What is Emma Lavelle's strike rate?

Emma Lavelle has won 205 of 1,428 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.4% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Emma Lavelle do best at?

Stratford by strike rate: 12 wins from 47 runners (25.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Emma Lavelle?

Tom Bellamy, with 523 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (14.1%).

Is Emma Lavelle in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.4% since 2022.

What is Emma Lavelle's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,426 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Emma Lavelle

1,428 runners in the last 5 seasons · 168 individual horses

As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 3.8% of 320 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 23 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

205–1,428

Wins / Runs

14.4%

Strike rate

n=1,428

531 (37%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,426 · 0.86 incl. margin

−287.70

£1 level stake

n=1,428 at SP · −20.1%

£3.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 290 runners a season, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,428 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 32.6% when favourite Tom Bellamy: 14.1% from 523 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ludlow (27.5%, n=40), Stratford (25.5%, n=47) and Huntingdon (22.9%, n=48) — all clear of the yard's 14.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 8.9% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.75). Tom Bellamy rides 37% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.1%, A/E 0.92). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 6.8% over 44 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sun Racing Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2019, £182,878). The stable star of the record: Hang In There (IRE) — 13 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.7%−1.7

n=387 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −99.65

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.1%−3.3

n=36 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +46.50

Debutants · first career start

10.4%−4.0

n=77 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −24.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.9%−5.5

n=45 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −24.17

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.2%−10.2

n=24 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −21.50

When favourite

32.6%

n=181 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −43.12

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11%−3.4

n=227 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −83.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.7%−4.7

n=62 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harry Cobden 25.4% vs 14.4% · n=114

At Ludlow 27.5% vs 14.4% · n=40

At Stratford 25.5% vs 14.4% · n=47

At Huntingdon 22.9% vs 14.4% · n=48

With Charles Bishop 6.1% vs 14.4% · n=33

Off a 8-14-day break 6.8% vs 14.4% · n=44

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 677 104 15.4% −136.74

Chase 441 62 14.1% −176.31

Flat 209 27 12.9% +26.23

NH Flat 101 12 11.9% −0.88

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 645 97 15% −111.98

Good to Soft 391 49 12.5% −130.12

Soft 209 32 15.3% −23.80

Good to Firm 79 13 16.5% +25.20

Standard (AW) 55 8 14.5% −25.15

Heavy 46 5 10.9% −23.35

Firm 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newbury 82 11 13.4% −16.88

Uttoxeter 71 7 9.9% −15.29

Warwick 70 11 15.7% −4.43

Wincanton 68 10 14.7% −31.92

Hereford 68 9 13.2% −23.45

Fontwell 67 10 14.9% −18.25

Worcester 59 9 15.3% −31.76

Chepstow 58 8 13.8% −17.15

Kempton 54 6 11.1% −24.62

Plumpton 53 5 9.4% −27.35

Exeter 53 8 15.1% −15.89

Huntingdon 48 11 22.9% +5.68

Stratford 47 12 25.5% −8.41

Market Rasen 44 6 13.6% −26.33

Doncaster 43 6 14% −13.06

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 608 92 15.1% −117.07

Class 5 286 43 15% −35.83

Class 3 258 36 14% −114.17

Class 2 155 23 14.8% +27.99

Class 1 92 8 8.7% −36.00

Class 6 29 3 10.3% −12.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 209 68 32.5% 0.94 −43.25

2nd–3rd fav 471 95 20.2% 1.14 −24.45

4th–6th fav 459 31 6.8% 0.77 −146.50

7th+ in betting 289 11 3.8% 1.00 −73.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.9% completed · 1,118 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 441 77.8% 13 13 68 2 2

Hurdle 677 87.9% 9 5 67 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Grey Fox (IRE) 34 4 8 12 Sep 26

