What is Williams Saraiva's strike rate?

Williams Saraiva has won 67 of 1,003 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Williams Saraiva do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 66 rides (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Williams Saraiva ride most for?

Mme J Bidgood, with 278 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (6.8%).

What is Williams Saraiva's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 932 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Williams Saraiva

1,003 rides in the lifetime window · 504 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

67–1,003

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=1,003

175 (17%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=932 · 0.80 incl. margin

−161.90

£1 level stake

n=949 at SP · −17.1%

£1.15m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (55 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,003 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 22.9% when favourite Mme J Bidgood: 6.8% from 278 LTO winners: 12.7% Claiming: 10.2% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.7% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.51), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=315, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 10.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.62 and −72.40 to a £1 stake over 147 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mme J Bidgood supplied 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well over 1m5f – 2m (11.3%, n=53). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.9% over 208 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Du Cercle at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2011, £22,414).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−0.5

n=504 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −145.60

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.7%+6.0

n=55 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −31.60

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.2%−3.5

n=315 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −196.10

When favourite

22.9%

n=35 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +23.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.2%+3.5

n=147 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −72.40

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−2.4

n=681 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −63.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+5.8

n=24 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +16.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With S Wattel 27.9% vs 6.7% · n=43

On last-time-out winners 12.7% vs 6.7% · n=55

With C&D winners 11.2% vs 6.7% · n=107

Off a 61-180-day break 2.9% vs 6.7% · n=208

Over 1m5f – 2m 11.3% vs 6.7% · n=53

When claiming 10.2% vs 6.7% · n=147

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,002 67 6.7% −161.90

NH Flat 1 0 0% —

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 558 30 5.4% −117.10

Good 171 15 8.8% +102.70

Soft 133 11 8.3% −90.30

Good to Soft 81 5 6.2% −39.30

Heavy 53 4 7.5% −39.90

Good to Firm 4 1 25% +10.00

Firm 1 1 100% +12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 458 24 5.2% −163.20

Chantilly (FR) 190 8 4.2% −22.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 133 10 7.5% −30.30

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 91 3 3.3% −26.10

Longchamp (FR) 66 6 9.1% +49.30

Clairefontaine 7 2 28.6% −4.00

Le Croise-Laroche 6 3 50% −1.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 6 1 16.7% +3.80

Nantes 4 2 50% +2.40

Fontainebleau 4 2 50% +13.00

Saint-Brieuc 3 1 33.3% —

Compiegne 3 0 0% −2.00

Cholet 3 0 0% −1.00

Le Touquet 3 1 33.3% +12.00

Dieppe (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 24 3 12.5% +16.20

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 36 8 22.2% 0.91 +22.20

2nd–3rd fav 84 11 13.1% 1.02 −14.80

4th–6th fav 181 13 7.2% 0.96 −47.40

7th+ in betting 648 15 2.3% 0.82 −121.90

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Linda's Cap (FR) 17 3 8 14 May 20

La Giovanella (FR) 17 0 2 16 Jan 17

Liebermann (GER) 15 1 3 11 Oct 12

Cape Velvet (IRE) 14 1 5 28 Sep 12

Pan Di Stelle (FR) 13 1 1 2 Nov 15

Lisselan Rhapsody (USA) 12 1 3 14 Apr 14

Willicat (FR) 11 0 4 2 Jun 17

Lisselan Diva (IRE) 11 2 3 19 Aug 12

Allez Les Bleus (FR) 11 1 2 30 Aug 11

Lisselan Tigress (IRE) 9 1 2 8 Sep 11

Lisselan Amazon (IRE) 9 1 2 20 May 11

Vision Of Twilight (FR) 8 0 0 21 Feb 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 504 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7693108686694

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMme J Bidgood

28% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Mme J Bidgood 278 19 6.8% +63.60

