What is Adam Wedge's strike rate?

Adam Wedge has won 172 of 1,562 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adam Wedge do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 11 wins from 35 rides (31.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Adam Wedge ride most for?

Evan Williams, with 794 rides since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (11.8%).

Is Adam Wedge in form?

In the last 14 days: 26 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 7.7%. That is below the baseline of 11% since 2022.

What is Adam Wedge's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 1,561 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam Wedge

1,562 rides in the last 5 seasons · 593 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

172–1,562

Wins / Runs

11%

Strike rate

n=1,562

402 (26%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=1,561 · 0.86 incl. margin

−386.91

£1 level stake

n=1,562 at SP · −24.8%

£2.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 310 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (180 rides). Rides mostly for Evan Williams — 51% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,562 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 39.8% when favourite Evan Williams: 11.8% from 794 LTO winners: 19.4% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (31.4%, n=35), clear of the rider's 11% baseline. It is weakest at Taunton (2.9% over 70 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.4% (n=180, Fair A/E 1.00), but first rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=491, Fair A/E 0.90). Rides in big fields of 14 or more are the standout value angle: 8.7% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.46 and +16.20 to a £1 stake over 172 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 2 from 26 rides in the last 14 days (7.7%, 3.3pts below the 11% baseline). Evan Williams supplies 51% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.8%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (26.7%, n=30) and off a 0-7-day break (23.3%, n=30). 17 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2020, £182,878). The standout partner of the record: Annsam (GB) — 8 wins from 27 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%−3.5

n=491 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −178.55

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.4%+8.4

n=180 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −21.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.3%−1.7

n=378 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −155.76

When favourite

39.8%

n=128 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +3.66

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.7%−2.3

n=172 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +16.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.7%−2.3

n=46 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +16.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Leicester 31.4% vs 11% · n=35

On Good to Firm going 26.7% vs 11% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 19.4% vs 11% · n=180

Off a 0-7-day break 23.3% vs 11% · n=30

With C&D winners 18.7% vs 11% · n=139

At Taunton 2.9% vs 11% · n=70

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 801 72 9% −266.77

Chase 670 96 14.3% −77.89

NH Flat 82 3 3.7% −46.25

Flat 9 1 11.1% +4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 675 74 11% −216.57

Good to Soft 420 37 8.8% −116.28

Soft 317 35 11% −104.91

Heavy 117 18 15.4% +15.77

Good to Firm 30 8 26.7% +38.08

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ffos Las 164 18 11% +10.64

Chepstow 154 18 11.7% −60.70

Southwell 106 17 16% −28.88

Hereford 95 10 10.5% −39.67

Newton Abbot 91 8 8.8% −63.88

Taunton 70 2 2.9% −53.00

Uttoxeter 68 7 10.3% +28.16

Worcester 65 4 6.2% −38.90

Ludlow 62 7 11.3% −21.92

Stratford 61 8 13.1% −20.68

Market Rasen 57 6 10.5% −24.85

Fontwell 53 10 18.9% +35.88

Cheltenham 45 5 11.1% +38.33

Exeter 41 3 7.3% −25.00

Leicester 35 11 31.4% +33.91

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 626 61 9.7% −279.51

Class 5 553 74 13.4% −5.87

Class 3 209 23 11% −67.73

Class 2 92 9 9.8% −25.55

Class 1 81 5 6.2% −7.25

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 148 54 36.5% 1.06 −0.84

2nd–3rd fav 363 66 18.2% 1.02 −33.07

4th–6th fav 566 39 6.9% 0.88 −158.00

7th+ in betting 485 13 2.7% 0.91 −195.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82% completed · 1,471 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 670 78.2% 16 6 122 2 0

Hurdle 801 85.1% 4 5 110 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Henry Box Brown (IRE) 18 1 5 7 Oct 26

Annsam (GB) 18 3 5 10 Oct 25

Clear The Runway (IRE) 17 6 7 23 Sep 24

Ideallko (FR) 15 5 8 11 Oct 25

Quoi De Neuf (FR) 15 1 2 17 Jul 24

Dr T J Eckleburg (IRE) 14 3 5 10 May 25

Lelant (IRE) 13 1 3 5 Oct 26

Blackacre (GB) 13 2 5 19 Sep 25

Everyonesacritic (IRE) 12 2 6 21 Oct 26

The Gypsy Davey (IRE) 12 2 5 18 Sep 26

To Be Sure (GB) 12 2 3 29 Aug 25

Can You Call (GB) 12 2 7 5 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 593 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 26 7.7% · −3.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days7.7%

5-season base11%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

91511141699111210712

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardEvan Williams

51% of all rides
11.8% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

Evan Williams 794 94 11.8% −117.89

L J Morgan 252 33 13.1% −121.10

Alexandra Dunn 67 5 7.5% −14.12

Mrs C Williams 46 4 8.7% −27.79

Christian Williams 46 4 8.7% −22.00

Martin Keighley 39 5 12.8% +15.83

Neil Mulholland 38 3 7.9% −13.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

589

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.32m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 69 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lisnagar Oscar (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2020 · Grade 1

£182,878

Joe Farrell (IRE) — Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ayr · Apr 2018 · Grade 3

£122,443

Secret Reprieve (IRE) — Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Chepstow · Jan 2021 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Annsam (GB) Marble Moon (IRE) Court Royale (IRE) Clear The Runway (IRE) The Last Day (IRE) Still Believing (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 16.1% · 9–56

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 5.4% · 3–56

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,888 runs since 2013 (685 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Mahler (GB) 15.4% · 8–52

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,888 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 16.7% · 8–48

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,688 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Kayf Tara (GB) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,760 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,245 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,245 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 November 2007 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Aintree Nichoir (FR)T: Christian Williams William Hill Extra Places Every Day "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 50/1

07 Nov 26 Aintree Deep Cave (IRE)T: Christian Williams Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Aintree Konfusion (GB)T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith BetMGM Handicap Steeple Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 12/1

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Melton Mossy (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 9/4

05 Nov 26 Plumpton Klic Boum (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams Bet On-Course With Star Sports Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 2/1J

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Mood Music (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Viva Vincente (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 8th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Tour Ovalie (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams Lysaght Cup Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 1st 100/30

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Vale Magic (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 150/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Jeu Magic (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 80/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Tonaghneave Well (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 150/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Tom Taggle (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Richard Soan Roofing Services Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 13/8F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Colby Mayfield (IRE)T: John & Rhys Flint Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 6th 7/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Patriotik (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams Dai Walters Trophy Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 4/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Boyles Hill (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 7 ran 2nd 4/5F

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las It's Easy (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 2/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Headofthevalley (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Dandara Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 1st 9/2

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Some Buck (IRE)T: Christian Williams bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 40/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Woodythewoodpecker (IRE)T: Mrs C. Williams Sky Sports Racing Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 5/1

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Klic Boum (FR)T: Mrs C. Williams Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 11 runs (won 0) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Adam Wedge's strike rate?: Adam Wedge has won 172 of 1,562 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Wedge do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 11 wins from 35 rides (31.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adam Wedge ride most for?: Evan Williams, with 794 rides since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (11.8%).
Is Adam Wedge in form?: In the last 14 days: 26 rides, 2 winners, a strike rate of 7.7%. That is below the baseline of 11% since 2022.
What is Adam Wedge's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 1,561 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.