Hang In There (IRE)from Ms Margaret Mullins 33 9 16 28 Jun 26

Porter In The Park (IRE) 32 4 14 5 Sep 26

My Silver Lining (IRE) 26 5 14 29 Jan 26

Zoran (GB)from Paul Nicholls 26 4 11 21 Jan 26

Lady Caro (IRE) 25 2 9 24 Jul 26

Gold Link (FR)from Adrien Lacombe 24 3 11 1 Apr 26

Rebel Intentions (IRE)then Annabelle Sowray 24 3 6 13 May 25

General Medrano (IRE)from Denis Paul Murphy 23 4 9 20 Dec 25

Light N Strike (IRE)from Jamie Snowden 22 5 12 17 Oct 26

Two To Tango (GB) 22 1 11 5 Oct 26

Classic King (IRE) 22 4 14 8 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 168 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

2 from 17 11.8% · −2.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.8%

5-season base14.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

201717111711131610181010

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Bellamy

37% of all rides
14.1% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Bellamy 523 74 14.1% −182.43

Joe Anderson 152 16 10.5% −53.55

Ben Jones 127 21 16.5% −31.11

Harry Cobden 114 29 25.4% −26.32

Cameron Johnstone-Baker 41 5 12.2% −0.95

Charles Bishop 33 2 6.1% −1.00

James Best 31 6 19.4% +29.75

Gavin Sheehan 31 3 9.7% −13.75

David Probert 31 7 22.6% −0.74

Rex Dingle 31 4 12.9% −6.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

715

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.52m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 52 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Paisley Park (IRE) — Sun Racing Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2019 · Grade 1

£182,878

De Rasher Counter (GB) — Ladbrokes Trophy Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Newbury · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£142,375

Eclair Surf (FR) — Agetur UK Ltd Classic Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Warwick · Jan 2022 · Grade 3

£56,950

Notable horses

Hang In There (IRE) Paisley Park (IRE) Master Milliner (IRE) Fox Appeal (IRE) Kangaroo Court (IRE) Grey Fox (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 16.8% · 17–101

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,810 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Getaway (GER) 16.7% · 9–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,921 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.5% from 132.

Milan (GB) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,852 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 8.2% · 4–49

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,821 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 13.3% of 6,949 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,181 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,181 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Chilli King (GB)J: George Wood Midnite: Built For 2027 Not 2007 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Indemnity (IRE)J: David Probert Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 13th 18/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Squire Danagher (GB)J: Charles Bishop Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 33/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Eastern Rock (IRE)J: Adam Wedge BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 15/2

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Grey Gamble (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Aldaniti Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 5th 7/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton A Little Something (GB)J: Charlie Todd Nick And Valda Embiricos Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 5th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Tashan (GB)J: Harry Cobden Bet Goodwin Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 4/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Silver Wraith (GB)J: Charles Bishop Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 5/2F

17 Oct 26 Stratford Kit's Coty (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Roy G. T. Clark 100th Birthday Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Watamu (GB)J: Jonathan Burke Tracey- Ann Hen Day To Remember Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Light N Strike (IRE)J: James Bowen Pertemps Network Jean & Paul Lucas Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 9/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford Kilworth (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Bet With On Course Bookmakers Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good · 4 ran 4th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Stratford One Knight (IRE)J: Cameron Johnstone-Baker Keogh & Hows Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 7 ran UR 9/4

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Ballymoreen (IRE)J: Harry Cobden tigerbet.co.uk Lucky Odds Boost Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 1st 4/5F

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las George's Lad (IRE)J: Harry Cobden Adept GRP Cabinets Novices' Steeple Chase (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 19.5f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 9/2

12 Oct 26 Worcester Muskoka (IRE)J: Charlie Todd CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good To Soft · 5 ran F 15/2

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Baltray (IRE)J: Liam Harrison Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 16/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Footstepinthewoods (IRE)J: Jason Watson Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 6/1

05 Oct 26 Stratford Two To Tango (GB)J: Charlie Todd Jodie Standing's Point-To-Point Recruits Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

05 Oct 26 Stratford Prince Vinny (IRE)J: Ben Jones Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Emma Lavelle's strike rate?: Emma Lavelle has won 205 of 1,428 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 14.4% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Emma Lavelle do best at?: Stratford by strike rate: 12 wins from 47 runners (25.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Emma Lavelle?: Tom Bellamy, with 523 runners since 2022 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 74 (14.1%).
Is Emma Lavelle in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 11.8%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.4% since 2022.
What is Emma Lavelle's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,426 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.