Alex Fracas 128 6 4.7% −56.20

J-P Sauvage 47 3 6.4% +32.30

S Wattel 43 12 27.9% −13.70

C Boutin 31 3 9.7% −0.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.16m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 16 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lisselan Diva (IRE) — Prix Du Cercle () (3yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2011 · Listed

£22,414

Holdthasigreen (FR) — Prix Right Royal () (4yo+) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Mar 2017 · Listed

£22,222

Holdthasigreen (FR) — Grand Prix de Nantes () (3yo+) (Turf) Nantes (FR) · Oct 2016 · Listed

£22,059

Notable horses

Lisselan Pleasure (USA) Linda's Cap (FR) Yankee Star (FR) Lisselan Diva (IRE) Holdthasigreen (FR) La Regence (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Linda's Lad (GB) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,323 runs since 2012 (186 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.6% from 215.

Le Havre (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 12.4% of 5,883 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296.

Layman (USA) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2010 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.

Big Shuffle (USA) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (134 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Panis (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,980 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.2% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,006 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,006 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 September 2006 to 2 June 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Jun 20 Nantes (FR) Miss Rafael (FR)T: J-P Sauvage Prix British Friends (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)11f · Good · 11 ran 8th 12/5F

18 May 20 Chantilly (FR) Darkange (FR)T: J-P Sauvage Prix de Barbery (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 119/1

14 May 20 Longchamp (FR) Linda's Cap (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix Chemin Vert (Handicap) (5yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10f · Good · 17 ran 4th 23/1

21 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Ridisia (USA)T: G Pannier Prix de Saint-Martin du Tertre (Handicap) (4yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 61/1

21 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Vision Of Twilight (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de la Route du Blanc Fosse (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 49/1

21 Feb 20 Chantilly (FR) Miss Rafael (FR)T: J-P Sauvage Prix de la Route du Milieu (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 3rd 81/10

24 Jan 20 Chantilly (FR) Vision Of Twilight (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de Noisy-Sur-Oise (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 16/1

11 Jan 20 Deauville (FR) Arctic Cercle (GER)T: Mme A Rosa Prix de Beaufosse (Claimer) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 28/1

08 Jan 20 Chantilly (FR) Piccolo Ristretto (FR)T: Louisa Carberry Prix du Lavoir de Chaumont (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)16f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 39/1

04 Jan 20 Deauville (FR) Linda's Cap (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix des Cottages (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 6th 40/1

03 Jan 20 Deauville (FR) Vision Of Twilight (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de l'Aurette (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 13th 15/1

16 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Linda's Cap (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de Saint-Sauveur-le Vicomte (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 26/1

16 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Archi Nova (FR)T: Mme C Laur Prix de la Hauquerie (Maiden) (2yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 58/1

01 Dec 19 Deauville (FR) Zucesso (FR)T: S Smrczek Prix de Hieville (Claimer) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 7th 19/1

26 Nov 19 Deauville (FR) Linda's Cap (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix du Bocage Flerien (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 9/1

24 Oct 19 Deauville (FR) Linda's Cap (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de la Foret d'Eawy (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 59/10

18 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) American Saint (FR)T: N Paysan Prix de la Gare du Val d'Or (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)12f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 59/10

13 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Vision Of Twilight (FR)T: Celine Laur Prix de Lamarque (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 18 ran 7th 16/1

13 Sep 19 Saint-Cloud (FR) Driven (FR)T: J Bertran De Balanda Prix de la Cour des 49 (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)10.5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 33/10

27 Aug 19 Deauville (FR) Darkange (FR)T: J-P Sauvage Prix Trou Aux Biches Beachcomber Golf Resort & Spa (Maiden) (3yo) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 43/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Williams Saraiva's strike rate?: Williams Saraiva has won 67 of 1,003 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Williams Saraiva do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 66 rides (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Williams Saraiva ride most for?: Mme J Bidgood, with 278 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (6.8%).
What is Williams Saraiva's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 932 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.