What is Luke Morris's strike rate?

Luke Morris has won 533 of 5,356 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Luke Morris do best at?

Windsor by strike rate: 13 wins from 89 rides (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Luke Morris ride most for?

Sir Mark Prescott Bt, with 791 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 132 (16.7%).

Is Luke Morris in form?

In the last 14 days: 39 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 10.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 10% since 2022.

What is Luke Morris's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 5,317 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Luke Morris

5,356 rides in the last 5 seasons · 2,592 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

533–5,356

Wins / Runs

10%

Strike rate

n=5,356

1,556 (29%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=5,317 · 0.80 incl. margin

−1,678.82

£1 level stake

n=5,356 at SP · −31.3%

£9.81m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 1,070 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (591 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,356 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.4% 32% when favourite Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 16.7% from 791 LTO winners: 20.5% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (2.4% over 85 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.5% (n=591, Fair A/E 1.01), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=349, Fair A/E 0.78). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −79.37 to a £1 stake over 132 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sir Mark Prescott Bt supplies 15% of the rides and beats the rider's average (16.7% vs 10%, A/E 0.95). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.8%, n=342). 38 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2022, £2,400,840). The standout partner of the record: Italian Tom (IRE) — 7 wins from 44 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−3.0

n=2,361 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −980.48

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.5%+10.5

n=591 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −79.97

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.4%+0.4

n=723 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −235.04

When favourite

32%

n=512 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −99.57

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−5.4

n=349 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −156.95

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.1%−3.9

n=132 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −79.37

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.5% vs 10% · n=591

Off a 0-7-day break 17.8% vs 10% · n=342

With Sir Mark Prescott Bt 16.7% vs 10% · n=791

With Paul & Oliver Cole 0% vs 10% · n=34

At Newmarket 2.4% vs 10% · n=85

With James Owen 16.6% vs 10% · n=157

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,355 532 9.9% −1,680.20

Chase 1 1 100% +1.38

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 3,631 362 10% −1,092.06

Good 604 61 10.1% −231.89

Good to Firm 591 66 11.2% −207.20

Good to Soft 221 14 6.3% −123.74

Soft 206 20 9.7% −53.43

Firm 61 7 11.5% +20.00

Heavy 42 3 7.1% +9.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 1,005 123 12.2% −245.65

Lingfield (AW) 672 79 11.8% −133.19

Kempton (AW) 635 41 6.5% −359.96

Southwell (AW) 587 53 9% −221.59

Chelmsford City (AW) 401 40 10% +22.88

Newcastle (AW) 328 25 7.6% −153.95

Bath 177 15 8.5% −53.66

Brighton 154 20 13% −23.72

Yarmouth 135 12 8.9% −70.32

Windsor 89 13 14.6% +28.10

Doncaster 86 9 10.5% −14.10

Newmarket 85 2 2.4% −70.62

Nottingham 85 8 9.4% −40.36

Goodwood 58 4 6.9% −23.00

Chepstow 57 5 8.8% −38.37

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,941 204 10.5% −428.24

Class 5 1,680 181 10.8% −509.21

Class 4 944 94 10% −357.17

Class 2 329 22 6.7% −121.52

Class 3 326 24 7.4% −179.31

Class 1 133 8 6% −80.37

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 575 178 31% 0.93 −108.57

2nd–3rd fav 1,108 183 16.5% 0.97 −216.48

4th–6th fav 1,811 129 7.1% 0.92 −524.57

7th+ in betting 1,862 43 2.3% 0.75 −829.20

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Man On A Mission (GB) 25 6 13 31 Jan 25

