Definite Outcome (IRE)
Definite Outcome (IRE) is 3 from 11. Hasn't won since Oct 2016.
- 3–11Wins / Runs
- 27.3%Strike rate
- 4 (36.4%)Placed
- −0.38£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 1.30Fair A/E n=11 · 1.17 incl. margin
- 132Highest OR
- 52dBetween runs (median)longest 211 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed —
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Of 6 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (4) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 6 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 531 | 69 | 13% | +2.5 | — |
| Good | 2,031 | 224 | 11% | +0.5 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 835 | 89 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,377 | 122 | 8.9% | −1.6 | 2 from 3 |
| Heavy | 679 | 74 | 10.9% | +0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 138 | 7 | 5.1% | −5.4 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +7.7 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | −0.3 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 211 | 9 | 4.3% | −6.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,811 | 185 | 10.2% | −0.3 | 1 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,900 | 204 | 10.7% | +0.2 | 1 from 3 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,349 | 156 | 11.6% | +1.1 | 1 from 6 |
| Over 3m | 286 | 29 | 10.1% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Abbey Magic (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 2m–3m; the highest grade won is Class 1 (Abbey Magic (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Magic (IRE) | 20 | 7 | 2m–2m4f | Class 1 |
| Definite Income (IRE) | 20 | 3 | 2m4f–3m | — |
| Wild Desire (IRE) | 35 | 2 | 2m | — |
| Gallow Ford (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 2m2½f | Class 3 |
| Cream Sparkles (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 2m6½f | — |
| Magical Queen (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| Soft | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.62 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| Class 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.62 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepstow | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| Aintree | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Perth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 1 | 33% | −1.38 |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Moore | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| Paul Townend | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.38 |
| Mr Hugo Hunt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alain Cawley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Moloney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Scudamore | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jonathan Burke | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| A P McCoy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 7 | 3 | 43% | +3.62 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.62 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 5 | 1 | 20% | −3.38 |
| Chase | 5 | 1 | 20% | +1.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Definite Outcome won?
- Definite Outcome (IRE) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2015 and 2017, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 4 times in total (36.4% of starts).
- Who trained Definite Outcome?
- Definite Outcome (IRE) was trained by Richard Hobson on the most recent run on record, at Aintree on 19 May 2017.
- Who is Definite Outcome's sire?
- Definite Outcome (IRE) is by Definite Article (GB) out of Magical Theatre (IRE), whose sire is King's Theatre.
- What going does Definite Outcome prefer?
- Definite Outcome (IRE) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 3 starts (66.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Definite Outcome's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 128, from the run on 19 May 2017. The highest on record is 132.
- What is Definite Outcome's sire's record?
- Definite Article (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since Jan 2008 (527 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
- Who are Definite Outcome's siblings?
- Out of Magical Theatre (IRE), Definite Outcome (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Abbey Magic (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Class 1 (Abbey Magic (IRE)). The wins came over 2m–3m. As at Nov 2026.