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Jockey profile

Harry Sexton

529 rides in the last 5 seasons · 209 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 98% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2022
21–529
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=529
93 (18%)
Placed
0.79
Fair A/E
n=528 · 0.63 incl. margin
−263.78
£1 level stake
n=529 at SP · −49.9%
£410k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 110 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.79).

Deterministic profile computed from 529 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Adrian Sexton: 4% from 149
The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (9.7%, n=31) and Fairyhouse (9.4%, n=32) — all clear of the rider's 4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=93, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −169.00 to a £1 stake over 284 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adrian Sexton supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.90). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (7.5%, n=80). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 56 rides, 4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.15 across 129 rides (0.8% strike, −88.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Dec 2024, £26,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.4%−1.6
n=208 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −98.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
11.8%+7.8
n=17 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +1.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−4.0
n=93 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −93.00
When favourite
10%
n=10 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −8.78
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.9%−0.1
n=515 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −254.28
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.5%−1.5
n=284 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −169.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
13.3%+9.3
n=15 · A/E 2.72 · £1 +0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Down Royal 9.7% vs 4% · n=31
At Fairyhouse 9.4% vs 4% · n=32
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4% · n=56
Over 2m5f – 3m 0.8% vs 4% · n=129
With horses switching code 0.8% vs 4% · n=126
Off a 8-14-day break 7.5% vs 4% · n=80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 383 14 3.7% −207.28
Chase 113 7 6.2% −23.50
NH Flat 24 0 0% −24.00
Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 212 9 4.2% −101.00
Soft 157 2 1.3% −129.00
Good to Soft 98 6 6.1% +5.00
Heavy 60 4 6.7% −36.78
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Downpatrick 39 1 2.6% −31.00
Punchestown 39 1 2.6% −22.00
Kilbeggan 34 2 5.9% −20.00
Fairyhouse 32 3 9.4% −0.50
Down Royal 31 3 9.7% +23.50
Limerick 30 0 0% −30.00
Sligo 29 2 6.9% −10.00
Tramore 27 1 3.7% −22.00
Clonmel 27 3 11.1% −0.50
Cork 25 1 4% −8.00
Gowran Park 25 1 4% −23.78
Wexford 22 0 0% −22.00
Galway 22 0 0% −22.00
Listowel 21 0 0% −21.00
Ballinrobe 21 0 0% −21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 2 13.3% +0.50
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 1 9.1% 0.37 −9.78
2nd–3rd fav 62 7 11.3% 0.82 −24.50
4th–6th fav 100 5 5% 0.76 −48.50
7th+ in betting 356 8 2.2% 0.92 −181.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.9% completed · 496 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 113 84.1% 9 4 3 1 1
Hurdle 383 90.3% 7 9 21 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Katherine (IRE) 35 3 6 26 Aug 26
Zolpharine (IRE) 12 0 3 30 Sep 26
Shing Shilla (IRE) 12 0 0 29 Jun 26
Gaelic Arc (IRE) 10 2 4 17 Jul 26
Likealightswitch (IRE) 9 1 5 17 Oct 26
Frankie's Freebie (IRE) 9 0 6 13 Aug 26
Kiss My Lucky Egg (GB) 9 0 1 7 Jul 24
Prince Palace (FR) 8 1 3 16 Nov 25
Herja (IRE) 7 1 4 31 Oct 26
Surviving Murmansk (IRE) 7 1 4 26 Aug 26
Chasing Crowns (IRE) 7 0 1 23 Jul 26
History Of Fashion (IRE) 7 2 2 30 Nov 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 209 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 10
Only 10 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
006535434555
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardAdrian Sexton
28% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 0.90
TrainerRWSR£1
Adrian Sexton 149 6 4% −50.78
P A Fahy 79 5 6.3% +1.50
John Joseph Hanlon 79 3 3.8% −52.00
John Patrick Ryan 43 2 4.7% −19.50
E Sheehy 40 0 0% −40.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
21
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£410k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 8 wins
History Of Fashion (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Porterstown Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Dec 2024 · Listed
£26,550
Prince Palace (FR) — Nas Na Riogh Novice Handicap Chase (Listed) Navan · Mar 2025 · Listed
£26,550
Gaelic Arc (IRE) — Belvedere House & Gardens Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Kilbeggan · Jun 2025
£14,750
Notable horses
Katherine (IRE) Gaelic Arc (IRE) History Of Fashion (IRE) Likealightswitch (IRE) Athagabhain (IRE) Prince Palace (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shirocco (GER) 6.5% · 3–46
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,180 runs since 2010 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Doyen (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,374 runs since 2009 (605 horses).
Arcadio (GER) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,870 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Shantou (USA) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,830 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,566 runs since 2019 (446 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 283.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 534 · newest first

The latest 50 of 534 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2021 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Fairy Meadow (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 14th 100/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Herja (IRE)T: Patrick Griffin Racing Post Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 8/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Swift Charm (IRE)T: R K Watson Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)T: R K Watson Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 19th 33/1
30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rossnowlagh (IRE)T: R K Watson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 300/1
26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Imbolc (IRE)T: E Sheehy COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 50/1
25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Two Mary's (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1
23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Torque De Lune (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 12/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Heroes Of Renown (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Clonmel Oil Chase Day November 5th Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 15 ran 10th 20/1
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mother Ship (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Mahon Falls Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 1st 10/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Likealightswitch (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 28/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) The Chancie Grey (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 13th 40/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)T: R K Watson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 25/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Pahlavi (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 7/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Ahellofaman (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Ardmore Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 7/2
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Minella Sixo (IRE)T: R K Watson BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 6th 100/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Gypsy Poet (IRE)T: Liz Doyle Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran PU 100/30F
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Victoria Kesia (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Racing Again October 10th Mares Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 20/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Crystal Mariner (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 25 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Sexton's strike rate?
Harry Sexton has won 21 of 529 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Sexton do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Sexton ride most for?
Adrian Sexton, with 149 rides since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4%).
Is Harry Sexton in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 10 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Sexton's Fair A/E?
0.79, from 528 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).