What is Danny Mullins's strike rate?

Danny Mullins has won 229 of 2,171 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Danny Mullins do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 20 wins from 114 rides (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Danny Mullins ride most for?

W P Mullins, with 626 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (15%).

Is Danny Mullins in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Danny Mullins's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 2,171 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Danny Mullins

2,171 rides in the last 5 seasons · 939 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

229–2,171

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=2,171

618 (29%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=2,171 · 0.84 incl. margin

−304.80

£1 level stake

n=2,171 at SP · −14.0%

£7.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 430 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (248 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,171 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 30.8% when favourite W P Mullins: 15% from 626 LTO winners: 16.1% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ballinrobe (19.1%, n=68) and Limerick (17.5%, n=114) — all clear of the rider's 10.5% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.1% (n=248, Fair A/E 1.08). W P Mullins supplies 29% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15% vs 10.5%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 117 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2022, £182,878). The standout partner of the record: Presenting Mahler (IRE) — 5 wins from 47 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.1%−0.4

n=848 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −68.07

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.1%+5.6

n=248 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +31.77

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10%−0.5

n=458 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −110.57

When favourite

30.8%

n=201 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −39.09

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.6%−2.9

n=990 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −199.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.9%+0.4

n=488 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −23.91

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Ballinrobe 19.1% vs 10.5% · n=68

With Richard John O'Brien 20% vs 10.5% · n=35

At Limerick 17.5% vs 10.5% · n=114

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 10.5% · n=248

With W P Mullins 15% vs 10.5% · n=626

With J P Flavin 5% vs 10.5% · n=60

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,515 148 9.8% −237.57

Chase 640 80 12.5% −55.23

Flat 9 1 11.1% −5.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 894 90 10.1% −107.11

Good 501 65 13% +20.04

Good to Soft 425 32 7.5% −134.76

Heavy 340 38 11.2% −112.80

Good to Firm 10 4 40% +30.83

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 260 23 8.8% −88.39

Fairyhouse 181 21 11.6% −36.53

Tramore 142 19 13.4% −9.09

Limerick 114 20 17.5% +2.08

Cork 107 13 12.1% +24.74

Leopardstown 104 12 11.5% −6.90

Clonmel 99 8 8.1% −54.67

Galway 92 6 6.5% −66.70

Listowel 89 8 9% −22.62

Navan 88 8 9.1% −31.42

Thurles 86 7 8.1% −43.92

Cheltenham 85 5 5.9% −41.50

Naas 83 6 7.2% −48.04

Gowran Park 81 12 14.8% +7.91

Kilbeggan 73 8 11% +58.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 527 57 10.8% −8.91

Class 2 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 4 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Class 5 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 233 69 29.6% 1.01 −33.09

2nd–3rd fav 540 86 15.9% 1.01 −72.61

4th–6th fav 668 57 8.5% 1.17 +64.90

7th+ in betting 730 17 2.3% 0.79 −264.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 2,155 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 640 80.6% 25 7 92 0 0

Hurdle 1,515 89.3% 24 3 129 2 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Spinning Web (IRE) 17 1 3 14 May 26

Ballycashin (IRE) 16 1 1 14 May 26

Blaze The Way (IRE) 15 2 7 26 Sep 26

Classic Getaway (IRE) 14 3 6 29 Apr 26

Shantou Sisu (IRE) 14 2 4 6 Oct 23

Big Island (IRE) 13 1 3 24 Jul 26

He Fitz In (IRE) 12 2 4 1 Oct 25

Vischio (IRE) 12 3 8 2 Aug 25

Il Etait Temps (FR) 12 4 9 26 Apr 25

Street Value (IRE) 12 2 3 1 Dec 24

A Snow White Park (IRE) 11 3 4 28 Sep 26

Paul's Dream (IRE) 11 2 4 25 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 939 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

4 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

129610916101112131013

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW P Mullins

29% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

W P Mullins 626 94 15% −51.31

John Patrick Ryan 172 13 7.6% −40.75

Ms Margaret Mullins 145 14 9.7% +34.00

Anthony Mullins 137 13 9.5% −22.84

Thomas Mullins 112 8 7.1% −71.67

W J Lanigan 70 8 11.4% +33.00

J P Flavin 60 3 5% −30.75

P A Fahy 54 3 5.6% −34.00

John Joseph Hanlon 53 4 7.5% −22.75

R Donohoe 42 6 14.3% −7.67

S R B Crawford 38 2 5.3% −24.50

Richard John O'Brien 35 7 20% +2.70

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

651

Archived wins

117

Pattern / graded wins

£16.6m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 55 wins

Flooring Porter (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Grade 1

£182,878

Tornado Flyer (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George Vi Chase (Grade 1) (gbb Race) Kempton · Dec 2021 · Grade 1

£143,045

Flooring Porter (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2021 · Grade 1

£135,048

Notable horses

Presenting Mahler (IRE) Dark Outsider (IRE) Rock And Roll Kid (IRE) Clarach (IRE) Down In Neworleans (IRE) Stormy Ireland (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Walk In The Park (IRE) 15.6% · 12–77

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,929 runs since 2008 (688 horses).

Getaway (GER) 11.4% · 8–70

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,913 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Mahler (GB) 18.6% · 11–59

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Shantou (USA) 10.3% · 6–58

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Yeats (IRE) 10.5% · 6–57

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Jukebox Jury (IRE) 21.4% · 9–42

Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,941 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,941 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 May 2008 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) He's Gorgeous (IRE)T: P A Fahy STL Logistics Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 7/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Weveallbeencaught (IRE)T: E McNamara BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 9th 5/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Hello Jack (IRE)T: E McNamara Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 14/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Kazbek (IRE)T: Peter Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 9/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Build A Bridge (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 11 ran 1st 11/4F

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Dunmore (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins William Hill Challenge Series 3-Y-O Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 6th 150/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Good Bye Milan (IRE)T: Gillian Scott Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 11th 20/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hesasmoothoperator (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 15 ran PU 9/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Red Acres Georgie (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 11/4

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Antrim Coast (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine O'Neills.com Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase21f · Good · 6 ran 1st 6/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Iamagetaway (IRE)T: W R Crawford McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 3/1F

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Cap Bernat (IRE)T: Robin McNeilly Randox Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 18/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Kimy (FR)T: Thomas Mullins Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Baymount (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 1st 12/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Chart Topper (FR)T: W. P. Mullins BOYLE Sports Shop At Galway Racecourse Beginners Steeplechase18f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 5th 9/4J

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Say It Straight (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Winter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 6/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ripsnorter (FR)T: W J Lanigan Paddy Monaghan 90th Birthday Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 14th 15/2

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Arctic Piper (IRE)T: R Donohoe Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 9th 9/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Daboya (IRE)T: R Donohoe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Eaglewood (IRE)T: Leonard Paul Flynn Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Danny Mullins's strike rate?: Danny Mullins has won 229 of 2,171 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Danny Mullins do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 20 wins from 114 rides (17.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Danny Mullins ride most for?: W P Mullins, with 626 rides since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 94 (15%).
Is Danny Mullins in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Danny Mullins's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 2,171 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.