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Horse profile

Dakota Breeze (IRE)

3yo gelding · Trainer Archie Watson · Owner Hambleton Racing Ltd Xlvi
by Sioux Nation (USA) out of Carsulae (IRE) (Marju)
5 runs · 5 courses · from Jan 2026
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 9 Jul 2026 · 9th of 10 Last raced off OR 67
KTB Profile

Dakota Breeze is a maiden who has run five times without a win and placed once. His best effort came when second of eight at Newcastle over the AW in Jan 2026. The gelding by Sioux Nation out of a Marju mare has contested races over 6f to 1m1f on good to firm and standard surfaces. He finished ninth of 10 in a Class 5 handicap at Carlisle in Jul 2026.

Based on 5 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs since Jan 2026 · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 85 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Carlisle, 9 Jul 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 87A · median 73
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)387A733 runs · 87 / 73
Good to Firm285B702 runs · 85 / 70
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
6f – 7f387A853 runs · 87 / 85
1m – 1m1f273A532 runs · 73 / 53

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 59A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Lingfield (AW), 21 Feb 2026 Official rating 67 at the last run, 9 Jul 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 5 figures · best 64A · median 56
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)364A593 runs · 64 / 59
Good to Firm256A492 runs · 56 / 49
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
6f – 7f364A563 runs · 64 / 56
1m – 1m1f259A54.52 runs · 59 / 54.5

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 5 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 4 analysed runs since Jan 2026

  • Mid-division 3 (75%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 1 (25%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 12.4% of 2,903 runs since Mar 2022 (360 horses).

Strongest on good to firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm400%−12.4—
Good to Firm4257317.2%+4.80 from 2
Good7387810.6%−1.8—
Good to Soft2933110.6%−1.8—
Soft3904912.6%+0.2—
Heavy1131412.4%0—
Standard (AW)94011412.1%−0.30 from 3
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f5809416.2%+3.8—
6f – 7f1,58520212.7%+0.30 from 3
1m – 1m1f5315310%−2.40 from 2
1m2f – 1m4f19094.7%−7.7—
1m5f – 2m1100%−12.4—
2m1f – 2m4f6116.7%+4.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2022 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Carsulae (IRE) (Marju)

8 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Wasntexpectingthat (GB) (5 wins).

The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Wasntexpectingthat (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Wasntexpectingthat (GB)2655f–6fClass 4
Itsakindamagic (GB)1921mClass 4
Twentysharesofgrey (GB)3526f–7fClass 6
Lady Of The Garr (IRE)3125f–5½fClass 6
Strada Di Carsoli (GB)1317f—
Italian Magic (IRE)60——
Rivendicato (GB)40——
Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)30——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Carlisle 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
6f – 7f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Luke Morris 2 0 0% −2.00
Andrew Mullen 1 0 0% −1.00
Pierre-Louis Jamin 1 0 0% −1.00
Hollie Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 5 runs
09 Jul 26+16d Carlisle Dalston 'Confined' Handicap Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran pulled hard early racing in the pack - put under pressure 2f out - drifted right and dropped away over the final furlong 9/10 1 9-6 6785B56A Andrew Mullen 66/1
23 Jun 26+122d Newbury Venture Security Handicap Class 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran Held a midfield position early - urged forward approaching 3f out - lost touch with the pack 2f out and beaten well home 12/12 13 9-1 6955C42C Pierre-Louis Jamin 66/1
21 Feb 26+14d Lingfield (AW) BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m · Standard · 9 ran Pulled hard in the middle of the pack on the outside - driven 2f out - kept on without threatening the principals - finished 4th 4/9 1 8-11 —33A59A Luke Morris 20/1
07 Feb 26+16d Southwell (AW) Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 12 ran Raced up front early after fighting for control - pressed into the lead - pushed on approaching two out - overtaken with a furlong left - drifted left and faded close home to finish sixth 6/12 5 8-11 —73A50A Hollie Doyle 4/1
22 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran Hampered start - settled close to pace - pressed for effort 3f out - closed on front pair inside final furlong - stayed on to snatch second near line - unable to peg back winner 2/8 3½ 9-7 —87A64A Luke Morris 11/4

Quick answers

How many races has Dakota Breeze won?
Dakota Breeze (IRE) has yet to win, from 5 archived starts in 2026. Placed 1 time in total (20% of starts).
Who trains Dakota Breeze?
Dakota Breeze (IRE) is trained by Archie Watson, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 9 July 2026.
Who is Dakota Breeze's sire?
Dakota Breeze (IRE) is by Sioux Nation (USA) out of Carsulae (IRE), whose sire is Marju.
What is Dakota Breeze's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 67, from the run on 9 July 2026. The highest on record is 69.
What is Dakota Breeze's sire's record?
Sioux Nation (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.4% of 2,903 runs since Mar 2022 (360 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.2% from 580. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.7% from 190.
Who are Dakota Breeze's siblings?
Out of Carsulae (IRE), Dakota Breeze (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Wasntexpectingthat (GB) (5). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Wasntexpectingthat (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from January 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.