What is John McConnell's strike rate?

John McConnell has won 256 of 3,724 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John McConnell do best at?

Wexford by strike rate: 12 wins from 96 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John McConnell?

Siobhan Rutledge, with 525 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (4.6%).

Is John McConnell in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.9% since 2022.

What is John McConnell's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 3,722 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John McConnell

3,724 runners in the last 5 seasons · 411 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.1% of 614 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

256–3,724

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=3,724

791 (21%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=3,722 · 0.76 incl. margin

−1,759.80

£1 level stake

n=3,724 at SP · −47.3%

£3.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 740 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). Debutants are a strength: 8% on first career starts (166 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,724 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 33.3% when favourite Siobhan Rutledge: 4.6% from 525 Claiming riders: 7.5% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Killarney (15.8%, n=57) and Tramore (15.4%, n=52) — all clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 1.8% (n=164, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.76 and −114.24 to a £1 stake over 176 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 6.9pts below the 6.9% baseline). Siobhan Rutledge rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.6% vs 6.9%, A/E 0.88). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (25.7%, n=109) and in NH Flat races (16.4%, n=159). 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Magners Plate Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Mar 2023, £67,524). The stable star of the record: Go Another One (IRE) — 14 wins from 45 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%−0.8

n=792 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −435.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.8%−5.1

n=164 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −138.88

Debutants · first career start

8.4%+1.5

n=166 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −86.47

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.4%−0.5

n=141 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −99.52

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4%−2.9

n=176 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −114.24

When favourite

33.3%

n=201 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −39.65

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.5%+0.6

n=1,990 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −770.61

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%−0.6

n=127 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −72.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 25.7% vs 6.9% · n=109

On last-time-out winners 15.9% vs 6.9% · n=251

In NH Flat races 16.4% vs 6.9% · n=159

With Sean Bowen 19.4% vs 6.9% · n=31

At Killarney 15.8% vs 6.9% · n=57

At Tramore 15.4% vs 6.9% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,044 96 4.7% −974.34

Hurdle 1,178 109 9.3% −577.71

Chase 343 25 7.3% −180.41

NH Flat 159 26 16.4% −27.34

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,199 97 8.1% −550.56

Soft 915 57 6.2% −473.03

Standard (AW) 846 48 5.7% −303.34

Good to Soft 481 38 7.9% −281.13

Heavy 245 13 5.3% −157.49

Good to Firm 38 3 7.9% +5.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 810 43 5.3% −295.67

Bellewstown 203 14 6.9% −130.67

Navan 189 5 2.6% −131.67

Downpatrick 181 17 9.4% −101.02

Leopardstown 173 11 6.4% −50.50

Down Royal 173 14 8.1% −48.75

Fairyhouse 155 3 1.9% −139.38

Punchestown 148 6 4.1% −91.00

Gowran Park 134 1 0.7% −125.50

Kilbeggan 118 10 8.5% −40.74

Galway 111 4 3.6% −70.00

Wexford 96 12 12.5% +23.87

Curragh 94 0 0% −94.00

Naas 93 1 1.1% −91.75

Sligo 78 7 9% −33.05

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 148 11 7.4% −59.00

Class 4 109 28 25.7% −35.30

Class 2 72 5 6.9% −57.72

Class 3 65 8 12.3% −25.07

Class 5 28 8 28.6% +1.15

Class 6 26 4 15.4% −10.92

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 244 76 31.1% 1.01 −45.15

2nd–3rd fav 535 92 17.2% 1.07 −70.65

4th–6th fav 752 53 7% 0.92 −205.00

7th+ in betting 2,193 35 1.6% 0.60 −1,439.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Zahee (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness 39 2 8 21 Feb 25

