Earl Bay (FR)
Earl Bay (FR) is yet to win from 6 starts, though has placed 3 times. Best effort: 2nd of 16 at Chantilly (FR) (Oct 2014).
- 0–6Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 3 (50%)Placed
- −5.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=5 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 338dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 635 runs since Jan 2008 (77 horses).
Strongest on good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 78 | 8 | 10.3% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 119 | 14 | 11.8% | +3 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 77 | 6 | 7.8% | −1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 101 | 10 | 9.9% | +1.1 | — |
| Heavy | 50 | 3 | 6% | −2.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 200 | 15 | 7.5% | −1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 17 | 3 | 17.6% | +8.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 114 | 6 | 5.3% | −3.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 157 | 7 | 4.5% | −4.3 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 95 | 6 | 6.3% | −2.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 135 | 24 | 17.8% | +9 | 0 from 2 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 97 | 10 | 10.3% | +1.5 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 20 | 0 | 0% | −8.8 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them My Virginia (FR) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m1½f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Virginia (FR) | 11 | 3 | 1m–1m1½f | — |
| Harvalla (FR) | 10 | 1 | 2m1½f | — |
| Carvallo (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Germe De Star (FR) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantilly (FR) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Deauville (FR) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Chinon | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams Saraiva | 2 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Flavien Prat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thierry Jarnet | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ioritz Mendizabal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roberto-Carlos Montenegro | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0% | — |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 · 1 run | |||||||
| 15 Aug 15+288d | Chinon | Prix La Cave de Monplaisir (Turf) | 3/5 | nk | 8-13 | Williams Saraiva | — |
| 2014 · 1 run | |||||||
| 31 Oct 14+1234d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix du Rond de Debourrage (Handicap) (5yo+) (Polytrack) | 2/16 | ¾ | 9-6 | Williams Saraiva | 166/10 |
| 2011 · 3 runs | |||||||
| 15 Jun 11+21d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix De La Mare Landry (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf) | 2/14 | 1½ | 8-13 | Flavien Prat | 10/1 |
| 25 May 11+69d | Chantilly (FR) | Prix De La Route Millard (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf) | 4/17 | hd | 8-5 | Thierry Jarnet | 21/1 |
| 17 Mar 11+79d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Des Prairies (Claimer) (3yo Fillies) (Fibresand) | —/16 | 9-2 | Ioritz Mendizabal | 43/10F | |
| 2010 · 1 run | |||||||
| 28 Dec 10 | Deauville (FR) | Prix D'Ecouves (Maiden) (2yo Fillies) (Fibresand) | 4/17 | hd | 9-2 | Roberto-Carlos Montenegro | 51/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Earl Bay won?
- Earl Bay (FR) has yet to win, from 6 archived starts between 2010 and 2015. Placed 3 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Earl Bay?
- Earl Bay (FR) was trained by J-G Le Courtois on the most recent run on record, at Chinon on 15 August 2015.
- Who is Earl Bay's sire?
- Earl Bay (FR) is by Victory Note (USA) out of Starvalla (FR), whose sire is With Approval.
- What is Earl Bay's sire's record?
- Victory Note (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.8% of 635 runs since Jan 2008 (77 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 11.8% from 119. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.8% from 135. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.5% from 157.
- Who are Earl Bay's siblings?
- Out of Starvalla (FR), Earl Bay (FR) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: My Virginia (FR) (3). The wins came over 1m–2m1½f. As at Oct 2026.