What is Shane Crosse's strike rate?

Shane Crosse has won 35 of 271 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Crosse do best at?

Curragh by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Crosse ride most for?

Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 170 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (18.2%).

What is Shane Crosse's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 271 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Crosse

271 rides in the last 5 seasons · 155 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

35–271

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=271

96 (35%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=271 · 0.78 incl. margin

−140.92

£1 level stake

n=271 at SP · −52.0%

£1.57m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 20% off breaks of two months or more (64 runs). Rides mostly for Joseph Patrick O'Brien — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 271 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 20.3% 44% when favourite Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 18.2% from 170 Group/Graded: 17.3% Rides the favourite in 18% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 20.3% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.40), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8.9% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.93). Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 63% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.2% vs 12.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a break of 180+ days (25.8%, n=31) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (19.4%, n=67). 27 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prince Of Wales's Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2022, £599,708).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.6%−3.3

n=114 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −68.80

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.9%+1.0

n=36 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −17.39

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

20.3%+7.4

n=64 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −22.02

When favourite

44%

n=50 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +5.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.9%−4.0

n=101 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −52.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

17.3%+4.4

n=52 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −12.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a break of 180+ days 25.8% vs 12.9% · n=31

With debutants 5.3% vs 12.9% · n=38

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 19.4% vs 12.9% · n=67

With Joseph Patrick O'Brien 18.2% vs 12.9% · n=170

In Class 1 17.3% vs 12.9% · n=52

In Group / Graded races 17.3% vs 12.9% · n=52

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 106 10 9.4% −77.35

Soft 73 10 13.7% −37.66

Standard (AW) 48 5 10.4% −26.79

Good to Soft 25 6 24% +3.25

Heavy 11 2 18.2% −3.25

Good to Firm 8 2 25% +0.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 56 7 12.5% −29.12

Dundalk (AW) 48 5 10.4% −26.79

Leopardstown 27 6 22.2% −9.85

Gowran Park 20 2 10% −14.24

Naas 15 3 20% −2.12

Cork 14 0 0% −14.00

Limerick 12 1 8.3% −9.50

Navan 11 0 0% −11.00

Killarney 9 0 0% −9.00

Listowel 9 2 22.2% +2.83

Galway 7 0 0% −7.00

Down Royal 7 2 28.6% −0.75

Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% −3.75

Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00

Roscommon 5 1 20% −2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 52 9 17.3% −12.59

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 58 23 39.7% 1.28 +0.69

2nd–3rd fav 73 10 13.7% 0.87 −18.91

4th–6th fav 69 2 2.9% 0.35 −51.70

7th+ in betting 71 0 0% 0.00 −71.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tyrconnell (IRE) 12 0 2 3 Feb 23

Collective Power (IRE) 6 0 4 23 Jun 23

Vanguard Star (IRE) 4 1 1 16 Mar 23

Rough Diamond (IRE) 4 1 1 21 Dec 22

Hibernia Oppositus (IRE) 4 0 3 13 Oct 22

Deuteronomy (IRE) 4 0 0 29 Sep 22

Raise You (IRE) 4 2 3 11 Sep 22

Point King (IRE) 4 3 3 10 Sep 22

Zoinnocent (IRE) 4 1 2 20 Aug 22

State Of Rest (IRE) 4 2 3 14 Aug 22

Montesilvano (IRE) 4 1 1 14 Aug 22

Point Gellibrand (IRE) 4 1 3 13 Aug 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 155 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1792162111189117130

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien

63% of all rides
18.2% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 170 31 18.2% −67.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

205

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.91m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 51 wins

State Of Rest (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2022 · Group 1

£599,708

Pretty Gorgeous (FR) — bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1) Newmarket · Oct 2020 · Group 1

£226,840

Thundering Nights (IRE) — Alwasmiyah Pretty Polly Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Curragh · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£147,500

Notable horses

Thundering Nights (IRE) Tyrconnell (IRE) Plough Boy (IRE) Major Power (IRE) Speak In Colours (GB) Circuit Stellar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zoffany (IRE) 26.1% · 6–23

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,768 runs since 2008 (799 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 25% · 4–16

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,176 runs since 2008 (662 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,191.

Caravaggio (USA) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 11.8% of 1,770 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.4% from 165.

Australia (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 11.2% of 5,659 runs since 2008 (565 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Slade Power (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,941 runs since 2008 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.3% from 127.

Bated Breath (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,156 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 850.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,649 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,649 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 October 2017 to 23 June 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jun 23 Down Royal Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Mount Charles Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 9/2

23 Jun 23 Down Royal Prove It (GB)T: M D O'Callaghan Future Ticketing Supporting Irish Racing Handicap (47-70)5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 16/1

22 Jun 23 Leopardstown Relevant Range (IRE)T: Gillian Scott Racing With Pride Handicap (47-75)8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 16/1

18 Jun 23 Gowran Park Good Too (FR)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Thomastown Race9.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 9/2

08 Apr 23 Cork Chiketto (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Median Auction Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 5/1

06 Apr 23 Bellewstown That's Mad (GB)T: Leanne Breen Bright Software Handicap5f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 25/1

31 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Jarvis Brook (IRE)T: E Sheehy View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1

25 Mar 23 Curragh Shadowed (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Goffs London Sale (C & G) Maiden7f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 1st 4/1

16 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Vanguard Star (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Bet In-Play On Racing With BetVictor Race6f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 6/4F

10 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Racing Thursday March 16th At Dundalk Handicap (47-70)6f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

03 Mar 23 Dundalk (AW) Punk Poet (IRE)T: Edward Lynam DundalkStadium.com Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 14/1

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Hat Toss (IRE)T: Takashi Kodama Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 25/1

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Vanguard Star (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 5/2F

17 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 2/1F

03 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Tyrconnell (IRE)T: Sarah Lynam Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (47-75)8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 12/1

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Collective Power (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Join Us On Instagram At dundalk_stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 3/1J

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Luigi Antinori (GB)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden10.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 9/1

01 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Alquinto (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Maiden5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 125/1

20 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Tyrconnell (IRE)T: Sarah Lynam Crowne Plaza Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 18/1

20 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Evening Verse (IRE)T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Crosse's strike rate?: Shane Crosse has won 35 of 271 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Crosse do best at?: Curragh by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 rides (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Crosse ride most for?: Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 170 rides since 2022 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (18.2%).
What is Shane Crosse's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 271 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.