Hitched (IRE) 20 6 13 26 Feb 26

Colors Of Freedom (GB) 20 5 7 2 Feb 26

Mount Mogan (GB) 17 3 7 12 Sep 26

Wedgewood (GB) 17 5 10 13 May 26

Bernard Spierpoint (GB) 15 2 4 24 Mar 26

Scarboroughwarning (GB) 15 2 6 27 Oct 25

Synergism (GER) 14 5 8 21 Oct 26

Excel Power (IRE) 14 2 4 23 Oct 24

Light Up Our Stars (IRE) 14 5 7 30 Aug 24

Packetofbiscuits (GB) 13 0 3 18 Aug 26

Michaela's Boy (IRE) 13 3 7 6 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,592 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

4 from 39 10.3% · +0.3pts vs baseline

Last 14 days10.3%

5-season base10%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1391089713111081110

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSir Mark Prescott Bt

15% of all rides
16.7% SR · A/E 0.95

TrainerRWSR£1

Sir Mark Prescott Bt 791 132 16.7% −139.28

Archie Watson 542 59 10.9% −137.99

Tony Carroll 274 25 9.1% −79.00

John Butler 198 18 9.1% −93.57

David Simcock 179 20 11.2% −48.83

James Owen 157 26 16.6% −20.57

Michael Appleby 149 14 9.4% −1.29

Gay Kelleway 111 13 11.7% −29.50

Mark Loughnane 103 9 8.7% −42.42

P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck 103 7 6.8% −62.75

Ian Williams 88 5 5.7% −47.50

Phil McEntee 80 9 11.3% +21.16

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,425

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£25.5m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 190 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Alpinista (GB) — Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (3yo+ No Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2022 · Group 1

£2,400,840

Alpinista (GB) — Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Fillies' & Mares' Group 1) (British Champions Series) York · Aug 2022 · Group 1

£302,690

Marsha (IRE) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2017 · Group 1

£198,485

Notable horses

Italian Tom (IRE) Light Up Our Stars (IRE) Don't Be (GB) Man On A Mission (GB) Hitched (IRE) Altra Vita (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 10.1% · 11–109

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Showcasing (GB) 6.4% · 7–109

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,640 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Dark Angel (IRE) 4.8% · 5–104

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Kingman (GB) 11.7% · 11–94

Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,520 runs since 2018 (778 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9% from 122.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.9% · 12–93

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,214 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Study Of Man (IRE) 19.4% · 18–93

Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,181 runs since 2023 (148 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.6% from 250.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 23,498 · newest first

The latest 50 of 23,498 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 July 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Little Miss India (IRE)T: James Owen Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 5th 20/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Tiger Tulip (GB)T: Heather Main Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 9th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Dawn Romance (IRE)T: John Butler Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 6th 14/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Cherry Amber (GB)T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 10th 250/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Wield (GB)T: Joseph Parr Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 10th 25/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)T: Robert Stephens Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 5/4F

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Glamorous Wild (GB)T: Mark Loughnane All Weather Championship Is Back EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 66/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Break Some Rules (IRE)T: James Tate AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 25/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Superstorm (GB)T: Hayley Burton AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Clarissa Eclipse (GB)T: David Simcock Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 33/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Labiche (GB)T: James Owen AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Fiefdom (IRE)T: S. P. C. Woods Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 6/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ruthless Ambition (USA)T: David Simcock Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 28/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mollisha (IRE)T: Brian Ellison AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) King Of Chaos (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Under The Sun (GB)T: James Owen Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 4/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) La Belle Forest (IRE)T: Archie Watson Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 14/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)T: Robert Stephens Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 22/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Venetian Romance (IRE)T: Michael Attwater Saisons D'Or 100th Race Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 100/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Make It Up (IRE)T: William Knight Bet @racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 6 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 8 runs (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Luke Morris's strike rate?: Luke Morris has won 533 of 5,356 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Luke Morris do best at?: Windsor by strike rate: 13 wins from 89 rides (14.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Luke Morris ride most for?: Sir Mark Prescott Bt, with 791 rides since 2022 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 132 (16.7%).
Is Luke Morris in form?: In the last 14 days: 39 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 10.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 10% since 2022.
What is Luke Morris's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 5,317 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.