What is Paul Townend's strike rate?

Paul Townend has won 549 of 1,565 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 35.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Townend do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 24 wins from 49 rides (49%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Townend ride most for?

W P Mullins, with 1,530 rides since 2022 — 98% of the total. That pairing has won 544 (35.6%).

Is Paul Townend in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Paul Townend's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 1,565 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Townend

1,565 rides in the last 5 seasons · 489 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

549–1,565

Wins / Runs

35.1%

Strike rate

n=1,565

936 (60%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=1,565 · 0.92 incl. margin

−177.21

£1 level stake

n=1,565 at SP · −11.3%

£23.3m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

32.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 310 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 35% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 41% (450 rides). Rides mostly for W P Mullins — 98% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,565 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar Fresh horses: 35.5% 51.4% when favourite W P Mullins: 35.6% from 1,530 First rides: 35.3% LTO winners: 41.1% Rides the favourite in 52% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (49%, n=49), Gowran Park (45.8%, n=48) and Punchestown (42.6%, n=244) — all clear of the rider's 35.1% baseline. It is weakest at Wexford (17.1% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 41.1% (n=450, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 29.8% (n=484, Fair A/E 1.19). W P Mullins supplies 98% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (35.6%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 477 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2024, £500,000). The standout partner of the record: Galopin Des Champs (FR) — 13 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 35.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

35.3%+0.2

n=405 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −63.02

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

41.1%+6.0

n=450 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −54.41

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

35.5%+0.4

n=462 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −99.97

When favourite

51.4%

n=806 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −55.36

Big fields · 14+ runners

29.8%−5.3

n=484 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −66.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

32.1%−3.0

n=657 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −65.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 35.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Galway 20.2% vs 35.1% · n=84

At Wexford 17.1% vs 35.1% · n=35

At Clonmel 49% vs 35.1% · n=49

With new recruits 47.8% vs 35.1% · n=69

At Gowran Park 45.8% vs 35.1% · n=48

At Punchestown 42.6% vs 35.1% · n=244

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 962 341 35.4% −114.41

Chase 590 208 35.3% −49.80

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 709 252 35.5% −116.58

Heavy 310 128 41.3% +0.28

Good to Soft 292 98 33.6% −15.21

Good 253 71 28.1% −44.70

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 244 104 42.6% −11.64

Fairyhouse 168 60 35.7% −0.88

Leopardstown 114 39 34.2% −37.80

Naas 96 41 42.7% −10.68

Cheltenham 89 26 29.2% +1.12

Galway 84 17 20.2% −29.85

Thurles 71 31 43.7% +6.98

Listowel 69 26 37.7% −4.79

Navan 68 19 27.9% −20.64

Cork 54 19 35.2% −15.71

Tramore 51 18 35.3% −14.00

Clonmel 49 24 49% −3.70

Gowran Park 48 22 45.8% +3.74

Killarney 44 16 36.4% +12.84

Aintree 41 10 24.4% +1.58

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 678 215 31.7% −55.67

Class 2 7 1 14.3% +1.00

Class 3 3 2 66.7% +15.73

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 856 430 50.2% 1.13 −47.52

2nd–3rd fav 521 98 18.8% 0.93 −144.69

4th–6th fav 154 18 11.7% 1.24 +7.00

7th+ in betting 34 3 8.8% 1.81 +8.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.3% completed · 1,552 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 590 84.9% 29 10 49 1 0

Hurdle 962 92% 16 3 56 2 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Blood Destiny (FR) 19 7 10 3 Oct 26

Galopin Des Champs (FR) 19 11 17 2 Feb 26

State Man (FR) 17 13 15 2 May 25

Lossiemouth (FR) 16 13 15 1 May 26

Gaelic Warrior (GER) 15 10 13 29 Apr 26

El Fabiolo (FR) 15 8 11 9 Apr 26

Saint Sam (FR) 15 8 9 28 Feb 26

Energumene (FR) 14 7 7 6 Apr 26

Allegorie De Vassy (FR) 14 4 7 2 May 25

Ballyburn (IRE) 13 6 11 12 Mar 26

Paggane (GB) 13 3 10 11 May 25

Impaire Et Passe (FR) 12 9 10 9 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 489 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

3 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

494136293262202633383631

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardW P Mullins

98% of all rides
35.6% SR · A/E 1.10

TrainerRWSR£1

W P Mullins 1,530 544 35.6% −166.28

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

1,589

Archived wins

477

Pattern / graded wins

£49.7m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 127 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Class 1

£500,000

I Am Maximus (FR) — Randox Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2026 · Class 1

£500,000

Galopin Des Champs (FR) — Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2024 · Grade 1

£352,729

Notable horses

Galopin Des Champs (FR) State Man (FR) Lossiemouth (FR) Energumene (FR) Easy Game (FR) Golden Silver (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

No Risk At All (FR) 39.5% · 32–81

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,162 runs since 2016 (439 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 953.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 37.7% · 29–77

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Saint Des Saints (FR) 29% · 20–69

Progeny have won 15% of 5,361 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Doctor Dino (FR) 57.1% · 36–63

Progeny have won 16% of 3,227 runs since 2013 (497 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.7% from 563. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 695. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

Flemensfirth (USA) 35.9% · 14–39

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,290 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Spanish Moon (USA) 25% · 9–36

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,678 runs since 2014 (220 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16.8% from 394. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 278.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,377 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,377 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2007 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Caher Roes Den (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 9/2

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Fou De Toi (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Paddy Power Cork Grand National Handicap Steeplechase28f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 5/4F

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Roc Dino (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Paddy Power 'How Many Days 'Til Christmas?' Irish EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 24.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 5/4F

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Cosmic Front (GB)T: W. P. Mullins Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 9th 25/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Haiti Couleurs (FR)T: Rebecca Curtis BetVictor, Remembering Envoi Allen Champion Steeplechase (Grade 1)Class 1 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 1st 8/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Sharkeyboy (FR)T: W. P. Mullins QuinnBet 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 1st 8/13F

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Caher Roes Den (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins William Hill Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 5/2F

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) La Note Verte (GB)T: W. P. Mullins Suir Blueway Mares Steeplechase18.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 1/10F

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) World As One (GER)T: W. P. Mullins Crottys Lake Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 11/4

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Future Prospect (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 3/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Kimi De Mai (FR)T: W. P. Mullins PwC Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 1st 13/8

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Emerald Enigma (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 3rd 15/8

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Bunting (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 18.5f · Good · 4 ran UR 8/13F

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Blue Trix (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran PU 11/2

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Bon Viveur (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran F 100/30

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Fou De Toi (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Steeplechase24f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 11/10F

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Blood Destiny (FR)T: W. P. Mullins PWC Danoli Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 2nd 5/4

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Witches Familiar (FR)T: W. P. Mullins BOYLE Sports Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 2/5F

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Gaucher (GB)T: W. P. Mullins Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 6/5F

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Cosmic Front (GB)T: W. P. Mullins Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 8th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 6 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Paul Townend's strike rate?: Paul Townend has won 549 of 1,565 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 35.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Townend do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 24 wins from 49 rides (49%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Townend ride most for?: W P Mullins, with 1,530 rides since 2022 — 98% of the total. That pairing has won 544 (35.6%).
Is Paul Townend in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul Townend's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 1,565 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.