Thierry Jarnet
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 340 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (333 rides).
The record is strongest at Compiegne (24.2%, n=33), clear of the rider's 11.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18% (n=333, Fair A/E 1.27), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.1% (n=1,306, Fair A/E 1.15). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 11.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +4.60 to a £1 stake over 1,279 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Mlle S-V Tarrou supplied 16% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (8.5% vs 11.7%, A/E 0.88). The rider also read well at trips under 6f (17.9%, n=173). 84 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp (FR) (Oct 2014, £2,380,833). The standout partner of the record was Moonlight Cloud (GB) — 9 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Sep–Oct.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,551 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,551 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 29 November 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Thierry Jarnet's strike rate?
- Thierry Jarnet has won 358 of 3,068 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Thierry Jarnet do best at?
- Compiegne by strike rate: 8 wins from 33 rides (24.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Thierry Jarnet ride most for?
- Mlle S-V Tarrou, with 492 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (8.5%).
- What is Thierry Jarnet's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 2,757 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.