Conjecture (GB)
Conjecture placed five times from seven starts on turf without winning. Her best effort came when second of eight at Beverley in Aug 2025. The filly, by Palace Pier out of an Intimation mare, raced prominently when sixth of seven in a Class 5 nursery at Ripon in Sep 2025. She last ran off an official rating of 73.
- 0–7Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 5 (71.4%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=7 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 77Highest OR
- 16dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 82
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 75B | 70 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 82A | 65.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 82A | 70 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 70C | 65 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 3 analysed runs
- Held up 2 (67%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 1 (33%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 577 runs since Jan 2008 (106 horses).
Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 125.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 134 | 19 | 14.2% | +2.8 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 156 | 17 | 10.9% | −0.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 60 | 3 | 5% | −6.4 | — |
| Soft | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | +0.1 | — |
| Heavy | 14 | 0 | 0% | −11.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 161 | 21 | 13% | +1.6 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | +19.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 257 | 25 | 9.7% | −1.7 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 170 | 18 | 10.6% | −0.8 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 125 | 18 | 14.4% | +3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | −3.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Nuance (GB) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Nuance (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuance (GB) | 5 | 2 | 7f | Class 3 |
| Inquisition (GB) | 10 | 2 | 1m1½f–1m2f | Class 5 |
| Inlet (GB) | 19 | 0 | — | — |
| Trojan Legend (GB) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Hoshi (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirsk | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Beverley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Dylan Hogan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 25+29d | Ripon | Lloyd Landrover Ripon Nursery Handy with the front group early - pressed for effort 3f out and dropped away - unable to make headway inside the final furlong | 6/7 | 1½ | 9-8 | 73 | 60A | 65A | Luke Morris | 15/2 |
| 29 Aug 25+16d | Thirsk | British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Took strong hold early - up with the pace - urged along with 3f left - went up to challenge the front-runner - edged out approaching the final furlong then just held on for third late | 3/5 | 4½ | 9-2 | 75 | 70C | 65B | Luke Morris | 7/2 |
| 13 Aug 25+8d | Beverley | Clearanswer Call Centres EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Squeezed for space early and pushed up to find rhythm - settled just off the pace - moved left and made ground into contention approaching 2f out - took second a furlong out but no match for winner late | 2/8 | 6 | 9-2 | 77 | 82A | 71A | Dylan Hogan | 6/4F |
| 05 Aug 25+11d | Ffos Las | South Wales Medical Event Cover EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Pulled hard early - settled mid-pack - made progress into contention 2f out - pushed along a furlong out - fought for the runner-up spot inside the final 110 yards and stayed on to the line | 2/8 | 1¾ | 9-2 | 77 | 70B | 74A | Luke Morris | 15/8F |
| 25 Jul 25+22d | Thirsk | Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Settled midpack early tracking the tempo - made ground wide of rivals inside final two furlongs - closed to challenge in the last furlong and stayed on well - denied by a whisker at the line | 2/7 | shd | 9-2 | — | 62B | 73A | Joe Fanning | 4/1 |
| 03 Jul 25+9d | Yarmouth | AKS Skips Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Sat just behind the front group - asked for effort with two furlongs left - found extra inside the final furlong to grab second but no match for the winner | 2/7 | 4¼ | 9-2 | — | 75B | 71A | Luke Morris | 10/3 |
| 24 Jun 25 | Beverley | Here Come The Girls EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Sluggish start - moved up onto pace behind front group - squeezed for space with two furlongs left - looked for a gap on the left but blocked by another runner - still tight until finding room left inside final furlong - finished strongly to grab second spot near the line - unable to reel in the winner | 2/5 | 2¾ | 9-2 | — | 49C | 61B | Luke Morris | 5/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Conjecture (GB) won?
- Conjecture (GB) has yet to win, from 7 archived starts in 2025. Placed 5 times in total (71.4% of starts).
- Who trained Conjecture (GB)?
- Conjecture (GB) was trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt on the most recent run on record, at Ripon on 27 September 2025.
- Who is Conjecture (GB)'s sire?
- Conjecture (GB) is by Palace Pier (GB) out of Intimation (GB), whose sire is Dubawi.
- What is Conjecture (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 27 September 2025. The highest on record is 77.
- What is Conjecture (GB)'s sire's record?
- Palace Pier (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 577 runs since Jan 2008 (106 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 125.
- Who are Conjecture (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Intimation (GB), Conjecture (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Nuance (GB) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Nuance (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.