Joe Fanning
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 370 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (236 rides). Rides mostly for Charlie Johnston — 51% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Carlisle (22.5%, n=40), clear of the rider's 13.4% baseline. It is weakest at York (4.5% over 67 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.2% (n=236, Fair A/E 1.03), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=205, Fair A/E 0.79). Charlie Johnston supplies 51% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.5%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (25%, n=36). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 6.2% over 289 rides, 7.2pts below the baseline. 71 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Goffs Million Mile at Curragh (Sep 2009, £985,000). The standout partner of the record: Watersmeet (GB) — 12 wins from 43 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 16,480 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 16,480 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 11 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Joe Fanning's strike rate?
- Joe Fanning has won 251 of 1,872 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Joe Fanning do best at?
- Chester by strike rate: 11 wins from 51 rides (21.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Joe Fanning ride most for?
- Charlie Johnston, with 958 rides since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 129 (13.5%).
- What is Joe Fanning's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 1,853 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.