Chasing Chances (IRE)
Chasing Chances is a maiden who was yet to win from eight starts on turf. He showed his best effort when fourth of 14 at Punchestown in Jun 2023. The gelding, by Califet out of a Presenting mare, raced over 2m1f to 2m4f on five of those starts and acted on soft ground. His last run, at Cork in Jan 2025, saw him finish eighth of 15 from mid division.
- 0–8Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=8 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 100Highest OR
- 93dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 143
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 85B | 79 | — |
| Good | 2 | 70C | 54 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 143B | 99.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 85B | 71.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 8 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
- Midfield 2 (50%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (25%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 3,788 runs since Jan 2008 (399 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +88.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | +12.6 | — |
| Good | 1,013 | 130 | 12.8% | +1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 698 | 87 | 12.5% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,367 | 143 | 10.5% | −1.3 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 620 | 71 | 11.5% | −0.3 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 39 | 1 | 2.6% | −9.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | +4.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | +4.9 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 65 | 15 | 23.1% | +11.3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,203 | 147 | 12.2% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,654 | 186 | 11.2% | −0.6 | 0 from 5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 690 | 73 | 10.6% | −1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Over 3m | 151 | 22 | 14.6% | +2.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasing Crowns (IRE) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sexton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Danny Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jody McGarvey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Fenelon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr T Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Chase | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 25+16d | Cork | Weldon's Supplier Of John Deere Grass Machinery Beginners Chase Settled around midfield - suffered a heavy knock six out and lost fluency four out - pushed along in sixth turning in without threatening leaders - stayed on same gear to finish eighth | 8/15 | 6½ | 11-5 | — | 73C | 87C | Harry Sexton | 80/1 |
| 01 Jan 25+47d | Fairyhouse | Happy Retirement To Noel Fanning Handicap Hurdle Settled towards the back of the pack - blundered and lost jockey at the opening fence | UR/21 | — | 10-3 | 94 | — | — | Harry Sexton | 66/1 |
| 15 Nov 24+42d | Punchestown | See You On 23rd & 24th November Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Sat close to the pace early - pushed along two out and slipped back to 11th turning in - faded late to finish well held | 12/18 | 13 | 11-4 | 98 | 70C | 86C | Harry Sexton | 40/1 |
| 04 Oct 24+384d | Gowran Park | Thomastown Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Settled midpack early - unable to make headway from four out and dropped away - finished well adrift in last | 18/18 | 34 | 11-5 | 100 | 38C | 93C | Danny Mullins | 20/1 |
| 16 Sep 23+84d | Navan | Bar One Racing Price Boost All Channels Maiden Hurdle | 5/17 | 16 | 11-12 | — | 85B | 102A | Jody McGarvey | 50/1 |
| 24 Jun 23+13d | Perth | Perth Supports Racing With Pride Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) | 5/7 | 13 | 11-4 | — | 56C | 89C | Brian Hughes | 7/2 |
| 11 Jun 23+62d | Punchestown | Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost Maiden Hurdle | 4/14 | nk | 11-5 | — | 143B | 103A | Shane Fenelon | 125/1 |
| 10 Apr 23 | Cork | Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race | 9/9 | 23 | 12-0 | — | — | 71C | Mr T Hamilton | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Chasing Chances (IRE) won?
- Chasing Chances (IRE) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts between 2023 and 2025.
- Who trained Chasing Chances (IRE)?
- Chasing Chances (IRE) was trained by E Sheehy on the most recent run on record, at Cork on 17 January 2025.
- Who is Chasing Chances (IRE)'s sire?
- Chasing Chances (IRE) is by Califet (FR) out of Chasing Shadows (IRE), whose sire is Presenting.
- What is Chasing Chances (IRE)'s official rating?
- Chasing Chances (IRE)'s highest official rating on record is 100.
- What is Chasing Chances (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Califet (FR)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.8% of 3,788 runs since Jan 2008 (399 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Chasing Chances (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Chasing Shadows (IRE), Chasing Chances (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.