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Horse profile

Early Warning (CAN)

3yo colt (at last run, Jun 2021) · Last trainer Joseph Patrick O'Brien · Last owner Qatar Racing Cornthrop Bs Partnership
by Air Force Blue (USA) out of Orchard Beach (CAN) (Tapit)
2 runs · 2 courses · from Apr 2021
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 17 Jun 2021 — 1,958 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2021 · 11th of 11
KTB Profile

Lightly raced, with 2 archived starts between Apr 2021 and Jun 2021, the last of them as a 3yo colt. Finished 11 of 11 at Leopardstown last time. By Air Force Blue (USA), whose progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 315 runs since Jan 2008.

Based on 2 archived runs · updated 27 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 2 figures · best 56C · median 51.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
Good to Firm1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
6f – 7f1———
Under 6f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 2 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 51C the best of the last 2 rated runs · Leopardstown, 17 Jun 2021

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 2 figures · best 51C · median 48.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
Good to Firm1———
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 27 Oct 2025
6f – 7f1———
Under 6f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 2 figures from 2 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 315 runs since Jan 2008 (26 horses).

Weakest on standard (aw) going: 3.6% from 111.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm14642.9%+35.3—
Good to Firm3425.9%−1.70 from 1
Good8178.6%+1—
Good to Soft2613.8%−3.8—
Soft38410.5%+2.90 from 1
Heavy1100%−7.6—
Standard (AW)11143.6%−4—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f3725.4%−2.20 from 1
6f – 7f14285.6%−20 from 1
1m – 1m1f8755.7%−1.9—
1m2f – 1m4f44920.5%+12.9—
1m5f – 2m500%−7.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Orchard Beach (CAN) (Tapit)

2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Sergei Prokofiev (CAN) (4 wins).

The wins came over 5f–5½f; the highest grade won is Group 3 (Sergei Prokofiev (CAN)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Sergei Prokofiev (CAN)1345f–5½fGroup 3
Turko Beach (CAN)30——

Too few runs for meaningful splits. The full record is below.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2021 · 2 runs
17 Jun 21+58d Leopardstown Belarmine Maiden 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11/11 2¼ 9-7 56C51C Declan McDonogh 14/1
20 Apr 21 Tipperary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden 5f · Yielding · 18 ran 18/18 ¾ 9-7 47C46C Shane Crosse 4/1

Quick answers

How many races has Early Warning won?
Early Warning (CAN) has yet to win, from 2 archived starts in 2021.
Who trained Early Warning?
Early Warning (CAN) was trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Leopardstown on 17 June 2021.
Who is Early Warning's sire?
Early Warning (CAN) is by Air Force Blue (USA) out of Orchard Beach (CAN), whose sire is Tapit.
What is Early Warning's sire's record?
Air Force Blue (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 315 runs since Jan 2008 (26 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 3.6% from 111.
Who are Early Warning's siblings?
Out of Orchard Beach (CAN), Early Warning (CAN) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Sergei Prokofiev (CAN) (4). Highest grade won: Group 3 (Sergei Prokofiev (CAN)). The wins came over 5f–5½f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from April 2021. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.