What is Jonathan Burke's strike rate?

Jonathan Burke has won 307 of 2,113 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jonathan Burke do best at?

Market Rasen by strike rate: 18 wins from 86 rides (20.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jonathan Burke ride most for?

Fergal O'Brien, with 574 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (15.3%).

Is Jonathan Burke in form?

In the last 14 days: 30 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.5% since 2022.

What is Jonathan Burke's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 2,109 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jonathan Burke

2,113 rides in the last 5 seasons · 937 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

307–2,113

Wins / Runs

14.5%

Strike rate

n=2,113

763 (36%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=2,109 · 0.87 incl. margin

−518.04

£1 level stake

n=2,113 at SP · −24.5%

£5.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

16.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 420 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (313 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,113 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 38.6% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 15.3% from 574 LTO winners: 21.1% Rides the favourite in 14% of races

The read

It is weakest at Doncaster (2.2% over 46 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.1% (n=313, Fair A/E 1.04), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.8% (n=307, Fair A/E 1.18). Fergal O'Brien supplies 27% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (15.3%, A/E 0.96). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (25.5%, n=47). 45 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the thetote.com Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2015, £132,200). The standout partner of the record: Boothill (IRE) — 6 wins from 12 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

13%−1.5

n=848 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −193.18

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.1%+6.6

n=313 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −77.83

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.8%−2.7

n=595 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −198.69

When favourite

38.6%

n=293 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −17.46

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.8%−5.7

n=307 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −69.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.3%−3.2

n=160 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −82.18

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harry Fry 24.4% vs 14.5% · n=164

At Doncaster 2.2% vs 14.5% · n=46

With new recruits 4.9% vs 14.5% · n=103

On Good to Firm going 25.5% vs 14.5% · n=47

On last-time-out winners 21.1% vs 14.5% · n=313

With James Owen 22.2% vs 14.5% · n=108

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,254 174 13.9% −443.24

Chase 627 89 14.2% −116.06

NH Flat 226 43 19% +43.51

Flat 6 1 16.7% −2.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 893 143 16% −93.37

Good to Soft 645 83 12.9% −182.36

Soft 433 54 12.5% −205.15

Heavy 92 15 16.3% −23.35

Good to Firm 47 12 25.5% −10.81

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 142 18 12.7% +12.48

Cheltenham 125 13 10.4% −45.34

Ludlow 125 23 18.4% +20.12

Uttoxeter 125 21 16.8% −0.51

Warwick 107 17 15.9% −6.29

Hereford 104 9 8.7% −67.35

Huntingdon 93 15 16.1% −32.53

Market Rasen 86 18 20.9% +3.48

Wincanton 80 12 15% −29.23

Chepstow 79 7 8.9% −38.30

Kempton 78 9 11.5% −47.50

Newbury 71 13 18.3% +35.28

Ascot 67 12 17.9% −5.29

Stratford 67 9 13.4% −21.83

Exeter 66 9 13.6% −33.92

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 909 141 15.5% −239.58

Class 5 442 70 15.8% −56.19

Class 3 302 39 12.9% −104.70

Class 1 233 23 9.9% −112.35

Class 2 212 34 16% +9.78

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 336 126 37.5% 1.11 −12.12

2nd–3rd fav 664 121 18.2% 0.99 −96.42

4th–6th fav 670 49 7.3% 0.89 −191.50

7th+ in betting 443 11 2.5% 0.72 −218.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.7% completed · 1,881 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 627 79.9% 29 8 87 1 1

Hurdle 1,254 90% 12 4 108 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dunstall Rambler (IRE) 16 3 5 2 Dec 25

Scintillante (GB) 13 2 8 10 Jul 26

Greyval (FR) 13 2 3 23 Apr 26

Mahler Moon (IRE) 12 3 5 5 May 26

Frontier Prince (GB) 11 2 8 4 Apr 26

Charles Ritz (GB) 11 1 3 14 Mar 26

Moviddy (IRE) 11 1 5 17 Apr 25

Java Point (IRE) 11 4 6 8 Mar 25

Boothill (IRE) 11 5 6 27 Apr 24

Carrigmoorna Rowan (IRE) 10 1 4 21 Oct 26

Serious Challenge (IRE) 10 4 6 5 Apr 26

Castel Gandolfo (IRE) 10 2 2 27 Sep 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 937 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

