Chance The Robin (IRE)
Chance The Robin won two of nine starts on turf. Both wins came at Hexham, one in a Class 5 bumper over 1m5f to 2m on heavy ground in Mar 2023 and one in a Class 4 maiden hurdle over 2m5f to 3m on good to soft in May 2023. The gelding, by Robin Des Champs out of a Milan mare, last ran off his career-high mark of 107 at Cork in Mar 2024. He has not won since May 2023.
- 2–9Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 5 (55.6%)Placed
- −4.55£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 1.35Fair A/E n=9 · 1.18 incl. margin
- 107Highest OR
- 19dBetween runs (median)longest 182 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 134
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 4 | 124C | 81.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 130B | 97.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 134A | 129 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 134A | 78 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 130B | 124 | — |
Of 9 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since Jan 2008 (425 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 71 | 9 | 12.7% | −0.6 | — |
| Good | 1,072 | 159 | 14.8% | +1.5 | — |
| Good to Soft | 762 | 102 | 13.4% | +0.1 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,365 | 153 | 11.2% | −2.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 717 | 104 | 14.5% | +1.2 | 1 from 5 |
| Standard (AW) | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | +5.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −13.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | +2.1 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,045 | 144 | 13.8% | +0.5 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,549 | 208 | 13.4% | +0.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,125 | 138 | 12.3% | −1 | 1 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 274 | 39 | 14.2% | +0.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
Family form: River Cartwright (IRE) finished 2nd of 8 at Tramore (IRE), 8 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Cartwright (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Carleys Lilly (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Square Ball (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Low Tolerance (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.67 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.12 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.12 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.67 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hexham | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.45 |
| Thurles | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kelso | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.88 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.67 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hayes | 4 | 1 | 25% | −2.67 |
| Ben Harvey | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.12 |
| Simon Torrens | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dylan Johnston | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2023 | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.55 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.88 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.67 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Chance The Robin won?
- Chance The Robin (IRE) won 2 of 9 archived starts between 2023 and 2024, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 5 times in total (55.6% of starts).
- Who trained Chance The Robin?
- Chance The Robin (IRE) was trained by John C McConnell on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 21 March 2024.
- Who is Chance The Robin's sire?
- Chance The Robin (IRE) is by Robin Des Champs (FR) out of Snoopy Milan (IRE), whose sire is Milan.
- What going does Chance The Robin prefer?
- Chance The Robin (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chance The Robin's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 107, from the run on 21 March 2024. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Chance The Robin's sire's record?
- Robin Des Champs (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since Jan 2008 (425 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Chance The Robin's siblings?
- Out of Snoopy Milan (IRE), Chance The Robin (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.