What is Hollie Doyle's strike rate?

Hollie Doyle has won 559 of 4,167 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Hollie Doyle do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 26 wins from 86 rides (30.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Hollie Doyle ride most for?

Archie Watson, with 978 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 164 (16.8%).

Is Hollie Doyle in form?

In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 13.4% since 2022.

What is Hollie Doyle's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,148 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Hollie Doyle

4,167 rides in the last 5 seasons · 2,454 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

559–4,167

Wins / Runs

13.4%

Strike rate

n=4,167

1,390 (33%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,148 · 0.84 incl. margin

−1,084.99

£1 level stake

n=4,167 at SP · −26.0%

£12.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

13.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 830 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (515 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,167 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 13.5% 36.5% when favourite Archie Watson: 16.8% from 978 LTO winners: 19.2% Rides the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (30.2%, n=86), Ayr (31.4%, n=35) and Brighton (22.1%, n=77) — all clear of the rider's 13.4% baseline. It is weakest at Epsom Downs (4.1% over 73 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.2% (n=515, Fair A/E 1.02), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.6% (n=409, Fair A/E 0.93). Archie Watson supplies 23% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16.8% vs 13.4%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 57 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix de Diane Longines at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2022, £480,168). The standout partner of the record: Trueshan (FR) — 11 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.8%−0.6

n=2,234 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −679.39

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.2%+5.8

n=515 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −125.63

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.5%+0.1

n=594 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −23.08

When favourite

36.5%

n=591 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −49.30

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.6%−6.8

n=409 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −189.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.6%−2.8

n=310 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −48.56

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 30.2% vs 13.4% · n=86

At Ayr 31.4% vs 13.4% · n=35

With John & Thady Gosden 26% vs 13.4% · n=50

At Epsom Downs 4.1% vs 13.4% · n=73

With new recruits 21.5% vs 13.4% · n=130

At Brighton 22.1% vs 13.4% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,026 276 13.6% −615.82

Good 762 93 12.2% −149.34

Good to Firm 685 101 14.7% −106.69

Good to Soft 312 37 11.9% −111.38

Soft 271 37 13.7% −72.92

Heavy 97 12 12.4% −35.75

Firm 14 3 21.4% +6.91

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 550 81 14.7% −182.62

Kempton (AW) 369 44 11.9% −71.01

Lingfield (AW) 302 39 12.9% −90.88

Southwell (AW) 276 35 12.7% −127.22

Newcastle (AW) 270 44 16.3% −91.23

Chelmsford City (AW) 253 32 12.6% −53.86

Ascot 163 13 8% −40.96

Newbury 149 17 11.4% −16.53

Goodwood 147 14 9.5% −46.45

Windsor 144 18 12.5% −35.42

Newmarket 127 13 10.2% −0.72

York 98 7 7.1% −61.25

Leicester 97 14 14.4% −34.26

Yarmouth 96 19 19.8% −4.95

Chepstow 86 26 30.2% +16.93

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,183 189 16% −355.59

Class 6 1,045 157 15% −149.19

Class 4 781 103 13.2% −146.50

Class 2 491 41 8.4% −231.90

Class 3 340 35 10.3% −162.25

Class 1 310 33 10.6% −48.56

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 663 227 34.2% 1.06 −82.80

2nd–3rd fav 1,167 207 17.7% 1.03 −160.69

4th–6th fav 1,389 101 7.3% 0.87 −340.50

7th+ in betting 948 24 2.5% 0.62 −501.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Albasheer (IRE) 21 4 9 16 May 26

Tempus (GB) 19 4 7 17 Oct 25

Trueshan (FR) 17 6 11 29 Jul 25

Nashwa (GB) 15 5 9 19 Oct 24

Saint Lawrence (IRE) 13 1 2 2 Aug 25

Spartan Arrow (IRE) 12 4 5 1 May 26

Enchanting (GB) 12 4 5 29 Jul 25

Carey Street (IRE) 12 2 4 25 Feb 25

Bradsell (GB) 11 5 8 6 Oct 24

Rhythm N Hooves (GB) 10 4 5 3 Sep 24

Outbox (GB) 10 1 2 11 Jul 24

Tadej (GB) 9 2 3 10 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,454 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

3 from 24 12.5% · −0.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days12.5%

5-season base13.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

11121617131416131111811

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardArchie Watson

23% of all rides
16.8% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Archie Watson 978 164 16.8% −133.65

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 131 20 15.3% −18.03

Marco Botti 116 17 14.7% −18.79

Tony Carroll 101 17 16.8% +16.03

Jane Chapple-Hyam 95 10 10.5% −36.98

Ed Dunlop 94 11 11.7% −25.00

Richard Spencer 82 7 8.5% −60.14

Alan King 81 15 18.5% −19.50

David Evans 72 10 13.9% −34.31

Richard Hannon 61 4 6.6% −31.25

Andrew Balding 57 10 17.5% +1.40

John & Thady Gosden 50 13 26% −5.08

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

1,156

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£20.3m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 173 wins

Nashwa (GB) — Prix de Diane Longines (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2022 · Group 1

£480,168

Bradsell (GB) — King's Stand Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£355,855

Nashwa (GB) — Qatar Nassau Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Jul 2022 · Group 1

£340,260

Notable horses

Trueshan (FR) Corinthia Knight (IRE) Tigerfish (IRE) Rainbow Dreamer (GB) Magicinthemaking (USA) Nashwa (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 13.6% · 15–110

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Dark Angel (IRE) 6.7% · 6–90

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Mehmas (IRE) 16.7% · 14–84

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,241 runs since 2020 (755 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,664 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Blue Point (IRE) 9% · 6–67

Progeny have won 14% of 3,455 runs since 2023 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 212.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 17.2% · 11–64

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 8,670 · newest first

The latest 50 of 8,670 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2013 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) In The Breeze (IRE)T: Henrietta C Knight Prix Denisy15f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 20/1

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Magna Grace (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Prix De Vichy6f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 11/4

10 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Smokey Spirit (IRE)T: Amy Murphy Prix de La Lande de Bruyere7f · Very Soft · 11 ran 10th 40/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Tina's Indian (IRE)T: Brian Toomey Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 10th 16/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Cherry Baker (GB)T: James Owen Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 14th 80/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Pit Boss (GB)T: Liam Bailey Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 4/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Oxford Circus (IRE)T: James Owen All-Weather Championship Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 5/2F

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Style King (IRE)T: Jessica Macey Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 25/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Celestial Fire (IRE)T: Archie Watson Make The Move To Midnite Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 7/4F

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Dream On Kent (GB)T: David Evans Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 9/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Naval Command (GB)T: Rebecca Menzies Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Hk Fourteen (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 11th 18/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Phoenix Moon (IRE)T: Denis Coakley Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 2nd 12/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Philanthropist (GB)T: Jessica Macey Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Accoya (GB)T: Richard Hannon Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Endearment (IRE)T: William Haggas Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 7th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Palliser (GB)T: Archie Watson Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Snaafy (GB)T: David Loughnane Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 5/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Jamie Sommers (IRE)T: David Loughnane AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ottoman (IRE)T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 4 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Hollie Doyle's strike rate?: Hollie Doyle has won 559 of 4,167 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Hollie Doyle do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 26 wins from 86 rides (30.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Hollie Doyle ride most for?: Archie Watson, with 978 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 164 (16.8%).
Is Hollie Doyle in form?: In the last 14 days: 24 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 12.5%. That is in line with the baseline of 13.4% since 2022.
What is Hollie Doyle's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,148 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.