Higher Kingdom (GB)from David O'Meara · then Adrian McGuinness 38 4 8 31 Jan 25

Wild Shot (GB)from Noel C Kelly 38 4 9 15 Oct 24

Stanhope (GB)from Damian Joseph English 37 3 11 22 Oct 25

Hasten Slowly (IRE)from Noel Meade 36 5 11 14 Jun 26

Together Aclaim (GB)from Gavin Cromwell 36 2 5 5 Nov 25

Kartayaz (IRE)then G A Kingston 36 3 8 15 Aug 24

Fine Print (IRE)from G M Lyons 35 2 10 8 Sep 26

Hasiyna (IRE)from D K Weld 34 3 7 2 Oct 26

Tartaraghan (IRE) 34 1 9 17 Oct 25

Mulgrave (IRE)from Eddie & Patrick Harty · then Daniel James Murphy 34 4 6 17 Jan 25

Rexem (IRE) 33 6 15 22 Aug 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 411 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 17 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gavin Cromwell (4) and David O'Meara (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

0 from 17 0% · −6.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days0%

5-season base6.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

6778864117548

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSiobhan Rutledge

14% of all rides
4.6% SR · A/E 0.88

RiderRWSR£1

Siobhan Rutledge 525 24 4.6% −234.50

Donagh O'Connor 423 14 3.3% −276.67

Alex Harvey 398 41 10.3% −125.33

Ben Harvey 380 47 12.4% −100.05

Simon Torrens 146 15 10.3% −61.09

Cillian McConnell 136 8 5.9% −43.00

Dylan Kidd 125 4 3.2% −102.50

Brian Hayes 113 4 3.5% −104.64

Keithen Kennedy 64 9 14.1% +38.25

Cian Fahy 58 0 0% −58.00

Thomas Reilly 56 4 7.1% −31.67

Mr Finn Buckley 54 6 11.1% −3.20

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

526

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£6.67m

Prize money

2022

Best season · 80 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Seddon (IRE) — Magners Plate Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2023 · Class 1

£67,524

Hereditary Rule (IRE) — HSS Hire Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade A

£59,000

Seddon (IRE) — Fitzwilliam Sports Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade B

£59,000

Notable horses

Go Another One (IRE) Itsalonglongroad (GB) Intense Approach (GB) Fennor Cross (IRE) Bellick (GB) Blue Ridge Lane (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Iffraaj (GB) 5.3% · 6–114

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,952 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.

Mahler (GB) 17.6% · 16–91

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 7.5% · 6–80

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 7.9% · 6–76

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,114 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Kessaar (IRE) 8.1% · 6–74

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,096 runs since 2008 (97 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14% from 107.

Kingman (GB) 7% · 5–71

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,474 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,572 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,572 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2005 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Princess Chloe (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 6/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Spanish Princess (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 14/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Misneach Sile (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 15th 300/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Bold Reflection (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 50/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Will Be King (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 100/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Kevin's Pride (IRE)J: Alex Harvey TRM Nutrition - No.1 In Europe, Trusted Worldwide Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 13 ran 12th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) G N Jefferson (GB)J: Alex Harvey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 5th 14/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Howdoyalikeherhome (IRE)J: Alex Harvey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran PU 80/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Intense Approach (GB)J: Conor Smithers William Hill Challenge Series Hurdle23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Duleek Street (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Thank You For Your Support Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 12th 28/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Alex Belardo (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div I)7.5f · Soft · 14 ran 10th 9/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Miss Kobe (IRE)J: Ms L A Byrne Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 15/2

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Walks The Talk (IRE)J: Alex Harvey O'Neills.com Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase21f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/4J

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ventriloquist (IRE)J: Adam Browne-Souza View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 33/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Thompson Gunner (IRE)J: Jessica O'Gorman View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 8/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Technology (IRE)J: Daniel King Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 17/2

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Kared'as De Cougny (FR)J: Alex Harvey Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 10th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) River Cartwright (IRE)J: Ms L A Byrne Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 17/2

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Quinchy Lady (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 66/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Princess Chloe (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John McConnell's strike rate?: John McConnell has won 256 of 3,724 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John McConnell do best at?: Wexford by strike rate: 12 wins from 96 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John McConnell?: Siobhan Rutledge, with 525 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (4.6%).
Is John McConnell in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 6.9% since 2022.
What is John McConnell's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 3,722 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.