Canty Bay (IRE)
Canty Bay is a gelding who has two wins from 13 starts on turf, both at Class 4. He won a maiden hurdle at Taunton over 2m1f – 2m4f on good to soft in Nov 2023 and a handicap hurdle at Ludlow over 2m5f – 3m on soft in Feb 2024 off an official rating of 115. He has raced off an official rating of 115 at his last run, at Hereford in Feb 2026, where he was held. He has never won on heavy ground.
- 2–13Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 5 (38.5%)Placed
- −6.25£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 1.17Fair A/E n=13 · 1.00 incl. margin
- 122Highest OR
- 33dBetween runs (median)longest 446 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 116
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 116A | 99 | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 3 | 76C | 74 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 107A | 103 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 99B | 95.5 | 1 run · — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 116A | 96 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 107A | 90.5 | — |
Of 13 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (3) · did not complete (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs since Oct 2024
- Prominent 2 (67%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since Feb 2008 (539 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 1 | 50% | +36.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 158 | 32 | 20.3% | +6.7 | — |
| Good | 2,297 | 312 | 13.6% | 0 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,438 | 176 | 12.2% | −1.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 2,612 | 363 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 1,283 | 178 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 0 from 5 |
| Standard (AW) | 51 | 5 | 9.8% | −3.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 0 | 0% | −13.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 62 | 6 | 9.7% | −3.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,031 | 276 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,717 | 379 | 13.9% | +0.3 | 1 from 8 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,348 | 334 | 14.2% | +0.6 | 1 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 669 | 72 | 10.8% | −2.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Feb 2008 · as at 8 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Longque (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longque (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 2m½f | — |
| West Coast Lass (IRE) | 15 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.50 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −2.25 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.25 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ludlow | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.75 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bellamy | 10 | 2 | 20% | −3.25 |
| Ben Jones | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Adam Wedge | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.50 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 11 | 2 | 18% | −4.25 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Feb 26+23d | Hereford | Green Dragon Hotel Hereford Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - drifted left and urged on at the 5th - wide route from there before pressure told at the 6th - pulled up before the 7th | PU/7 | — | 11-10 | 115 | — | — | Ben Jones | 6/1 |
| 19 Jan 26+446d | Lingfield | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle Held a forward spot early on the outer - slid backward 4 out - lost touch with the leading group from 2 out - faded quickly to finish eighth | 8/13 | 1 | 12-2 | 117 | 99B | 121A | Ben Jones | 7/1 |
| 2024 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 30 Oct 24+202d | Newton Abbot | Celebrating David Freeman's 35 Years Service Handicap Hurdle Tracked the pace - hit the third-last then driven up before the second-last - weakened before the final fence to finish fourth | 4/9 | 1 | 11-6 | 122 | 76C | 124A | Tom Bellamy | 17/2 |
| 11 Apr 24+26d | Taunton | Taunton Round Table T-Rex Steaks Handicap Hurdle | 2/7 | nk | 11-3 | 121 | 116A | 129B | Tom Bellamy | 7/1 |
| 16 Mar 24+24d | Uttoxeter | Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap Hurdle | 7/8 | 2 | 11-6 | 122 | — | 114A | Tom Bellamy | 6/1 |
| 21 Feb 24+31d | Ludlow | Suzuki UK 'King Of Quads' Handicap Hurdle | 1/6 | 11-11 | 115 | — | 132B | Tom Bellamy | 5/2 | |
| 21 Jan 24+33d | Lingfield | Winter Million Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) | 3/11 | 8 | 11-4 | 115 | 92A | 128A | Tom Bellamy | 12/1 |
| 2023 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Dec 23+33d | Wincanton | TrustATrader Fully Vetted Tradespeople Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) | F/9 | — | 11-7 | 115 | — | — | Tom Bellamy | 9/4 |
| 16 Nov 23+319d | Taunton | Age UK Somerset 75th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 1/11 | 11-4 | — | 99A | 125A | Tom Bellamy | 9/4 | |
| 01 Jan 23+44d | Exeter | Thurlestone Hotel 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 6/16 | 5½ | 11-6 | — | 71C | 108C | Tom Bellamy | 9/1 |
| 2022 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Nov 22+264d | Chepstow | Spectra Group Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 8/16 | 3¼ | 11-4 | — | — | 109C | Tom Bellamy | 12/1 |
| 27 Feb 22+59d | Hereford | Black Mountain Botanicals Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 3/10 | 2¼ | 11-4 | — | 107A | 124A | Adam Wedge | 12/1 |
| 2021 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 30 Dec 21 | Haydock | Raglan Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) | 4/7 | nk | 11-0 | — | 74A | 110A | Tom Bellamy | 7/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Canty Bay won?
- Canty Bay (IRE) won 2 of 13 archived starts between 2021 and 2026, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 5 times in total (38.5% of starts).
- Who trains Canty Bay?
- Canty Bay (IRE) is trained by Emma Lavelle, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 11 February 2026.
- Who is Canty Bay's sire?
- Canty Bay (IRE) is by Shantou (USA) out of Afairs (IRE), whose sire is Old Vic.
- What going does Canty Bay prefer?
- Canty Bay (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Canty Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 115, from the run on 11 February 2026. The highest on record is 122.
- What is Canty Bay's sire's record?
- Shantou (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since Feb 2008 (539 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 20.3% from 158.
- Who are Canty Bay's siblings?
- Out of Afairs (IRE), Canty Bay (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Longque (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m½f. As at Nov 2026.