What is Jeremiah McGrath's strike rate?

Jeremiah McGrath has won 209 of 1,653 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jeremiah McGrath do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 12 wins from 48 rides (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jeremiah McGrath ride most for?

Nicky Henderson, with 644 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 130 (20.2%).

What is Jeremiah McGrath's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 1,648 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jeremiah McGrath

1,653 rides in the lifetime window · 676 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jan 2021 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

209–1,653

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,653

515 (31%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=1,648 · 0.86 incl. margin

−350.83

£1 level stake

n=1,653 at SP · −21.2%

£2.23m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (209 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,653 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 34.6% when favourite Nicky Henderson: 20.2% from 644 First rides: 12.9% LTO winners: 21.5% Claiming: 15.1% Rode the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ludlow (30.2%, n=43), Towcester (28.9%, n=45) and Market Rasen (25%, n=48) — all clear of the rider's 12.6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.5% (n=209, Fair A/E 1.00), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.2% (n=362, Fair A/E 1.01). Nicky Henderson supplied 39% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.2% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ultima Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2019, £61,897). The standout partner of the record was Ballinure (IRE) — 6 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.9%+0.3

n=676 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −100.91

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.5%+8.9

n=209 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −14.14

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.6%−1.0

n=475 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −96.55

When favourite

34.6%

n=214 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −36.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

15.1%+2.5

n=431 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +16.69

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.2%−5.4

n=362 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −16.23

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10%−2.6

n=120 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −28.38

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ludlow 30.2% vs 12.6% · n=43

At Towcester 28.9% vs 12.6% · n=45

With Nicky Henderson 20.2% vs 12.6% · n=644

At Market Rasen 25% vs 12.6% · n=48

On last-time-out winners 21.5% vs 12.6% · n=209

With Clare Hobson 2% vs 12.6% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,011 120 11.9% −192.55

Chase 393 54 13.7% −106.18

NH Flat 239 34 14.2% −55.10

Flat 10 1 10% +3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 620 92 14.8% −75.46

Soft 405 47 11.6% −56.13

Good to Soft 386 40 10.4% −144.72

Heavy 129 17 13.2% −21.94

Good to Firm 80 10 12.5% −44.08

Standard (AW) 32 3 9.4% −7.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newton Abbot 98 10 10.2% −14.90

Fontwell 80 6 7.5% −39.34

Uttoxeter 80 8 10% +4.81

Cheltenham 77 6 7.8% +2.50

Newbury 74 9 12.2% −9.80

Warwick 73 8 11% −24.25

Kempton 71 10 14.1% +11.40

Plumpton 64 5 7.8% −15.50

Huntingdon 57 7 12.3% −38.71

Worcester 53 6 11.3% −1.12

Wincanton 52 2 3.8% −39.50

Chepstow 51 4 7.8% −32.50

Southwell 48 7 14.6% −9.30

Market Rasen 48 12 25% +4.71

Taunton 46 5 10.9% −16.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 672 94 14% −219.95

Class 5 333 32 9.6% −22.39

Class 3 259 41 15.8% −41.12

Class 1 129 13 10.1% +3.62

Class 6 123 17 13.8% −3.53

Class 2 117 12 10.3% −47.46

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 244 81 33.2% 0.96 −37.50

2nd–3rd fav 413 72 17.4% 1.00 −58.33

4th–6th fav 484 40 8.3% 1.06 −114.00

7th+ in betting 512 16 3.1% 1.00 −141.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.2% completed · 1,404 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 393 80.4% 11 11 52 2 1

Hurdle 1,011 88.4% 24 10 77 4 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Theinval (FR) 29 4 11 9 Jan 21

Ballinure (IRE) 19 6 9 1 Sep 18

Kilcrea Vale (IRE) 18 3 8 18 May 19

Farbreaga (IRE) 18 6 8 16 Nov 16

Burbank (IRE) 17 4 9 10 Mar 20

Beware The Bear (IRE) 16 6 8 19 Dec 20

Oldabbey Bridge (IRE) 15 1 4 14 Nov 20

Follow The Bear (IRE) 13 4 8 2 Dec 20

The Cashel Man (IRE) 12 3 6 9 Jan 21

Landin (GER) 12 3 6 13 Oct 20

Pardon Me (GB) 12 1 5 12 Nov 19

Powersbomb (IRE) 12 0 4 4 Aug 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 676 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