4 from 30 13.3% · −1.2pts vs baseline

Last 14 days13.3%

5-season base14.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

141412171211211412171416

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFergal O'Brien

27% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 0.96

TrainerRWSR£1

Fergal O'Brien 574 88 15.3% −175.28

Tom George 218 27 12.4% −32.34

Alastair Ralph 205 24 11.7% −64.41

Harry Fry 164 40 24.4% −23.39

James Owen 108 24 22.2% −30.21

Oliver Sherwood 80 8 10% −34.66

Jamie Snowden 58 11 19% −12.82

Charlie Longsdon 48 5 10.4% −22.09

Hughie Morrison 44 8 18.2% +18.91

Anthony Honeyball 38 6 15.8% −4.00

Noel Williams 33 5 15.2% −9.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

621

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£10.7m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 80 wins

Shanahan's Turn (IRE) — thetote.com Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2015 · Grade A

£132,200

Ga Law (FR) — Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Nov 2022 · Class 1

£90,032

Not So Sleepy (GB) — Betfair Exchange Trophy (Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle) Ascot · Dec 2019 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Boothill (IRE) Love Envoi (IRE) Java Point (IRE) Darling Du Large (FR) Jobesgreen Lad (GB) Not So Sleepy (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 20% · 15–75

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,866 runs since 2014 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Getaway (GER) 17.1% · 12–70

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 21.5% · 14–65

Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,012 runs since 2011 (702 horses).

Westerner (GB) 21.4% · 12–56

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,851 runs since 2009 (943 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 14% · 7–50

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,869 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Kayf Tara (GB) 16.7% · 8–48

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,751 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,188 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,188 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 April 2012 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 26 Worcester Midnight Escape (GB)T: Ben Case Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Red Oak (IRE)T: James Owen Copybet Pay First Past The Post Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 7/4F

01 Nov 26 Worcester J J Moon (GB)T: Emma Lavelle Fbc Manby Bowdler 'Chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Jukebox King (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Copybet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Brendas Asking (IRE)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 5th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Sportingsilvermine (IRE)T: James Owen 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 13/8F

31 Oct 26 Ascot Merely A Detail (GB)T: Toby Bulgin Ascot Underwriting Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19f · Good · 5 ran 4th 15/2

31 Oct 26 Ascot Secret Sniper (GB)T: Hughie Morrison Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 5/2

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Romany Brown (IRE)T: Ben Case Racing Value At bet365 Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

30 Oct 26 Wetherby Charles Darnay (GB)T: James Owen Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle Race (Listed Race) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 11/4

29 Oct 26 Stratford Ithaka (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 13/8F

29 Oct 26 Stratford George's Lad (IRE)T: Emma Lavelle Happy Birthday Penny Tyacke Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 17/2

29 Oct 26 Stratford Churchman (GB)T: Alastair Ralph Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 5/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Scavengers Reign (IRE)T: James Owen Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 3/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Zaraquelle (FR)T: James Owen Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 11/4J

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Back In The Bay (IRE)T: James Owen 2026/27 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 25f · Good · 6 ran 4th 7/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Scotto (IRE)T: James Owen Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/2

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Gasmani (IRE)T: David Dennis Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 14/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Kel Du Large (FR)T: Jamie Snowden Mount Vines Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 4/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Malinas Glory (IRE)T: Alastair Ralph Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 8 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 11 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 1 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jonathan Burke's strike rate?: Jonathan Burke has won 307 of 2,113 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonathan Burke do best at?: Market Rasen by strike rate: 18 wins from 86 rides (20.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jonathan Burke ride most for?: Fergal O'Brien, with 574 rides since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (15.3%).
Is Jonathan Burke in form?: In the last 14 days: 30 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 13.3%. That is in line with the baseline of 14.5% since 2022.
What is Jonathan Burke's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 2,109 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.