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Monark Wood (FR)T: Max Comley Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 7/2

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Irish Fusilier (IRE)T: Gary & Josh Moore Attheraces.com/marketmovers Juvenile Hurdle (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 25/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Alfred Spero (GB)T: Cynthia Woods Free Tips On attheraces.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 200/1

27 Sep 26 Epsom Zarakerjack (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap Stakes (For Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 13 ran 1st 12/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Timely Salute (GB)T: Max Comley £10 County Racedays Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 3/1

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Hardy Buck (IRE)T: Max Comley Dine In Altior's Restaurant Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 13/2

20 Sep 26 Plumpton Bread And Butter (IRE)T: Cynthia Woods Only Horsepower Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 12/1

07 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Timely Salute (GB)T: Max Comley Sky Sports Racing Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Jefe Triunfo (FR)T: Chris Gordon Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 13/2

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Kotari (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Fontwell Park Family Festival Raceday Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 4th 10/1

26 May 26 Plumpton Zandahar (IRE)T: Karen Jewell Ladies Day At Season Opener Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 18f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 33/1

24 May 26 Fontwell Shutfrontdoor (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 4 ran PU 2/1

17 May 26 Stratford Lightsoutandaway (FR)T: Gary & Josh Moore Family Day On Sunday 12th July Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 5/2

14 May 26 Fontwell Shutfrontdoor (GB)T: Gary & Josh Moore Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 7/2

09 May 26 Warwick Sweet Nightingale (GB)T: Polly Gundry SVE Services Ltd Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Freddie Mitchell's strike rate?: Freddie Mitchell has won 31 of 322 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 26 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Freddie Mitchell do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 55 rides (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Freddie Mitchell ride most for?: Gary & Josh Moore, with 153 rides since 2022 — 48% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.8%).
Is Freddie Mitchell in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Freddie Mitchell's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 322 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.