161712121991016261212

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardNicky Henderson

39% of all rides
20.2% SR · A/E 1.09

TrainerRWSR£1

Nicky Henderson 644 130 20.2% −51.27

Seamus Mullins 255 21 8.2% −31.25

Henry Oliver 127 14 11% −24.19

Martin Hill 91 4 4.4% −77.65

Clare Hobson 51 1 2% +0.00

Jamie Poulton 34 8 23.5% +53.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

209

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.23m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 30 wins

Beware The Bear (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 3

£61,897

Rather Be (IRE) — Alder Hey Children's Charity Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2017 · Grade 3

£39,389

Verdana Blue (IRE) — Unibet Elite Hurdle (Grade 2) Wincanton · Nov 2018 · Grade 2

£34,170

Notable horses

Ballinure (IRE) Farbreaga (IRE) Beware The Bear (IRE) Theinval (FR) Burbank (IRE) Follow The Bear (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 16.7% · 15–90

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Presenting (GB) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Kayf Tara (GB) 18.2% · 8–44

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Yeats (IRE) 16.3% · 7–43

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Court Cave (IRE) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Oscar (IRE) 17.6% · 6–34

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,653 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,653 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 August 2008 to 18 January 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Vegas Blue (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Watch Off The Fence On attheraces.com 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran F EvensF

18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Uncle O (GB)T: Clare Hobson Sky Sports 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 14/1

18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Severus Alexander (IRE)T: Clare Hobson 'Off The Fence' On youtube.com/attheraces 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 9th 125/1

18 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Lelantos (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Visit attheraces.com Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 5th 8/1

16 Jan 21 Warwick K'chou Du Pecos Aa (FR)T: Henry Oliver Pertemps Network Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 7/1

13 Jan 21 Plumpton Mighty Leader (IRE)T: Tom Symonds Download The tote App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 22/1

13 Jan 21 Plumpton Just The Man (FR)T: John O'Shea Sky Sports Racing Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 12/1

13 Jan 21 Plumpton Sheila's Spirit (GB)T: Denis Coakley Tie The Knot Wedding Catering Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 150/1

11 Jan 21 Doncaster Scarpia (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Sky Bet Extra Place Races Every Day Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 20/1

09 Jan 21 Kempton The Cashel Man (IRE)T: Nicky Henderson Ladbrokes Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 20 ran 13th 50/1

09 Jan 21 Kempton Theinval (FR)T: Nicky Henderson Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 14/1

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) El Kaldoun (FR)T: Nicky Henderson Sky Sports Racing On Virgin 535 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 2nd 9/4J

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Foxy Singer (FR)T: Clare Hobson Follow At The Races On Twitter 'Jumpers' Bumper' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 2)Class 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 150/1

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Dharma Rain (IRE)T: Clare Hobson Follow At The Races On Twitter 'Jumpers' Bumper' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 6th 125/1

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Uncle O (GB)T: Clare Hobson Visit attheraces.com 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 3rd 50/1

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Pollyamorous (IRE)T: Katharine Davis Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 11th 250/1

08 Jan 21 Lingfield (AW) Telleroftales (IRE)T: Katharine Davis Visit attheraces.com Standard Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 3rd 100/1

03 Jan 21 Plumpton The Raven's Return (GB)T: Seamus Mullins Follow At The Races On Twitter Novices' ChaseClass 3 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 25/1

03 Jan 21 Plumpton Bay Of Intrigue (GB)T: John O'Shea Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 7/4

02 Jan 21 Sandown Cloud Thunder (GB)T: Heather Main Unibet Extra Place Races Every Day Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 4th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jeremiah McGrath's strike rate?: Jeremiah McGrath has won 209 of 1,653 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jeremiah McGrath do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 12 wins from 48 rides (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jeremiah McGrath ride most for?: Nicky Henderson, with 644 rides since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 130 (20.2%).
What is Jeremiah McGrath's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 1,648 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.